American Research Group 2012 Florida GOP Presidential Primary Poll
- Newt Gingrich 50%
- Mitt Romney 19%
- Herman Cain 10%
- Jon Huntsman 3%
- Ron Paul 2%
- Rick Perry 2%
- Michele Bachmann 1%
- Rick Santorum 1%
- Buddy Roemer 1%
Sample Size: 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Republican primary voters living in Florida (564 Republicans and 36 no party voters (independents). Sample Dates: November 27-30, 2011. Margin of Error: ± 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.
December 1st, 2011 at 11:47 am
ARG = Pure hackery.
However…..
ROMBOT TRAIN WRECK PART II
Is playing at the Big Screen called RACE42012!!
This movie will be playing for the next 4 months.
We hope you all will enjoy the show.
December 1st, 2011 at 11:48 am
Huntsman is within 7% of Cain….SURGE!!!
December 1st, 2011 at 11:50 am
LOL!!!!! Newt is amazing. He is going to take over the party.
December 1st, 2011 at 11:54 am
The NEWT-A-BUST is coming…..mark my words!!
December 1st, 2011 at 11:55 am
Hilarious comment from Hot Air.
“ARG? That’s not only the name of the pollster. It’s also the sound Mittens’ campaign manager is making right about now.”
December 1st, 2011 at 11:55 am
This only gives more determination to the firing squad.
December 1st, 2011 at 11:56 am
Ain’t buying what these temporal polls are teaching beyond yesterday!
December 1st, 2011 at 11:58 am
1.
I agree 100%, Smacks.
If ARG were accurate, it would look like this:
•Newt Gingrich 40%
•Herman Cain 20%
•Mitt Romney 19%
•Jon Huntsman 3%
•Ron Paul 2%
•Rick Perry 2%
•Michele Bachmann 1%
•Rick Santorum 1%
•Buddy Roemer 1%
December 1st, 2011 at 11:58 am
“Newt-a-bust”? LMAO!
December 1st, 2011 at 12:00 pm
it always amazes me at the end of the day, as GOP voters begin to focus on the campaign, name recognition always seems to be the driving FORCE
December 1st, 2011 at 12:01 pm
Can’t wait for Paul to keep laying the smack dowmon the man who defeated communism and is a true celebrity.
December 1st, 2011 at 12:02 pm
Obama is going “arggggg…” too
Hello Faddah, Hello Mama
I’m Occupying, Camp Obama
I’m protesting, Wall Street grabbings
And trying to avoid the hobo stabbings
December 1st, 2011 at 12:04 pm
Well, Newt clearly has momentum and a lot of it, even though this particular polling firm should not be taken seriously. I have always wanted to give the voters the benefit of the doubt, I mean surely they would know at least the basics on each of these candidates. But maybe not….I guess I am searching for some tangible reason as to why Gingrich is catching fire like this
December 1st, 2011 at 12:04 pm
Better now for Romney then on December 29th.
Plenty of time for Mitt to become the comeback kid as Newt’s expectations are getting out of control and will likely bring him some good ole fashioned scrutiny.
December 1st, 2011 at 12:04 pm
11,
If only people took him seriously. Maybe they should
December 1st, 2011 at 12:06 pm
2,
If the pattern holds, he is next in line for an inexplicable bump.
December 1st, 2011 at 12:07 pm
Just contributed to Ron Paul – he needs to keep airing that video exposing Newt as the horrible candidate that he is.
December 1st, 2011 at 12:07 pm
Cain’s newest ad – JOBS!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=nSpsOwTo01g
December 1st, 2011 at 12:07 pm
Are you on the Newt train Kavon?
December 1st, 2011 at 12:08 pm
8,
You have Cain WAY overrated. He is done, mainly because either he can’t or simply doesn’t articulate his positions clearly enough to give even the least informed among the public any confidence that he can be president.
December 1st, 2011 at 12:08 pm
Damm straight #17.
Time to take that pomopous fat man down.
December 1st, 2011 at 12:09 pm
This is exciting!
