Gallup 2012 GOP Nomination Daily Tracking Poll
- Rick Santorum 36% [36%] (35%) {34%} [32%] (31%) {30%} [30%] (27%) {24%} [22%] (20%) {17%} [16%] (16%) {16%} [17%] (16%) {17%} [16%] (15%) {13%} [13%] (13%) {12%} [12%] (11%) {12%} [12%] (13%) {13%} [14%] (15%) {14%} [14%] (14%) {14%} [15%] (15%) {17%} [18%] (18%) {16%} [15%] (11%) {8%} [6%] (5%) {4%} [4%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (4%) {4%} [4%] (4%) {4%} [4%] (4%) {4%} [4%] (3%) {2%} [3%] (2%) {2%} [3%] (3%)
- Mitt Romney 26% [28%] (29%) {30%} [31%] (33%) {32%} [32%] (34%) {34%} [34%] (36%) {37%} [37%] (35%) {33%} [31%] (31%) {27%} [27%] (26%) {26%} [24%] (25%) {28%} [27%](29%) {30%} [31%] (30%) {33%} [33%] (34%) {37%} [37%] (35%) {34%} [34%] (31%) {30%} [30%] (31%) {29%} [27%] (27%) {26%} [24%] (26%) {27%} [25%] (24%) {23%} [22%] (21%) {23%} [23%] (24%) {24%} [24%] (24%) {23%} [22%] (23%) {23%} [23%] (23%) {25%} [23%] (22%)
- Newt Gingrich 13% [13%] (13%) {14%} [14%] (15%) {16%} [16%] (16%) {17%} [18%] (20%) {21%} [22%] (24%) {25%} [25%] (26%) {28%} [28%] (28%) {32%} [32%] (31%) {31%} [31%](28%) {25%} [23%] (20%) {17%} [16%] (15%) {14%} [13%] (13%) {15%} [14%] (16%) {18%} [17%] (16%) {17%} [19%] (19%) {22%} [23%] (24%) {23%} [25%] (25%) {26%} [26%] (27%) {25%} [25%] (26%) {28%} [28%] (29%) {31%} [31%] (33%) {33%} [35%] (37%) {34%} [36%] (37%)
- Ron Paul 11% [11%] (11%) {11%} [10%] (8%) {8%} [8%] (8%) {8%} [10%] (10%) {12%} [11%] (12%) {11%} [12%] (11%) {13%} [13%] (14%) {13%} [14%] (13%) {12%} [12%] (13%) {13%} [14%] (13%) {13%} [12%] (12%) {12%} [12%] (13%) {12%} [13%] (13%) {12%} [13%] (13%) {12%} [12%] (13%) {13%} [13%] (11%) {11%} [11%] (11%) {12%} [13%] (12%) {12%} [12%] (11%) {10%} [10%] (10%) {9%} [8%] (8%) {9%} [9%] (9%) {10%} [9%] (8%)
Survey of at least 1,000 registered Republicans and Republican-leaning independents was conducted February 15-19, 2012. The margin of error is ± 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 14-18, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 13-17, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 12-16, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 11-15, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 10-14, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 9-13, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 8-12, 2012are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 7-11, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 4-10, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conductedFebruary 3-9, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 2-8, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 1-7, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 31 – February 6, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 30 – February 3, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 29 – February 2, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 28 – February 1, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27-31, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 26-30, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 25-29, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 24-28, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 23-27, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22-26, 2012are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 21-25, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 20-24, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conductedJanuary 19-23, 2012 are in Results from the poll conducted January 18-22, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conductedJanuary 17-21, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 16-20, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 14-18, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 13-17, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 12-16, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 11-15, 2012are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 10-14, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 9-13, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 8-12, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 7-11, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 6-10, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 5-9, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 4-8, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 3-7, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 2-6, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 29, 2011 – January 5, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 28, 2011 – January 4, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 27, 2011 – January 3, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 26, 2011 – January 2, 2012 are in Results from the poll conducted December 23-29, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 22-28, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 21-27, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 20-26, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 19-23, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 18-22, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 17-21, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 15-20, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 14-19, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 13-18, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 12-17, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 11-16, 2011 are in Results from the poll conducted December 10-14, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 9-13, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 8-12, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 7-11, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 6-10, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 5-9, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 4-8, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 3-7, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 2-6, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 1-5, 2011 are in parentheses.
–Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal
February 20th, 2012 at 5:27 pm
I hope this trend ends… Both are at the top and bottom. Could be trouble for Romney if he goes any further down or if Rick breaks 37%.
February 20th, 2012 at 5:27 pm
http://ifiwerepresident-rochelle.blogspot.com/2012/02/romney-rally-vs-santorum-rally.html
Just some basic normal person comparisons of the events.
Not bad for either. But interesting.
February 20th, 2012 at 5:28 pm
This is a joke.
February 20th, 2012 at 5:29 pm
if the economy is still bad come November and RNC side wins does the economy/ unemployment # go down as soon as inauguration day ?
February 20th, 2012 at 5:30 pm
Romney appears to be at (or very near) his floor. Assuming nothing major happens the next two days, Wednesday’s debate will be absolutely critical.
February 20th, 2012 at 5:32 pm
4 This site is not a magic 8-ball.
February 20th, 2012 at 5:40 pm
“Romney appears to be at (or very near) his floor.” He has another 10 point to slip if he is going to hit rock bottom.
