Quinnipiac 2012 GOP Nomination Poll
- Rick Santorum 35% [2%] (1%) {3%} [2%] (1%)
- Mitt Romney 26% [22%] (23%) {24%} [20%] (28%)
- Newt Gingrich 14% [26%] (10%) {9%} [4%] (6%)
- Ron Paul 11% [6%] (7%) {6%} [10%] (6%)
- Don’t know 14% [19%] (16%) {19%} [19%] (22%)
Suppose the primary came down to a choice between Rick Santorum and Mitt Romney, for whom would you vote?
- Rick Santorum 50%
- Mitt Romney 37%
- Don’t know 13%
Suppose the primary came down to a choice between Newt Gingrich and Mitt Romney, for whom would you vote?
- Mitt Romney 50% [39%]
- Newt Gingrich 37% [49%]
- Don’t know [12%]
I’d like you to look ahead to this summer’s Republican convention. Suppose none of the current Republican presidential candidates wins enough delegates in the primaries to ensure nomination. Do you think it would be good for the Republican party if the convention ended up nominating someone who didn’t run in any primaries?
- Yes 37%
- No 48%
How likely do you think it is that the Republican convention will end up nominating someone who didn’t run in any primaries?
- Very likely 3%
- Somewhat likely 11%
- Not too likely 33%
- Not likely at all 51%
If the Republican party was to nominate someone who didn’t run in the primaries, which of the following people would you most like to see nominated as the Republican presidential nominee: former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin, Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels, former Florida Governor Jeb Bush or New Jersey Governor Chris Christie?
- Chris Christie 32%
- Jeb Bush 20%
- Sarah Palin 20%
- Mitch Daniels 15%
- Don’t know 12%
Survey of 1,124 registered Republicans and Republican-leaning independents was conducted February 14-20, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conductedNovember 14-20, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 25-31, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 27 – October 3, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 16-27, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-11, 2011 are in parentheses.
–Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal
February 22nd, 2012 at 11:03 am
This poll taken over 7 days, with Registered voters, matches Gallup numbers.
February 22nd, 2012 at 11:04 am
Suppose the primary came down to a choice between Rick Santorum and Mitt Romney, for whom would you vote?
•Rick Santorum 50%
•Mitt Romney 37%
•Don’t know 13%
Ouch.
February 22nd, 2012 at 11:06 am
POLL from 14th to the 20th. lets see one from the 20th to 27th, that will tell alot more.
February 22nd, 2012 at 11:06 am
Things are much different today, they will be even more different after the debate tonight and Romney’s Economic Speech on Friday. Followed by his victories next Tuesday and he will be back on top.
February 22nd, 2012 at 11:09 am
Uh-oh. Someone went through all the trouble of comparing Mitt’s pro-choice/pro-life “convictions”:
http://www.slatev.com/video/romneys-abortion-record-spin-vs-truth/
February 22nd, 2012 at 11:11 am
Mitt has put out a new slogan today for his campaign.
“Restore Americas’s Promise”
Mitt is making his team of consultants work for their money.
February 22nd, 2012 at 11:13 am
Smack
Nice, I like it!
February 22nd, 2012 at 11:13 am
Not to worry. After Santorum gets beaten down, we can always fall back on Ron Paul.
February 22nd, 2012 at 11:14 am
Santorum said he was Pro-Choice his whole life…and then he decided to run for public office. Whoopsie.
February 22nd, 2012 at 11:14 am
Matt “MWS”,
Newt’s candidacy is the best thing happening for Mitt right now. Does Newt have what it takes to take a step back from his ego and get out of the race after Super Tuesday?
February 22nd, 2012 at 11:15 am
Ron Paul – all the gay marriage, prostitution, and drugs you can handle. Has a ring to it.
February 22nd, 2012 at 11:16 am
10 Good question, Smack. No. He doesn’t. What would he do then, go home and answer to Callista about all the open marriage stuff? He’s staying in until the bitter end.