I’m selling Gingrich at 55% in Florida!
Yes!!!
December 1st, 2011 at 12:11 pm
Smack’s right again. ARG is in the tank for Gingrich
#friendship
December 1st, 2011 at 12:12 pm
Ha Ha Ha
Gingrich OWNS the GOP !. What does that say about the GOP ? Get ready for the end folks……it’s the WHIGS all over.A Gingrich nomination would DEFINITELY create a Third Party. No One on any side of the political fence believes America has sunk so low as to nominate Newt Gingrich for the highest office in the land. To many, perhaps most, ethics, morality, values and beliefs ARE still important. You may not like Romney………but you can’t possibly believe Gingrich is even remotely better.
Gingrich is best buds with Bill and Hillary . He should ask Bill Clinton about the 1992 election and a guy named Ross Perot, because that’s EXACTLY what will happen if Newt is nominated
CraigS
December 1st, 2011 at 12:18 pm
“Smack’s right again”
The most often used phrase in the RACE42012 lexicon.
The 2nd most used phrase in the RACE42012 lexicon…
“Smack is a moron.”
Some people realize SMACKDADDY’s brillance before others…..but in the end they all come around.
Once I was blind, but now I SMACK see.
December 1st, 2011 at 12:19 pm
This was confirmed by another pollster a couple days ago.
December 1st, 2011 at 12:20 pm
the funny thing is newt would be praying for a 3rd party run if he got the nomination…no way he beats obama one on one but if things get divided by a 3rd party, bloomberg or huntsman, maybe he could get a good % of the overall vote among the 3. I doubt even newt wants to win the nomination though…don’t think he got into this race thinking that was remotely possible, rather it was more of a business decision to pump up his brand. Of course, a dog is fine with dog food but if you put down a filet he will lap it up…maybe newt is thinking different now and will and play the game and go all out for the nomination. I doubt the press will vet him much till/if he knocked out romney, than they do a 180 but for now, they will love him.
December 1st, 2011 at 12:22 pm
Smack’s right again!
December 1st, 2011 at 12:27 pm
28 What’s sad is that nominating Gingrich would invite a 3rd party candidate – from the right.
December 1st, 2011 at 12:27 pm
26 – PPP added a huge caveat : soft support
Race is incredibly volatile
December 1st, 2011 at 12:28 pm
I would never have guessed it in FL….thought Romney had it locked up.
December 1st, 2011 at 12:29 pm
29 – Palin will fight against that. As for Huntsman : he is pure GOP
December 1st, 2011 at 12:31 pm
Yes! Only come back to where, or from where? When other candidates lose support it never benefits Willard; when other candidates gain support it seldom comes at the expense of the Willard (except for Gingrich).
If you favour Cain, Gingrich, or any candidate other than Romney, it is because you favour NOT-Romney. That isn’t going to change. The “inevitability” myth was only ever a myth.
December 1st, 2011 at 12:34 pm
Yes, Willard did too if his behaviour is any indication of his intentions. But Willard never takes into account the thoughts and views of actual GOP voters.
December 1st, 2011 at 12:37 pm
Willard needs Palin! Willard should jump down on his knobby knees and beg and plead for her endorsement just so that we can all witness the grim spectacle of their tortured courtship before Palin inevitably issues her NO after gruelling weeks of coquettishly hinting otherwise in that teasing way of hers.
If only. If only.
December 1st, 2011 at 12:39 pm
Romney’s problem is that people if forced to choose between him and Newt are choosing Newt.
They are both so stained by their support at some time for the various scams that are now a collective weight around the country’s future via the debt burden that they can’t really attack each other effectively.
December 1st, 2011 at 12:40 pm
35 – Sarah’s kiss of death!
December 1st, 2011 at 12:44 pm
35. works for me!
December 1st, 2011 at 12:45 pm
The problem is about solve itself the way it did in 2008. Willard is preparing to go wretchedly over-the-top negative http://dyn.politico.com/printstory.cfm?uuid=6EE3808C-8D1F-43FF-9231-CA6F43101290 a move that always causes his own poll numbers to fall of a cliff as a figure as brittle and as vulnerable Willard cannot sustain the inevitable blowback of a negative campaign.
