February 23, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Washington 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Washington 2012 Presidential Poll

  • Barack Obama 52%
  • Rick Santorum 40% 
  • Barack Obama 51%
  • Ron Paul 38%
  • Barack Obama 53% (51%)
  • Mitt Romney 38% (40%)
  • Barack Obama 55% (54%)
  • Newt Gingrich 35% (36%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Rick Santorum 36% / 51% {-15%}
  • Ron Paul 31% / 55% {-24%}
  • Mitt Romney 27% (34%) / 63% (47%) {-36%}
  • Newt Gingrich 19% (26%) / 69% (59%) {-50%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

  • Approve 51% (52%)
  • Disapprove 45% (43%)

Among Independents

  • Approve 44% (44%)
  • Disapprove 50% (47%)

Among Men

  • Approve 46% (48%)
  • Disapprove 49% (47%)

Among Women

  • Approve 55% (56%)
  • Disapprove 41% (38%)

Survey of 1,264 Washington voters was conducted February 16-19, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.76 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 36% (39%) Democrat; 32% (30%) Republican; 32% (31%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 28% (30%) Moderate; 21% (21%) Somewhat conservative; 20% (22%) Somewhat liberal; 17% (16%) Very conservative; 14% (11%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted May 12-15, 2011 are in parentheses.

Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 5:41 pm. Filed under Poll Watch
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27 Responses to “Poll Watch: PPP (D) Washington 2012 Presidential Survey”

  1. My Man Mitt 4 President Says:

    All these polls with Obama winning are depressing me. How did we go from most likely winning the white house to losing every state?

  2. aspire Says:

    PPP & Rasmussen seem to really like tRick Santorum and dislike Romney. Michigan will shed some light on who’s doing the best polling.

  3. Dave Says:

    We probably won’t win this state, but how could we possibly tell by reading a PPP poll? What’s more interesting is who’s going to win the Caucus in the state….but how do you accurately poll for a Caucus?

    Romney was way up in Colorado, but it didn’t gauge who turned out.

  4. Florida Conservative Says:

    Come on New Michigan Polls!

  5. Firecracker (Romney / West / Christie / Huckabee / Rand Paul) Says:

    I think once Romney settles down as the nominee, and the ABRs aren’t propping up Santy in these polls, things will start coming back to Earth. Remember when there was a day when polls showed Romney beating Obama by decent margins in MI, NH, PA, and FL?

    I think we will soon start seeing those numbers again in the next few months.

  6. My Man Mitt 4 President Says:

    5. I hope so… :)

  7. aspire Says:

    4 Where’s New Michigan? ;)

  8. TruthBeTold Says:

    #5 – Yeah but a couple things have changed. One, positive economic data began
    coming in and two, all the candidates began ripping each other apart.

    I suspect if you plotted the polls against candidate fav/unfavs, they would be
    directly related and heading in opposite directions.

  9. Matt "MWS" Says:

    Isn’t Washington state out west????

  10. Matt "MWS" Says:

    Fire,

    “Remember when there was a day when polls showed Romney beating Obama by decent margins in MI, NH, PA, and FL?”

    The economy and the stock market have continued to improve since then.

  11. Reginald from texas Says:

    Guys, the estimates are that unemploymet umbers are going to jump significantly this month, from 8.3% in January to 8.7% or so this month. The whole narrative will change in the coming months. People are being told that things are getting better, but home prices are at a 12-month low (new report out yesterday), gas is on the way to $4.50+ per gallon, etc.

  12. Massachusetts Conservative Says:

    Guys, the estimates are that unemploymet umbers are going to jump significantly this month

    WOOOOOO-HOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!

    The position we have found ourselves in… rooting for a bad economy… is unfortunate.

  13. Matt Y. Says:

    7 – It’s the state that will be the second big state to vote against Romney, after the real Michigan. (Hint: it starts with O and ends with HIO).

  14. Matt Y. Says:

    (kidding – I’m making no predictions for the outcome in Michigan)

  15. aspire Says:

    12 Well, increases in unemployment can mean that the economy is getting better and more people are starting to look for jobs. I hope that happens, and I hope the unemployment numbers start to better reflects actual unemployment.

  16. MarqueG Says:

    I’m amazed that Bam’s favorables have remained as high as they have despite the right direction/ wrong track split. We’ve been at around -30 +/- 5 net for years. The Oministration will win if they manage to shift all the blame for public displeasure onto the Repubs.

    It’ll be interesting to see how disposable income figures change with the inflation in gasoline and food prices.

    Disposable income here.

  17. aspire Says:

    13 I’ll admit it – I laughed.

  18. aspire Says:

    Romney got Donald Trump to record robo-calls that will tell innocent Michigan phone answerers that Mitt Romney, is a “good man” while Rick Santorum, is a “career politician.”

