Insider Advantage South Carolina Republican Primary
- Gingrich – 38% (19)
- Romney – 15% (16)
- Cain – 13% (26)
- Paul – 7% (3)
- Perry – 4% (6)
- Bachmann – 3% (5)
- Santorum – 2% (2)
- Someone Else – 5% (4)
- Undecided – 13% (20)
Survey of 519 likely Republican primary voters (+/-4% MoE) was conducted Nov 28. Numbers in parentheses are from the poll conducted Nov 8.
The article linked also mentions results for New Hampshire where Romney’s lead has shrunk to just 31%-27% over Gingrich. Once full results of that poll becomes available we will post them here.
November 29th, 2011 at 9:31 am
Someone be on the look out for Max Twain!
Call the crisis hotline and be prepared to do an intervention.
November 29th, 2011 at 9:34 am
Newt will be the nominee. This is the guy the democrats want to face, and they are going to make it happen. He cannot defeat Obama, plain and simple.
November 29th, 2011 at 9:34 am
good for Christie he tells it like it is!!!!! http://thehill.com/video/in-the-news/195823-christie-rips-obama-for-supercommittee-failure-what-the-hell-are-we-paying-you-for
November 29th, 2011 at 9:35 am
What is good?
To crush your enemies, see them driven before you, and to hear the lamentation of their women. …
November 29th, 2011 at 9:39 am
#2 Rombots are pathetic. Cheerleaders when times are good, wusses when times are bad. I would hate to be in a battle with you surrender monkeys.
November 29th, 2011 at 9:47 am
Mitt needs to change things up…
I think today is the day the ROMBOTS finally agree with SMACKDADDY.
Mitt needs a “MOMENT” in this race.
What will it be?
Any suggestions?
November 29th, 2011 at 9:49 am
PabloZed, generalize much? Aren’t you the guy that hates whites and Hispanics? Thought so. No haters allowed.
November 29th, 2011 at 9:50 am
Get in touch with your roots. Have some compassion.
November 29th, 2011 at 9:50 am
I’m starting to resign myself to Newt as the nominee. The party base must exact its pound of flesh from the media and Obama, and Romney simply won’t do it for them. Newt will.
Oh well. We have a bunch of rock stars lining up for 2016 (except the Dems have their own in Cuomo).
If it’s Newt vs. Bloomberg vs. Obama……well, you all know which way this right-centrist is going.
November 29th, 2011 at 9:50 am
No doubt Gingrich is the most serious challenge Romney has faced so far – he’s really the only truly credible challenger who has developed. Only Perry came close, and he couldn’t string two sentences together when he had a camera on him.
That Gingrich has risen rapidly is not really a concern – other candidates have traced the boom-and-bust cycle…the real concern for Mitt has to be that Gingrich doesn’t appear to be facing any kind of real vetting the way other candidates did. Gingrich has enough baggage to fill a 747; and in many ways, he embodies some of the worst of long-time politicians – hypocritical, insider, etc. Even as a Conservative icon, he sat on the couch with Nancy Pelosi and, by his own admission, pushed an individual mandate during his time in office.
The problem is that that Gingrich is some invincible wall…but that nobody seems to be swinging the sledgehammer at him yet.
November 29th, 2011 at 9:55 am
I just can’t believe Republicans are so hypocritical that they’ll ostensibly dump Romney due to a state mandate, and decide to go with the guy who…..supported the national mandate.
And cap and trade.
And amnesty.
And agreed to large income tax increases as Speaker.
And who is the ultimate insider.
And who was a lobbyist.
And who has no moral backbone.
They started this race looking for a bona fide conservative outsider, who would present them with a stark contrast to Obama’s ACA. They’re opting for a influence-peddling Washington insider, with a history of conservative apostasy who supported a federal health insurance mandate.
This is where our party is. Nothing at ALL but identity politics. Newt isn’t from Massachusetts. That’s about it.
November 29th, 2011 at 9:58 am
Boy, these Gingrich supporters are more delusional that the Huckaloons were.
But that kind of crazy is the same kind that saw a T-Paw surge coming around every corner. Sad.
November 29th, 2011 at 9:59 am
#10 – Actually, I think the problem for Romney is timing. In a couple weeks people will turn to holiday shopping and preparation, men will be thinking about football. And then comes the voting.
