SurveyUSA Florida Primary Survey
- Romney – 41% (36)
- Gingrich – 26% (25)
- Paul – 12% (7)
- Santorum – 12% (17)
Favorability Ratings (Among GOP Voters)
- Santorum – 48/13
- Romney – 54/24
- Gingrich – 44/33
- Paul – 23/34
Survey of 500 registered GOP voters was conducted Jan 27-29. Numbers from the poll conducted Jan 8 are in parentheses.
January 29th, 2012 at 11:34 pm
This is what I think the race REALLY looks like.
January 29th, 2012 at 11:39 pm
Yeah, this is definitely more on par with Rasmussen.
January 29th, 2012 at 11:43 pm
I think IA might be a victim of sunday polling, which really don’t seem to favor Mitt at all. PPP had a similar experience today.
Expect Romney to win by, meh, 12 or so.
January 29th, 2012 at 11:45 pm
Win by 12-15% or more is a slaughter. Win by > 15%? Absolute landslide and evisceration of Grinch.
I suspect it will be between 10-14%, which is incredible considering FL’s demographic and 4 strong candidates who are hitting their stride.
I just wish Santorum were more in this than Grinchy. He is horrid and might try and pull the party down. He isn’t talking about issues, he’s just getting more and more acidic with his rhetoric.
January 29th, 2012 at 11:50 pm
Kilburn, you probably want the predictions before a respectable time tomorrow, right? You ought to email one of the FPPs and have them put up a prediction thread.
January 29th, 2012 at 11:54 pm
In Friday’s interview with Greta, Newt made it clear that if he loses Florida by a large margin, he is dropping out.
VAN SUSTEREN: What’s the path if you don’t win?
GINGRICH: South Carolina would have been catastrophic. Florida I want to win. I think we can win. I think we probably will win now. But if we come very, very close, the race will go on.
http://www.foxnews.com/on-air/on-the-record/2012/01/28/newt-prospect-president-gingrich-horrifying-washingtons-old-guard?page=2#ixzz1kuy6uIYf
January 30th, 2012 at 12:03 am
How large is large?
January 30th, 2012 at 12:24 am
I don’t care how large the lead is. A win is a win.
January 30th, 2012 at 12:42 am
5. For what it’s worth, I really think predictions would be of more value if they were held open until we have some polling information from Monday. I NEVER make predictions until I have SOMETHING from the day before the election. In my opinion, any predictions made before that point are little more than elaborate guesses. My two cents.
January 30th, 2012 at 5:27 am
Newt is toast! I hope it is a huge win for Romney to cast off Newt into the abyss from whence he came.
January 30th, 2012 at 5:30 am
6:
That’s hardly clear. And, frankly, I expect Gingrich to continue regardless.
January 30th, 2012 at 7:44 am
Romney wins every geographic region, tea-partiers, non tea-partiers, evangelicals, non-evangelicals, pro-lifers, pro-choicers, and every income group. We’re looking at a fair rout. Plus, he had a 16 point lead among those who’ve already voted and a 14% lead among those who haven’t- which could mean the undecideds are going to break his way (note, some of the early vote occurred during a period when Gingrich was leading).
January 30th, 2012 at 10:27 am
Does anyone believe this thing is getting closer in Florida?
I dont know whether to believe its going to be a 5-7% win or a 14-17% win.
January 30th, 2012 at 1:28 pm
You got to be kidding ! I heard it before in the Kennedy – Nixon race but I am still shocked to hear ” I am voting for him because he is handsome” . Wake up lady ! If Mitt Romney looks like Barbie’s Ken that does NOT qualify Mitt Romney to be President of The United States. OMG how shallow …………..
Additionally pollster Towery said Gingrich is doing “substantially better” with men than Romney, 38 to 28, but the former House Speaker still faces a “gender gap,” as women are still favoring Romney.
Please Ladies think about this. Ken Oups ! I mean Mitt Romney was empty whole companies into his pockets putting working women and men into the streets. Then sent their jobs to China and Mexico. Mitt Romney was also raided retirement funds and put the money in his pockets also robbing women and men of security in their Golden Years. Mitt Romeny is receiving the working women and men sweat and blood at a rate of over $51,000 DOLLARS a DAY as income !!!!! Anything goes to make a dollar is NOT Capitalism. The drug dealer or corporate raider are both wrong. The business venture was three separate parameters is it moral, ethical, or legal. The drug dealer is immoral and illegal. Mitt Romney is immoral and unethical. Mitt Romney is not and NEVER was in business to create jobs. Mitt Romney wants to make money and any human cost incurred is inconsequential. That includes human cost to women who think Mitt Romney should be President because he is handsome or looks like Ken.
Ladies PLEASE reconsider !!!!!!!!!!!!! A lot is a stake here.