    Interesting.

  19. Craig against Satan Says:

    8) 8) 8)

  20. aspire Says:

    It looks like the jury’s in. Santorum did poorly in his first debate in the spotlight.

    After nine months on the periphery of the Republican race, tonight’s debate in Mesa, Arizona, was Rick Santorum’s opportunity to show he deserved to be considered a frontrunner. But instead of using the occasion to build on the surge that led him to the top of the national polls, the former senator flopped as Mitt Romney and Ron Paul pounded him unmercifully from the start of the evening to its finish.

    Rick Santorum used to complain about being left out of debates. He was in the center of this one and he missed his moment to shine. He fared better when he was on the periphery, jockeying for position and demanding attention. He was in a defensive crouch for much of tonight’s debate, fending off attacks on his tenure in Washington and his conservative credentials. Depending on how voters process the debate, it was either a middling night for Santorum or a bad one.

    It was a tough night for Rick Santorum here in Mesa, Arizona as he found himself under attack from Mitt Romney and Ron Paul and repeatedly got bogged down in offering tortuous explanations for his votes and actions in Congress.

  21. haner Says:

    Once gas passes $5, Obama’s numbers will be in the upper 30s.

    We’re in winter, oil prices are cyclical and they always go up in the summer.

    Right now our side is being torn apart by both sides. Once a nominee is decided, things will look a lot better.

  22. SixMom Says:

    That’s right….we’ll all do better as ABO’s

  23. jaaron Says:

    Washington will not vote GOP for a while. They voted for Gregoire (one of the worst politicians ever in terms of excitement) over Dino Rossi twice for the governorship.

    WA will go Romney on march 3rd though.

  24. Loose Era Says:

    obama was always going to win wa…though the next wa gov will be an R; first in a long while…

  25. glenn for president romney 2012 Says:

    The hand-wringing this early is funny. 5 thoughts to calm your minds:

    1. Obama has had good numbers and spin from the national media for MONTHS about the economy. However, any honest evaluator (like the CBO and Gallup) are showing these numbers to be shams. When the reported numbers eventually have to show a worsening situation, Obama.is.toast. Also, we’re still in February. 9 months is an eternity.

    2. GAS is EXPENSIVE, and will get worse. This will exacerbate #1 and piss off everybody in day-to-day life. All Obama can say is, “I can’t do anything! Stop asking about XLP!” Shows bad leadership and horrible decision-making. It won’t play well. With fracking, XLP, and off-shore drilling getting stone-walled by this administration, it’ll be a blood bath. All 3 of those provide jobs, fuel, and savings.

    3. Primaries/nomination will be winding down in about 6-8 weeks: the brokered convention crap is mental masturbation by the 24hr news programs and is keeping things interesting for pundits, but it ain’t happening. Romney will win, eventually (likely late April). Even if Newtorum become one (which I doubt), Romney will win enough and Paul will swing his delegates over. It might be ugly, but it’ll happen. All the hoops jumped through to this point can’t be discounted, and the candidates aren’t just going to walk away after this fight and say, “okay, I’ll just give up now”. Most importantly, other than Pathetic Palin, NOBODY wants to jump in late. Nobody.

    4. Going along with #3 – the party will UNIFY, and turn its anger and attacks on OBAMA. While #1-2 are getting worse, which they will, the election will be ALL ABOUT GETTING HIM OUT and REPEALING his failed policies. The convention will be EPIC, POSITIVE, and INSPIRING.

    5. Obama is one of the WORST, most UNPOPULAR incumbents EVER. His “achievements” (stimulus, Obamacare) have fallen flat on their face and are extremely unpopular. His “big promises” of hope and change never happened, and he left many core constituencies out in the cold (gays, latinos, blacks). They won’t want to vote for him to give him “four more years.” Of what? Why? For more deadlock with a republican congress?

    These polls will shift…and even some have recently shown that Mitt plays great in swing states…in spite of this vitriolic primary season. Holy crap! We’re already into the third month of voting next week! And still 1-2 months away! It’s been super dirty, personal, and has hurt…but maybe will make better mettle out of Mitt.

  26. packeryman Says:

    The GOP has a big problem, it is the self righteous religious fanatics. We Independents also have a problem with the teabaggers. America is fed up with the antics and the chaos they have created in the House. Don’t dismiss this statement. We will pull the Dem lever to bury the teabag blight and any social conservative,(Santorum). Most Independents will support Romney.

  27. jaketv.co.uk Says:

    they should have at least a decade…

    of experience behind them. a company with a proper infrastructure and reputation is less likely to go bankrupt and out of existence in the blink of an eye. such companies can expose you to fraud and if they close down, all…

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