Here are the results of the February 11, 2012 Gallup daily tracking poll. The graphics are courtesy of Gallup:
Mitt Romney pushes and remains in the lead at 34%.
Rick Santorum pops up another 2% to reach 24%, ten points behind Romney.
Newt Gingrich drops a point to fall to 17%, seven points behind the hard charging Santorum and 17 points behind Mitt Romney.
Ron Paul fell 2 points to 8% and in doing so dropped out of double digits. He has fallen four points in three days. That is the same amount as Gingrich has slid except Newt has a whole lot more points to spare than Paul does. Any further erosion would put Paul at levels he hasn’t seen in three months.
February 11th, 2012 at 3:59 pm
Paul has lost almost fity percent from his peak! (43% actually)
Wasn’t his support supposed to be rock-solid?
February 11th, 2012 at 4:00 pm
For some strange reason, Gallup is a credible institution. PPP, not so much.
February 11th, 2012 at 4:04 pm
Newt is done and Romney should be alright with Arizona and Michigan wins. That CPAC win was unexpected also for Romney.
February 11th, 2012 at 4:05 pm
It could be that the 5 day nature of the Gallup poll is keeping Romney high until his past numbers drop and Santorum lower until his do the same. PPP’s poll is far more spontaneous than this, so is likely to seem more like an outlier when compared to the more normallzed Gallup poll.
February 11th, 2012 at 4:05 pm
Hhm…
Romney is a bit lower than this.
Santorum is a bit higher than this.
Gingrich is lower than this.
And Paul? Gallup is off the mark on this one.
February 11th, 2012 at 4:06 pm
N E W T O R U M 4 1 %
February 11th, 2012 at 4:08 pm
3.
You better pray that Newt is NOT done.
Because if he is then so is Willard, my Rombotic friend
February 11th, 2012 at 4:08 pm
If either Rick or Newt were to drop out, Mitt would get his share of their votes.
February 11th, 2012 at 4:10 pm
Oh and Uncle Nutjob Paul WON the last two CPACs.
How’d that work out? “Bus in those voters, boys!”
February 11th, 2012 at 4:10 pm
7. I dont buy into all those voters will go to Santorum. If Rmney wins Arizona and Michigan its over.
February 11th, 2012 at 4:11 pm
8.
Rombot Dave is delusional as usual.
The “key number” is Dave’s low IQ
February 11th, 2012 at 4:12 pm
I think we have seen the last of Newt Gingrich. I don’t see him rising about 20% again.
I am still waiting for Santorum to call upon him to resign from the race so that he, Rick Santorum, can “consolidate the ‘true conservatives’ behind the only ‘true conservative’ who can win”. I know Rick won’t do it. He is too classy of a guy, but that doesn’t keep a part of me from wanting to see him do it.
February 11th, 2012 at 4:12 pm
10.
The
Lion’s
Share
Will
My
Rombot
Friend.
February 11th, 2012 at 4:16 pm
12.
Can Willard consolidate those pesky severely conservatives is the question of this election.
February 11th, 2012 at 4:17 pm
Craig,
So now you’re backing Santorum?
February 11th, 2012 at 4:18 pm
Paul’s decline doesn’t really make sense, except that he has yet to win anywhere.
It just doesn’t add up.
Anyway, if Mitt wins ME tonight, look for him to remain pretty constant in the next series of Gallup polls.
February 11th, 2012 at 4:20 pm
10.
Willard the MA lib MUST win Michigan and Arizona or it’s over.
Fixed
February 11th, 2012 at 4:20 pm
Craig,
Seriously. You have the worst, the absolute worst record of credibility on this site. You have never been right once about a candidate. You’ve never been right once about the state of the race just four weeks in the future.
Why should we take anything you say seriously?
February 11th, 2012 at 4:21 pm
The fact that Romney is unchanged at 34% tells me that the numbers on 2/10 were equal to the numbers on 2/3.
2/3 should have been a good day a few days after his FL win. This tells me that the PPP poll is more suspect and Romney is likely not about to drop into the low 20%. Santorum I’m sure will continue to rise in coming days.
February 11th, 2012 at 4:22 pm
OFF TOPIC BUT I LOVED THAT PALIN SPEECH AND HER THEME SONG AFTERWARDS WHILE SHE WORKS THE CROWD… – CSPAN NOW
February 11th, 2012 at 4:23 pm
Mark the Rombot King,
I was right about EVERY mushy moderate being a loser.
Bush Sr
Dole
McCain
Romney
So cry me a river, Rombot
February 11th, 2012 at 4:26 pm
8 posts on this thread #21. Do you text uncontrollably too?
February 11th, 2012 at 4:29 pm
Real,
What’s REALLY stupid is calling Mitt a liberal. You’re clueless.
February 11th, 2012 at 4:30 pm
Who I support?