It’s Darwin’s mysterious laws at work. It’s the non-survival of the non-fittest.
December 1st, 2011 at 12:50 pm
There’s something in the water in Florida. The Field Poll the other day had Mitt beating Gingrich in California, although not by the margin he SHOULD be beating Gingrich by…..it’s in Florida that the Gingrich phenomenon is strongest. And it was in Florida that the Cain momentum originated.
Cain’s now down to 10% in the state, and Perry, who was also once leading in Florida is down to 2%. If Newt wants to know his future in Florida, he just needs to watch the trajectories of Perry and Cain in the state.
December 1st, 2011 at 12:50 pm
We’ve seen so many of these surges, and Gingrich is so personally flawed that it’s hard to get too upset about these polls. I think what McCain showed us is that organization is a big freaking deal in these races.
December 1st, 2011 at 12:51 pm
40. this time it’s different
December 1st, 2011 at 12:53 pm
MPC,
Newt hasn’t been vetted yet. Romney, at 19%, still has a solid base of support in the state. We’ll have to wait and see where Newt bottoms out. My guess is it will be below 19% by the end of January.
December 1st, 2011 at 12:57 pm
***WEEE OOOO WEEE OOO***
***Rasmussen National Poll: Newt Leads Romney by 21 points***
Newt 38
Mitt 17
…all others in single digits…
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/election_2012_republican_presidential_primary
December 1st, 2011 at 1:04 pm
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2011/12/florida-shows-perils-of-gingrich-for-gop.html
OBAMA DESTROYING GINGRICH IN FLORIDA
December 1st, 2011 at 1:06 pm
Biggest lead ever by any candidate this cycle
December 1st, 2011 at 1:07 pm
45 – Obama leads Newt by 50-44?
That’s destroying?
You Rombots are PATHETIC! Hahaha.
December 1st, 2011 at 1:14 pm
ARG is a horrible polling outfit. We all know that.
Yes, Gingrich is leading in Florida. But he doesn’t have 50%.
December 1st, 2011 at 1:16 pm
I’m sure he’d be happy with 40…
December 1st, 2011 at 1:23 pm
But Adam,
Wouldn’t you rather WIN Florida?? Mitt beats Obama there.
December 1st, 2011 at 1:26 pm
I would prefer to win with anyone but Willard.
December 1st, 2011 at 1:29 pm
Rasmussen: http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/election_2012_republican_presidential_primary
National GOP Poll: Gingrich 38% Romney 17%
December 1st, 2011 at 1:30 pm
Please allow me to repeat, National GOP Poll: Gingrich 38% Romney 17%
December 1st, 2011 at 1:30 pm
Now that’s destroying.
December 1st, 2011 at 1:31 pm
Gingrich is taking voters away from Willard’s formerly steady-eddy 20-25% but most 20% lately.
December 1st, 2011 at 1:33 pm
Mitt beats Obama there in ONE POLL, today.
That tells us nothing about the general election.
And this,
I second it.
December 1st, 2011 at 1:43 pm
Along with about 75% or more of the GOP base.
December 1st, 2011 at 1:49 pm
Gingrich’s campaign IS McCain’s.
Both were old Washington insiders with no business experience.
Both were in 1st or 2nd nationally in the Spring.
Both collapsed in the Summer.
Both surged on the backs on the media.
Both got the Union Leader endorsement.
Both lose to Obama.
December 1st, 2011 at 2:01 pm
Republican lawmakers on Capitol Hill are nervous about Newt Gingrich’s rise in the polls, with one member saying, “Newt’s hand is always six inches from the self-destruct button.” http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/196441-newts-hand-always-six-inches-from-the-self-destruct-button
December 1st, 2011 at 2:10 pm
58.
I told you all to get on the HuckaTrain.
December 1st, 2011 at 2:12 pm
57.
83% now and climbing per the new Ras poll TODAY.