ABC News decided to conduct an all-Latino political survey in Florida, and the results are quite telling:
ABC News/Univision Florida Latino Political Survey
Among Republican Latinos:
- Romney – 49%
- Gingrich – 23%
Among all Florida Latinos:
- Romney – 35%
- Gingrich – 20%
Among Cuban-Americans:
- Romney – 49%
- Gingrich – 17%
Among Puerto Ricans:
- Romney – 22%
- Gingrich – 12%
Among Other Latinos (Central & South Americans):
- Romney – 29%
- Gingrich – 21%
Presidential Matchup Among All Latinos:
- Obama– 50%
- Romney – 40%
- Obama– 52%
- Gingrich – 38%
Survey of 517 registered Latino voters in Florida was conducted Jan 16-23 and has a +/-4.4% margin of error.
ABC notes, “Thus far, Gingrich’s shocking victory in Saturday’s South Carolina primary has not triggered a significant boost in his Latino support in Florida. In the final days of polling, Sunday and Monday, Gingrich’s Latino support in Florida only increased by 2 percentage points.”
We’ll see how well Gingrich’s “anti-immigrant” ads go over in a voting bloc that is decidedly on Romney’s side in this contest.
January 25th, 2012 at 10:06 am
No wonder Gingrich is out there lying in Spanish.
January 25th, 2012 at 10:07 am
Presidential Matchup Among All Latinos:
•Obama– 50%
•Romney – 40%
•Obama– 52%
•Gingrich – 38%
Big difference.
Viva Newt!
January 25th, 2012 at 10:07 am
Romney getting 40% of Latinos means he is the next president of the USA.
January 25th, 2012 at 10:11 am
2008 Florida Republican primary poll showed that almost 64% of Hispanic turnout was Cuban.
Of general election Florida Hispanic turnout or total Hispanic population, don’t remember which one, Puerto Rican and Cuban Hispanics both are around 35%, 70% total. So of the 36% non-Cuban Hispanic turnout in the primary, most of it is in all likelyhood Puerto Rican. So my guess is that Republican primary Hispanic turnout is 85-90% Cuban and Puerto Rican.
Since Cuba still has privileged immigration status, get your feet on the land and you can stay, and Puerto Rico is part of the United States, they might even see illegal Central American immigration as competition.
Considering this and the “Spanish is language of ghetto” tape from Gingrich, and endorsements from most Cuban American congressmen and significant politicians, Romney should do fine.
January 25th, 2012 at 10:13 am
WOOOO HOOO!!
I just can’t stop smiling.
January 25th, 2012 at 10:13 am
2. Love how Rubio is ripping Newt – dont you?
Romney / Rubio!
January 25th, 2012 at 10:14 am
So I don’t think “I’m more pro-immigration (mostly Mexican and other Central American illegal immigration) than Romney” if Gingrich tries that, I don’t think it’s going to get that many Florida Hispanic votes.
January 25th, 2012 at 10:16 am
The Cuban-American tally doesn’t surprise me, but the vote among other Hispanics does.
Consider that less than half the Latino population in Florida is Cuban, and 40% seems REALLY good.
January 25th, 2012 at 10:16 am
During a Monday roundtable with business owners struggling in Florida’s hobbled housing market, the moderate Massachusetts governor with progressive views said:
“The banks are scared to death, of course,” he said. “They’re feeling the same thing that you’re feeling.”
http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-505245_162-57365607/romney-talks-housing-ends-up-defending-banks/
That is not going to play well among latinos or anyone else.
January 25th, 2012 at 10:17 am
Thanks for supporting the Romney campaign Craig!
January 25th, 2012 at 10:25 am
God bless our Latino neighbors and friends.
January 25th, 2012 at 10:34 am
ARG’s final South Carolina poll, FYI:
http://freedomslighthouse.net/2012/01/21/stunning-arg-final-south-carolina-poll-gingrich-40-romney-26-paul-18-santorum-13-12112/
Does this mean their Florida polling is accurate, too?
January 25th, 2012 at 10:37 am
Where are Tele and Smack with their guarantees that Newt was going to smoke Romney among the Cuban Community ???
Among Cuban-Americans:
Romney – 49%
Gingrich – 17%
LOLOLOLOL . . .
I DEARLY hope all good GOPers are pressuring Rubio to come out with a Romney endorsement. They don’t want to be on a ballot with Newt at the top of the ticket. All the GOP stands to be hurt with a prolonged primary AND a ethically-challenged Nominee.
GO MITT!
January 25th, 2012 at 10:37 am
By the way, in 2008 McCain won the Latino vote against Romney in Florida by a 54-14 margin (and won the state by 5%). For Romney to now be leading Gingrich by a 49-23 margin is fantastic news for Romney.
January 25th, 2012 at 10:38 am
marco rubio’s is energizing latino voters to get out and vote in huge numbers. he is holding a couple of Latino rallies later this week
January 25th, 2012 at 10:38 am
12.
Nice try, Romboot,
Anyone can ADJUST their poll in the end.
ARG is an embarrassment to the industry. Period.
January 25th, 2012 at 10:40 am
Hispanics make up 22% of Florida’s population. They could be the key for Romney’s win in the state – especially with Rubios support for Romney.
January 25th, 2012 at 10:40 am
Dr. Jeff,
Marco won’t ever endorse Willard in the next six days.
There, I said it.
Go Newt/Marco! Beat Barack/Joey!
January 25th, 2012 at 10:41 am
latinos love john mccain and listen to him
January 25th, 2012 at 10:43 am
15.
TOO bad, Willard’s not invited to Marco’s rallies.
I’m sure he’s been on his knees, “Por Favor!!”
January 25th, 2012 at 10:47 am
Mitt now leading Newt on Intrade! 50 – 47!
January 25th, 2012 at 10:50 am
Rubio scolds Gingrich camp, says ad bashing ‘anti-immigrant’ Romney is ‘inaccurate, inflammatory’
http://miamiherald.typepad.com/nakedpolitics/2012/01/rubio-scolds-gingrich-camp-says-ad-bashing-anti-immigrant-romney-is-inaccurate-inflammatory.html
January 25th, 2012 at 11:13 am
The latino vote in Florida only makes up 11% of the rebublican primary. So I wouldn’t get too excited just yet. Gingrich still leads the white conservative vote by double digits. More than enough to make up the difference.
January 25th, 2012 at 11:56 am
Romney is leading Gingrich 44-34 in voters polled on January 24th, one day after the debate.
January 25th, 2012 at 1:58 pm
18
I didn’t dare to hope,
…but now that Craig has declared it to be impossible, I’m ready to bet the farm that Rubio comes out and endorses!
January 28th, 2012 at 12:19 pm
[...] to an ABC News/Univision survey expelled Wednesday, Romney has a 15-point lead over Gingrich among Hispanic voters. Romney [...]
February 22nd, 2012 at 9:30 am
My brother suggested I might like this web site. He was once totally right. This submit actually made my day. You can not consider simply how a lot time I had spent for this information! Thank you!