Romnots like myself were saying months ago that Romney’s mittness protection campaign strategy was a bust. That he needed to be out there earning the nomination instead of waiting for his opponents to self-immolate. Now he has been caught flatfooted.
November 29th, 2011 at 10:01 am
The best thing about this race, is that no matter what happens, the Palin/Newt/Cain/O’Donnell wing of the party loses. Either Romney wins, or Gingrich goes on to the humiliating defeat everyone but him seems to know is heading his way, and we get Christie in 2016.
Either Mitt or Chris. Never Palin. Never Cain. Never *insert flavor of the month lunatic*.
November 29th, 2011 at 10:02 am
11
It’s a shame really. The battle that has been fought over the last four years with the Tea Party that started with Rick Santelli, Daniel Hannon and then Sarah Palin that was once all about cleaning up Washington by throwing out the “good ol boy club” and putting in fresh outsiders is gone. After all the talk of putting in the people who could see things from the “peoples’” perspective, THIS is what we’re left with? Newt Gingrich? If you looked up the antonym for “Tea Party” in the dictionary, you’d probably find Newt Gingrich’s picture in there.
I hope the right wakes up before it’s too late. Not ONLY are they abandoning EVERY value for which the Tea Party stood for over the last four years, they are giving Obama another four years by electing Gingrich. Think about that – at least with a Cain, or Bachmann, or Santorum, they would be making a philosophical statement even if they were to lose to Obama. With Gingrich as their choice, they are conceding the Presidency AND their values. It doesn’t get much worse than that, folks.
November 29th, 2011 at 10:03 am
13
Your complete lack of understanding of basic politics never ceases to amaze me. But it really shouldn’t, lack of knowledge is the hallmark of the not-Romney wing of the party.
November 29th, 2011 at 10:06 am
And Max, though I lampooned you for praying for Christie, I will enthusiastically support him in 2016 if he runs. He is an obvious bright star – just not ready yet.
Of course, our bench is SO deep: Christie, Ryan, McDonnell, Rubio, Haley, etc.
We have such talent in the wings. Maybe they all saw a bat-**** crazy GOP this cycle, and that’s why they stayed out. Not that Obama is invincible, but that the party whose nomination they would seek is just bonkers in 2012.
November 29th, 2011 at 10:06 am
Looks like most of Cain’s support defected to Newt, but Ron Paul picked up some as well.
November 29th, 2011 at 10:12 am
18
Cain Supporters: “We simply can’t vote for a man who cheated on his wife, so we’re switching to another man who cheated on his wife.”
November 29th, 2011 at 10:18 am
17
I think they got a good look at the O’Donnell/Angle/Cain/Newt wing of the party and said “no thanks”.
Eventually the crazy runs out of gas.
November 29th, 2011 at 10:22 am
Gingrich isn’t going to get the nomination. If he did, we’d be handing the election over to Obama on a silver platter. In marketing, there’s a concept known as post purchase anxiety syndrome, better known as ‘buyer’s remorse’, and there’s plenty of time for it to set in before the end of this process.
Whether Newt gets thoroughly vetted or not, he WILL get vetted, and as people learn more about him they will like and respect him less. Polls will continue to show him losing to Obama, and, as a lot of voters who just now start paying attention to the race notice them, they will also start to notice that we have a guy who beats Obama in head-to-head polls. They MIGHT even notice that THAT’S the guy Obama’s attack machine is aiming all its fire at.
As these things happen, Mitt will get a second look…..particularly in light of the fact that all acknowledge it’s a 2-man race. This 2-man race is just getting started.
November 29th, 2011 at 10:24 am
InsiderAdvantage and American Research Group were rated as two of the three most unreliable polls by Nate Silver in 2010.
These foolish little Newtys, I can’t even be angry with them. I pity them too much.
November 29th, 2011 at 10:25 am
21
Don’t worry. We are one tv interview with Marianne Gingrich away from never having to see this hasbeen again.
November 29th, 2011 at 10:40 am
23. Sounds to me like you’re trying to convince yourself.
Not working is it?
November 29th, 2011 at 11:23 am
In addition, Rasmussen also just released a New Hampshire survey. On the page in question at http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/new_hampshire/election_2012_new_hampshire_republican_primary they have not released all the figures, just the top four finishers, Romney 34, Gingrich 24, Paul 14 and Huntsman 11. I’m hoping that race42012.com will be able to grab the other figures and post them in a few minutes.