Huck
Pence
Jeb
His Brother
Barbour
Rubio
Jindal
Michele
Perry
Cain
Kasick
Walker
Newt
Santorum
..all SEVERE conservatives, btw
—–
Mushy Moderates
T-Paw
Daniels
Romney
Brown
The Maine Twins
Christie
Rudy G
Charlie C
Huntsman
Dole
McCain
..ALL LOSERS
February 11th, 2012 at 4:31 pm
*Kasich, that is
February 11th, 2012 at 4:31 pm
Craig,
The problem is, those first three guys actually won the nomination though they did eventually lose in the general. We are talking the nomination race here. You still have not been right once, not once. In fact, your name has become a epithet around here for loser.
I repeat. Why should we take anything you say about the state of the race at face value when you have always been wrong — not just once, not just twice, but over and over and over again?
February 11th, 2012 at 4:32 pm
23.
Dave the Liberal or Dave the Libertarian
COMPLTE nutjob, either way
February 11th, 2012 at 4:35 pm
Hmm, is it time for the 4 post rule to be used on this thread?
February 11th, 2012 at 4:35 pm
The difference between me and you mushy moderate lovin’ Rombots?
I WANT to prevent a liberal from living in the White House
Hardcore Rombots have ZERO credibility on this site and have been banned on many other conservative sites throughout the internet because of that lack.
February 11th, 2012 at 4:37 pm
28.
Cry to mommy! Typical Rombot
February 11th, 2012 at 4:37 pm
Mitt Is severly conservative and so am I X 27
February 11th, 2012 at 4:38 pm
Romney’s 34% is probably his floor by now. He hasn’t yet hit critical mass, but wins in Florida and Nevada have cemented that group’s loyalty.
February 11th, 2012 at 4:39 pm
Craig… 13 posts?
ALL of them garbage?
February 11th, 2012 at 4:39 pm
This survey matches the previous Fox miniature survey of 2/8-9 (MOE 7.6), so it’s probably accurate.
PPP does NOT match this survey, but PPP is later than any of them, so, for now, I’m just putting the PPP survey on probation until another similarly recent survey is released that can be used as a basis for comparison.
Which means that, for now, our picture indicates that Romney is still first and stable but Santorum is a strong second and climbing.
The fact is that we don’t have multiple polls taken entirely AFTER the American people learned about the Trifecta of the Sweater Vest. The first many heard about his trifecta was in the evening newscasts from Wednesday, which meant the first full day of surveying that was probably affected by his trifecta was the 9th. So until we see multiple surveys conducted entirely on the 9th or after we won’t really know how far Santorum moved up.
February 11th, 2012 at 4:40 pm
32
Meh. Gallup obviously did some polling today, which will factor into tomorrow’s release. He will probably be around 32% in tomorrow’s release, and will stay around that number until something happens in this race.
February 11th, 2012 at 4:40 pm
33.
Conservative in Massachusetts,
What a joke you are.
February 11th, 2012 at 4:42 pm
Santorum, or as he is known to people in the future, the man who killed the GOP.
February 11th, 2012 at 4:44 pm
36
Oh the irony.
February 11th, 2012 at 4:46 pm
#35:
A win in Maine ought to keep his numbers up. I would think that as a frontrunner who has won 3 states already, his floor should start to rise. Eventually, he’s going to reach the point where the Party thinks of him as the nominee in all but name. That’ll probably happen after Super Tuesday and when it does, most Republicans will start to fall in line.
February 11th, 2012 at 4:47 pm
How many people has Craig for Losers backed already????
February 11th, 2012 at 4:49 pm
36- You’re seriously calling someone else out as a “joke”?
You are the “cut and paste” joker who lacks any reason or logic in his “Romney is doomed” predictions and has proudly proclaimed 5 candidates the presumptive nominee only to watch them sink and fall by the wayside.
February 11th, 2012 at 4:51 pm
Looks like craigs brain has officially exploded.
February 11th, 2012 at 4:53 pm
40
6
February 11th, 2012 at 5:07 pm
I have a family friend with “inside sources” in Maine who just told me Mitt Romney is going to win Maine!
Hope he is right!
February 11th, 2012 at 5:11 pm
Don’t know if you were all similarly misinformed, but I’ve seen all sorts of times for the announce of the Maine caucuses, 730PM, 7PM and so on. But now they’re all saying 615PM, just minutes from now! So consider this a head’s up!
February 11th, 2012 at 5:12 pm
They are getting ready to announce the results!!!
February 11th, 2012 at 5:15 pm
No mushy moderates is my motto.
43.
WAAAAAAaaaaaaay more than that. See above
Good times.
Hey, I heard Willard the mushy moderate (in other words, a LIBERAL in disguise) beat Uncle Racist & Nutjob, Ron Paul (his only opposition) just now in Maine, the land of the two mushy moderate twin senators.
Woo hoo! Go Obama-lite!