February 22nd, 2012 at 11:18 am
25% of those polled say they have been for Romney since 2007. The 75% of those left over say they’ve supported Rick Santorum ever since last week, but they feel a little bad for X, Y, Z, and someone else they can’t recall, each of whom they whole-heartedly rallied behind over the course of the last 12 weeks.
February 22nd, 2012 at 11:20 am
If the Republican party was to nominate someone who didn’t run in the primaries, which of the following people would you most like to see nominated as the Republican presidential nominee: former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin, Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels, former Florida Governor Jeb Bush or New Jersey Governor Chris Christie?
•Chris Christie 32%
•Jeb Bush 20%
•Sarah Palin 20%
•Mitch Daniels 15%
•Don’t know 12%
LMAO, look at Palin……Jack must be pulling his hair out!!
February 22nd, 2012 at 11:21 am
Marque,
#5
That’s pretty damning, but clearly, that reporter is a bigot. You can tell by all the differnt Romney quotes he used.
February 22nd, 2012 at 11:21 am
Marque,
Saletan is totally obtuse. His narration doesn’t match up with the clips in significant ways. There is nothing new here….it’s all been repeated over and over.
What matches up is Romney’s oft-acknowledged view that he’s become more conservative with the years.
February 22nd, 2012 at 11:22 am
Just for the record, Santorum dropped back into single digits on Intrade to win the nomination, and is now below 30% to win Michigan.
February 22nd, 2012 at 11:22 am
Smack,
“Does Newt have what it takes to take a step back from his ego and get out of the race after Super Tuesday?”
Never underestimate the power of Newt’s ego.
I suppose it depends whether Newt finds it more humiliating to drop out, or get thumped in every remaining primary.
February 22nd, 2012 at 11:26 am
The degree to which national polls matter (which is not very much), this poll is out of date and measures Santorum at his height.
February 22nd, 2012 at 11:27 am
“What matches up is Romney’s oft-acknowledged view that he’s become more conservative with the years.”
…….as in Mitt has become more Conservative when it helped him personally in a political sense.
Santorum loses by 18 points in 2006 when he proudly proclaims himself a Conservative when it wasn’t popular..something Mitt would have never done.
Yes, Mitt has become more Conservative in the last 2 months of his Governorship and his 6 years of being unemployed (Mitts words-not mind)..congrats……not impressive
February 22nd, 2012 at 11:29 am
Looks like every time Newt’s campaign uses a list of voters generated by one of his business entities, Newt’s campaign owes Newt’s entities really big bucks. With a single donor giving millions, Newt is in the strange but enviable position to bill himself and pay himself with someone else’s money.
If this guy can’t solve our deficit crisis, I don’t know who can.
February 22nd, 2012 at 11:30 am
“this poll is out of date”
People here at RACE42012 are starting to demand real time numbers coming in from polling companies to be relevant…HOLY SMOKE!!
February 22nd, 2012 at 11:31 am
Santorum, despite his reputation as a conservative stalwart, had a keen interest in providing disadvantaged families greater access to affordable housing.
In 2005, when Banking Committee Republicans were trying to tighten the regulation of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, Santorum pushed to include language in the legislation that would strengthen their affordable-housing goals.
“We’re very concerned about making sure that we do things in working with this legislation to improve the access to affordable housing,” Santorum said during a July 28, 2005 hearing on the Senate bill.
He added that he wanted to orient Fannie and Freddie “toward taking a more active role in creating housing opportunities for low and moderate income families.”
http://www.americanbanker.com/issues/177_6/Rick-Santorum-Fannie-Mae-Freddie-Mac-1045542-1.html
When will the media vet Santorum on fiscal issues. They know if they brought out his big government ideas he would drop like a rock. They are purposefully focusing on social issues to keep him propped up until the general election when he will be portrayed as a big government liberal.
