NBC News/Marist Michigan 2012 Presidential Poll
- Barack Obama 51%
- Mitt Romney 33%
- Barack Obama 53%
- Ron Paul 31%
- Barack Obama 55%
- Rick Santorum 29%
- Barack Obama 56%
- Newt Gingrich 28%
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?
- Approve 51%
- Disapprove 38%
Overall, do you think the bailout of the auto industry was a good idea or a bad idea?
- Good idea 63%
- Bad idea 28%
Do you think President Obama deserves a great deal of credit, a good amount, not very much, or no credit at all for the recovery of the auto industry?
- A great deal of credit 24%
- A good amount 34%
- Not very much 22%
- No credit at all 15%
Survey of 3,149 registered voters was conducted February 19-20, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 1.8 percentage points.
–Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal
February 22nd, 2012 at 5:13 pm
I don’t believe that the Republican is this far behind, but I do believe that Michigan is in no way going to be the state that decides this election. If Romney wins MI, he will have won a bunch of other swing states that that put him over the top long before MI.
February 22nd, 2012 at 5:14 pm
Obama has a 51% approval rating and nearly 60% give him the most credit for the resurgence of the auto industry.
Can we commit, right here and right now, to not wasting one second or one penny on MI in the general?
February 22nd, 2012 at 5:14 pm
These general election numbers are absurd. No one actually believes we’re going to lose by 20 in Michigan. 10 maybe, not 20.
February 22nd, 2012 at 5:15 pm
2
I don’t believe this poll, but I’ll be honest, we are not going to win Michigan, period.
February 22nd, 2012 at 5:19 pm
Wow… 23+ point behind?
ouch
February 22nd, 2012 at 5:23 pm
NBC has the worst polling.
February 22nd, 2012 at 5:23 pm
I’m confused, did NBC poll Michigan, or did Michigan poll NBC?
February 22nd, 2012 at 5:23 pm
“Can we commit, right here and right now, to not wasting one second or one penny on MI in the general?”
How was Reagan polling against Carter in February of 1980?
February 22nd, 2012 at 5:27 pm
7
LOL
February 22nd, 2012 at 5:30 pm
7 – LOL!
February 22nd, 2012 at 5:32 pm
Hey, I haven’t heard anything from Chris Christie, Nikki Haley or other well known surrogates, lately?
Are they no longer actually stumping for Mitt?
February 22nd, 2012 at 5:33 pm
Christie is.
But Haley’s pull outside…even inside…of SC is limited.
February 22nd, 2012 at 5:35 pm
This poll isn’t nearly as bad as it appears. Romney has him at 51% here, and the fact that it’s a Registered Voter Poll will subtract some points from the Dem.
The Republican number will be higher once the party has a nominee. When only 51% of the voters in a state are for a sitting President, he’s not in good shape.
February 22nd, 2012 at 5:37 pm
BTW,
Romney’s been campaigning with the Governor and the Attorney General of the state, while Trump has been very active. Surrogates are at work.
Did you see Christie on Piers Morgan last night?
February 22nd, 2012 at 5:40 pm
New Michigan poll, Santorum ahead of Romney 37 to 34
50% of voters could change their mind, and 12% are still undecided.
Margin of error in the poll is 5% meaning its a dead heat folks.
http://www.freep.com/article/20120222/NEWS15/120222050/Santorum-clings-37-34-lead-over-Romney-Michigan-Free-Press-WXYZ-poll-shows
February 22nd, 2012 at 5:41 pm
Also to note in the poll, it was ran from Saturday thru Tuesday, so it does include the weekend which means the race could be even closer by now, but who knows?
February 22nd, 2012 at 5:43 pm
7. Hilarious. I did laugh out loud.
February 22nd, 2012 at 5:45 pm
11. Keith Chris Christie was on Pierce Morgan the other day and still fully behind Mitt.
February 22nd, 2012 at 5:48 pm
Democrats in MI must have the ultimate Stockholm Syndrome
February 22nd, 2012 at 5:51 pm
Find me a poll from Feb. 1980 where Jimmy Carter had a 51% approval rating and was given credit by a majority of Michiganders for helping the #1 industry in the state.
Michigan likes Barack Obama…
February 22nd, 2012 at 5:52 pm
The Democratic Party in MI has endorsed an Operation Chaos attempt to swing the vote to Santorum.
>>In this case, Democrats — while not saying it explicitly in the email — are hoping for a Rick Santorum win over Mitt Romney, which would deal the native Michigan candidate a serious blow, and keep the fight on.
http://www.politico.com/blogs/burns-haberman/2012/02/michigan-dems-make-mischief-in-gop-primary-115235.html
That could cost a couple points.
February 22nd, 2012 at 5:55 pm
19
God way to put it.
How a state that is habitually troubled with economic malaise to keep throwing the same old dolts back into office is truly remarkable. The gov is a breath of fresh air, but Obama is getting credit for the state’s improving condition, not him, and that bothers me.
February 22nd, 2012 at 5:55 pm
2 — That’s what NBC wants you to believe. Yet they don’t breakout the percentage of Democrats, Republicans, or Independents. All I was able to gather was that the total registered voters polled was 3149. Out of this number there were 715 registered voters who lean or are republicans who were included in the GOP portion of the poll. So the percentage is approximately 23% which makes no sense when you compare it to Gallop’s state of the states which shows 36% as republicans. This is push polling at its worst. I am not saying it is a swing state but I do believe it could be in play with Romney as the canidate.
February 22nd, 2012 at 5:56 pm
Carter had gasoline rationing, 15% interest rates, and an Iranian Hostage crisis. And he STILL got 40% of the popular vote.
It’s gonna take something like that to take Obama down in Michigan.
February 22nd, 2012 at 6:03 pm
15. Ah-hah!!!!!!!! I was right!!!!!!! See my comment 36 at http://race42012.com/2012/02/22/poll-watch-rasmussen-2012-daily-presidential-tracking-survey-27/ !! In fact, if you take a look at the final CPSR in my comment there for 2/11-20, I don’t have to change a SINGLE DIGIT. This Detroit Free Press/WXYZ survey ONE HUNDRED PERCENT CONFIRMS MY GUESS!!!
I KNEW there wasn’t any slump for Santorum, and this proves it!!
February 22nd, 2012 at 6:04 pm
Just have to blow off some steam at Fox News right now. Special Report just had an anti Romney segment about a voter who voted early for Romney in Michagan who now would have voted differently, another voter thought Romney was just like Obama (a current Santorum add), how Romney has out spent in adds, how Romney has to “re-introduce himself to his home state”. This could very well have been a Santorum comercial instead of a news worthy story. I know the rule about commenting on the current thread topic but I’m angry!
February 22nd, 2012 at 6:08 pm
Not quite exactly the same time period, but:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Gallup_Poll-Approval_Rating-Jimmy_Carter.png
Carter clearly enjoyed an approval rating well in excess of 50% in February of 1980…and that was three months into the hostage crisis.
February 22nd, 2012 at 6:12 pm
That is a national poll. There are factors in MI which are specific to Obama which render any comparison irrelevant.