February 11th, 2012 at 5:15 pm
Results shortly!
February 11th, 2012 at 5:18 pm
C’mon, Willard… YOU can do it. It’s Maine, baby!!! Custom made for you…………
Show us conservatives just how a moderate liberal can win in Maine!!!
February 11th, 2012 at 5:22 pm
Yessssssssssssssssssss!`
February 11th, 2012 at 5:23 pm
Results
Romney – 39% 2190
Paul – 36% 1996
Santorum – 18% 989
Gingrich – 6% 349
February 11th, 2012 at 5:23 pm
Willard got OVER 2000 votes.
Paul did not
February 11th, 2012 at 5:23 pm
WOOOO!!!!
February 11th, 2012 at 5:24 pm
ROMNEY!!!!!!!!!!
YES!!!!!!!
February 11th, 2012 at 5:25 pm
EVERYONE must drop out!!!!
February 11th, 2012 at 5:26 pm
Jeb Bush is smiling! Brokered convention..here we come!
February 11th, 2012 at 5:27 pm
EVERYONE thought Ron Paul had this state won, and Romney upset everyone and won Maine!!
Huge night for Mitt Romney!!!
CPAC….Check!
Maine…Check!
GREAT NIGHT!
February 11th, 2012 at 5:28 pm
So how will the delegate count get awarded?
February 11th, 2012 at 5:28 pm
CPAC + MAINE = MOMENTUM
February 11th, 2012 at 5:28 pm
57.
IF Willard could only SKIP MIchigan
February 11th, 2012 at 5:31 pm
Crushing Uncle Nutjob by a whopping 190 votes is FANTASTIC!
What a GLORIOUS EXTREME win for Willard the Lib in Maine
Off to Michigan…….uh-oh
February 11th, 2012 at 5:31 pm
turnout up by 23 votes.
February 11th, 2012 at 6:21 pm
I expect in 3 – 5 days, Santorum will be close or on top of Romney. But then, he got momentum from this past Tuesday.
February 11th, 2012 at 8:08 pm
Maine and CPAC deflate the Santorum narrative. He’s apparently not as good at winning caucuses as some may have hoped, and he apparently does not have the conservative vote tied up.
Romney leads in delegates, first place finishes, number of votes, and only finished as low as 3rd once. Santorum and Gingrich have taken turns getting wins, but they’ve also taken turns losing badly. They can’t keep getting shut out of the delegate count and hope to ever win. At some point they’re both going to have lost so many delegates that they won’t be able to win. At that point it’s Romney or a brokered convention. Now I think Romney would win anyway, but at that point people are going to wake up to the fact that it’s going to be Romney and the race will be all but over.
February 11th, 2012 at 8:43 pm
#61 I agree completely, you know the Rombots are getting nervous when they get giddy about sqeaking out a win over .. Ron Paul? lol
February 11th, 2012 at 9:26 pm
63
Aspired Rombot,
Fox’s new scientific poll:
It’s Over (Romney will win) 17%
It’s Not Over 80%
Don’t Know 3%
February 11th, 2012 at 10:17 pm
Romney seems to be okay. He’s fallen a few points since Tuesday, but hasn’t collapsed at all. 3 of the 5 days are already after the rough night. Seems likely that he’s still over 30%.
February 12th, 2012 at 2:02 am
This poll is from February the 4th through February the 10th, meaning the first data is over a week old.
I got news for you willardbots. Willard is bleeding, right there in this well outdated poll, a poll that was begun 9 days ago. Gingrich and Paul are dropping, and Willard’s getting none of that drop. That’s Willard’s historical norm. Extreme volatility everywhere in the race, but it goes to others, save one brief couple weeks in January.
Other than that, the lying, progressive crapweasel takes no benefit from the volatility, just as we see in this Gallup poll.
On Monday afternoon, a Gallup poll consisting of last Tuesday through Saturday will likely be released. I don’t think you willardbots are gonna like it. My curiosity is whether Santorum can pass Willard in one jump, in that poll.
I’m also curious how far below 30% Willard falls. PPP says he falls to 23%. A bold prediction, and we’ll see whether they’re right.
February 12th, 2012 at 10:52 am
I think Mitt is going to lose Michigan
February 12th, 2012 at 12:20 pm
Yeah, Willard may be in deep trouble in Michigan.
You should see what’s going on in the local blogs. I ran the trap lines yesterday… and it’s just nothin’ but ugliness, from a willardbot perspective.
Blogs are not always an indicator, as we see judging by this Willard Fanboy site here, but it means something. We’ll see if Willard’s blowtorch can pull this thing out here. It’s all he’s got, and we’ll see if it’s enough.
February 12th, 2012 at 1:48 pm
New Gallup daily :
Romney 34% (no change)
Santorum 27% (+3)
Gingrich 16% (-1)
Santorum is having a MASSIVE surge