February 22nd, 2012 at 11:33 am
While I like these numbers I dont trust this polling firm. Rasmussen and PPP are way more predictive and also show Santorum leading. Romney needs a face transplant if he want to become president and also needs a new voice so we wont know its liberal mitt.
Maybe Romney can go back to MA now
February 22nd, 2012 at 11:38 am
20. Wait, what? Santorum ran on extremely conservative principals in 2006 and lost? The few ads I’ve seen from that campaign is Rick trying to claim his moderate positions.
Perhaps I am wrong and he did campaign on his proud Conservatism. The problem is that the voters saw right threw that facade of his deficit spending and debt increases.
February 22nd, 2012 at 11:39 am
The last 2 questions asked are literally insane. Karl Rove opined that there’s a better chance that there’s life on Pluto than that the Republican nomination will go to someone not running.
February 22nd, 2012 at 11:40 am
grr.. threw = through.
February 22nd, 2012 at 11:41 am
23 The thing is Santorum’s whole deal is that he’s for whatever sounds like it will help families. So houses for families that can’t afford them sounds good to him.
February 22nd, 2012 at 11:42 am
Can’t wait to see this same poll in about 2-3 weeks.
Oh yes.
February 22nd, 2012 at 11:43 am
25 I have yet to see the proud conservative ads that Santorum ran.
February 22nd, 2012 at 11:44 am
Rasmussen Poll – Oklahoma
Santorum 43%
Gingrich 22%
Romney 18%
yep… all that social conservative talk sure is hurting Santorum with the Republican base…
lol
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/oklahoma/2012_oklahoma_republican_primary
February 22nd, 2012 at 11:46 am
There were several reasons Santorum lost so big in Pennsylvania….he lost part of the base because of his big spending, pro-Union activities…..he was living out of state…..he got his Pennsylvania school district to pay for his kids’ Virginia education….he was named one of the 3 most corrupt Senators in the country…..he seemed awfully uptight…..etc.
It wasn’t because he ran proudly as a Conservative.
February 22nd, 2012 at 11:49 am
http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/291696/santorum-adviser-why-mormonism-limits-katrina-trinko
Santorum’s aides believe it is unfair that reporters are asking questions about aspects of Santorum’s faith and not asking similar questions about Mitt Romney’s. Of course, Santorum has spoken more publicly about the details of his religious beliefs than Romney has, and that is why some of the questions are popping up now. …
But specifically religious questioning of Romney is as rare as specific Romney statements about Mormon beliefs. Given the current grilling of Santorum, that is a source of growing frustration to Santorum’s advisers. “Why is Mormonism off limits?” asks one. “I’m not saying it’s a seminal issue in the campaign, but we’re having to spend days answering questions about Rick’s faith, which he has been open about. Romney will turn on a dime when you talk about religion. We’re getting asked about specific tenets of Rick’s faith, and when Romney says, ‘I want to focus on the economy,’ they say, OK, we’ll focus on the economy.”
http://campaign2012.washingtonexaminer.com/blogs/beltway-confidential/team-santorum-us-rick-devil-belief/388706
February 22nd, 2012 at 11:50 am
#32 nope wrong on all counts. the reason Santorum lost was because he backstabbed conservatives by supporting Spector over the conservative in the primary. And conservative deserted him when he came up for re-election
February 22nd, 2012 at 12:02 pm
Santorum 35 Romney 27–new Gallup poll.
February 22nd, 2012 at 12:04 pm
Ah, yes. I knew there was something big that I was forgetting. Everything I said in #32, plus his support of Arlen Specter over Toomey.
February 22nd, 2012 at 1:04 pm
31 — Oklahoma is ……. country. I couldn’t care less if Santorum wins there or not. Romney is pretty much a lock to win 5 of the 10 Super Tuesday states.
February 22nd, 2012 at 2:46 pm
29.
Hahaha…Santorum will be up by 15 in two weeks.