November 29th, 2011 at 11:24 am
#25 – Boy, movement everywhere. This race has really kicked into high gear.
November 29th, 2011 at 11:36 am
Huntsman at 11%…
What did SMACKDADDY tell you all!!!!????
I told you Huntsman was going to be in double figures in the next NH poll.
Jon’s cross tabs numbers are getting better and better in this state.
Somebody get a hold of Matt “MWS”!!
November 29th, 2011 at 12:09 pm
Hard to believe Conservatives are really thinking when they support Gingrich. I can see Bachmann and Santorum and Perry. But Gingrich ? What are their real “core beliefs” ,as Joe McQuaid argued in the Union Leader ? Do they really have principles, as we have been led to believe, or is it all a facade ? The more support Newt gets in Iowa from Evangelical women, the more I wonder what they are buying with his new hybrid adultery, that the papers call Christian Adultery ? A Rolodex of bimbos, three wives, two failed marriages, ethic violations, graft and outright corruption, mandated health care, cap and trade, lies, censures, lobbying, …….. Is there more ? What more could the conservatives want ? Is Newt their ideal candidate ?
Forbes said it well in yesterday’s article: GOP CONSERVATIVES….ARE THE REAL FLIP FLOPPERS.
” GOP conservatives falsely accuse Romney of ” flip-flopping” even though his character is stellar and his campaign themes have been both good and steady, and even though fickle conservatives themselves have flip – flopped almost weekly, dashing about promiscuously and desperately seeking ” anyone but Romney .” First, Sarah Palin, then Donald Trump, then Michelle Bachmann, then Rick Perry, then Herman Cain, and now, the worst of all possible speed dates….Newt Gingrich.
The latest hearthrob of the GOP conservatives is 10 term Congressman and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich. Born and raised a Southern Baptist, but a man who then flip-flopped by converting to Catholicism in 2009 at the behest of his third wife ( a House staffer 24 years his junior who helped Gingrich cheat on his second wife ). Conservatives seem to have no problem that Gingrich is both a religious and marital flip flopper.
Worse, they don’t seem to object that in the past his ” consulting ” firm got $ 37 MM in fees from pharmaceutical firms lobbying for the 2003 Medicare Part D prescription drug benefit, from ADM and ethanol makers lobbying for subsidies, from Freddie Mac lobbying for federal support for the soon to be toxic sub prime mortgage market and from banks lobbying for the 2008 TARP bailout. Gingrich was busy promoting Al Gore’s ” Cap and Trade ” legislation and global warming in TV ads while sitting cozily with Nancy Pelosi whose tactics he subsequently described as ” despicable “, ” dishonest” and ” vicious ”
Takes One to Know One……….But , conservatives now have a lot to explain why they are comfortable blowing the 2012 election on this aging, portly, reprobate and forgetting all the values and ” core beliefs they used to have..
CraigS
November 29th, 2011 at 2:24 pm
Worse, they don’t seem to object that in the past his ” consulting ” firm got $ 37 MM in fees from pharmaceutical firms lobbying for the 2003 Medicare Part D prescription drug benefit, from ADM and ethanol makers lobbying for subsidies, from Freddie Mac lobbying for federal support for the soon to be toxic sub prime mortgage market and from banks lobbying for the 2008 TARP bailout
This needs to be repeated often.
Gingrich is a dirtbag who will gladly heap on trillions of dollars in future obligations for generations to come to make a buck.
November 29th, 2011 at 4:18 pm
Max Twain Says:
November 29th, 2011 at 9:58 am
Boy, these Gingrich supporters are more delusional that the Huckaloons were.
====
As the number one Huckaloon ever at this site and two dozen others daily..
I am offended!
I was with Huck campaigning on the ground in Iowa. WE WON BY A LANDSLIDE OVER ROMNEY!
And then on to SC where McCain beat us 33% to 30%. WE LOST!
November 29th, 2011 at 4:19 pm
And when I say WE, I of course mean, SOCIAL CONSRVATIVES.
November 29th, 2011 at 4:19 pm
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December 6th, 2011 at 12:20 am
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December 6th, 2011 at 12:32 am
T e s t i n g