February 20th, 2012 at 5:40 pm
Romney is only 5 points ahead of his lowest. Santorum is 34 points ahead of his lowest.
February 20th, 2012 at 5:40 pm
“or if Rick breaks 37%.”
Well, that would be an accomplishment…
But with the statewide numbers turning around for Romney, I doubt he’ll drop much more…if any.
February 20th, 2012 at 5:44 pm
I am begging to think that the Republican party needs to go the way of the wigs. For Santorum to be even consider a legit candidate suggest the republican party may be nearing its end.
February 20th, 2012 at 5:48 pm
What numbers are turning around for Romney? All I see is bad news everywhere if you’re rooting for Romney. Michigan and Arizona should be blowout wins for Romney, yet both are very tight. What happens when the race moves to less favorable terrain such as Oklahoma, Tennessee, North Dakota, Alabama, etc. A massacre that’s what! What happens when Newt finally drops out adding another 10 points onto Santorum’s lead? I’m an optimistic by nature, but I don’t see a lot to be excited about here.
February 20th, 2012 at 5:48 pm
This poll will start shifting back after a win or two. Meantime, it’s the polls in the states that are up that reflect what’s really happening.
February 20th, 2012 at 5:55 pm
4. 6.
/me consults magic 8 ball….
“Ask again later.” Hmm, sorry. The 8-ball is just as confused by this primary as everyone else.
February 20th, 2012 at 5:58 pm
11
That’s in line with the ridiculous notion that if Romney doesn’t win every state by 30%, he’s losing. Ridiculous. You win by doing better than your opponents. If he wins those states, it’s a win, period.
February 20th, 2012 at 6:01 pm
Had to resond to #2 after watching Romney and Santorum rallies in
Ohio. Tou listen to Santorum and even if you don’t agree w/ it all
you know he believes it and is a man of his word. And the crowd
responded very well. Romney spoke at a bioscience company and I
literally did not hear any applause during his remarks – none.
It was lifeless. Santorum took questions, Romney did not. Two
different styles, different crowd responses, and I guess different
strategies. But I can’t see how an unenthusiastic audience is
anything but bad news.
February 20th, 2012 at 6:02 pm
I hope Ron Paul cuts Santorum to pieces at the debate and in some ads in MI. Romney needs to go positive but also needs Santorum’s negatives to be broadcast all over.
If Paul and Romney really do have an unwritten agreement then now is the time for Paul to earn his speaking spot at the convention.
February 20th, 2012 at 6:28 pm
16. Paul was starting aggressively this weekend. On Talkin head shows was all over Santo. Was using the F word (fascism), and has made it quite clear how horrible the voting record of Santo is.
Plus, Gingrich is supposed to get Adelson $$ soon, on the condition he stays positive and/or goes negative on Santo.
Using Occam’s razor, I can’t see how anyone that supports Santo cannot be concerned about his sliding. Romney to within MOE in PPP in Mi with a week to go…Santo HAS to win Michigan to have a hope. If he loses Michigan he falls to second tier with Newt and the two of them will have to cannibalize each other as they are going for the exact same states.
Gingrich was in the high 30s in Ohio polling and has a very heavy Teavangelical poulation, and if Santo doesn’t beat Romney in Mi, a lot of Santo votes go Gingrich again in Ohio.
Unless Santo blows out Romney in Mi or Az he is on the big skid down.
Remember boys, David has to kill Goliath to fit the meme…especially when Mi isn’t winner take all and Az is. Also, there was a lot of stuff on Drudge and other media this weekend that was tough on Santo, that will show up in polls this week.
A very bad week for Santo. IMHO
February 20th, 2012 at 7:30 pm
Lol at Rick. 64% of the GOP aren’t sold on him!
February 20th, 2012 at 8:02 pm
Truth Be Told,
I’ve seen Romney’s stump speech in front of a variety of audiences….either on CSpan or over at Right Speak, and he’s ALWAYS gotten enthusiastic applause. Don’t know about the BioScience company.
February 20th, 2012 at 9:34 pm
Good thing Rick peaked a weak ago, just as the Rombots’ crack team of analysts surmised.
February 20th, 2012 at 10:28 pm
Speaking of the Whigs – I hear Santorem wears one. When word gets around it would be very hard for people to take him seriously.
February 20th, 2012 at 11:19 pm
15:
I’m gonna call bull**** on Romney getting no applause during his stump speech.
February 21st, 2012 at 4:10 am
I am sure, Mr. Romney received some applause, but did he get cheers and excitement like Mr. Santorum?
February 21st, 2012 at 6:33 am
#22 – There is no reason to lie about such things. Just go watch the
February 22nd, 2012 at 9:32 pm
Who gives a toss about cheers, Ohio Joe! If you were watching the same debate we here in NZ were watching, there was absolutely no question, ROMNEY WON TONIGHT!! whatever anyone says and reports!! GINGRICH definitely second, SANTORUM sorry – didn’t fire, he was definitely OFF THE RADAR! Does he have real policies outside of the contraceptives? All questions were answered during the debate. If you want to ignore the facts, then you’re stupid!
February 22nd, 2012 at 9:35 pm
Our group thinks we’ll change pseudonym from ‘unbiased’ to ‘resolute’. We like it – ‘resolute_in_NZ’
February 22nd, 2012 at 9:46 pm
@15 – might need to flip flop on your earlier comment, truth! Mitt was great and answered questions put to him with ease, conviction and with that excitement that you felt he was missing previously. Perhaps he read your comment and did something about it.