PPP (D) Wisconsin 2012 Presidential Survey
- Barack Obama 46% (47%) {51%} [48%] (46%)
- Mitt Romney 43% (42%) {39%} [38%] (42%)
- Barack Obama 49% (50%)
- Herman Cain 42% (36%)
- Barack Obama 48%
- Ron Paul 39%
- Barack Obama 51% (51%)
- Michele Bachmann 40% (39%)
- Barack Obama 50% (50%)
- Rick Perry 39% (40%)
- Barack Obama 52% {53%} [51%] (50%)
- Newt Gingrich 38% {35%} [39%] (41%)
Among Independents
- Ron Paul 43%
- Barack Obama 39%
- Mitt Romney 42% (37%) {36%} [33%] (36%)
- Barack Obama 38% (40%) {47%} [45%] (43%)
- Barack Obama 43% (46%)
- Herman Cain 42% (29%)
- Barack Obama 46% (48%)
- Michele Bachmann 37% (34%)
- Barack Obama 46% (48%)
- Rick Perry 35% (33%)
- Barack Obama 50% {53%} [50%] (51%)
- Newt Gingrich 35% {29%} [35%] (35%)
Among Moderates
- Barack Obama 61% (57%) {67%} [64%] (61%)
- Mitt Romney 29% (25%) {22%} [20%] (25%)
- Barack Obama 65% (61%)
- Herman Cain 25% (19%)
- Barack Obama 64%
- Ron Paul 22%
- Barack Obama 69% {71%} [66%] (69%)
- Newt Gingrich 21% {17%} [22%] (22%)
- Barack Obama 68% (62%)
- Rick Perry 19% (23%)
- Barack Obama 69% (62%)
- Michele Bachmann 19% (21%)
Among Men
- Mitt Romney 49% (46%) {46%} [44%] (45%)
- Barack Obama 40% (42%) {44%} [42%] (44%)
- Ron Paul 46%
- Barack Obama 40%
- Herman Cain 48% (40%)
- Barack Obama 43% (44%)
- Barack Obama 45% (45%)
- Michele Bachmann 44% (43%)
- Barack Obama 46% (45%)
- Rick Perry 43% (44%)
- Barack Obama 48% {45%} [46%] (48%)
- Newt Gingrich 42% {41%} [44%] (42%)
Among Women
- Barack Obama 52% (51%) {56%} [53%] (47%)
- Mitt Romney 38% (38%) {33%} [32%] (40%)
- Barack Obama 54% (55%)
- Herman Cain 37% (33%)
- Barack Obama 55% (55%)
- Michele Bachmann 36% (36%)
- Barack Obama 54% (53%)
- Rick Perry 35% (37%)
- Barack Obama 55% {59%} [55%] (52%)
- Newt Gingrich 35% {30%} [35%] (39%)
- Barack Obama 54%
- Ron Paul 33%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Herman Cain 35% (19%) / 42% (34%) {-7%}
- Mitt Romney 31% (32%) {29%} [30%] (33%) / 53% (48%) {49%} [41%] (45%) {-22%}
- Michele Bachmann 27% (32%) / 54% (46%) {-27%}
- Ron Paul 25% / 52% {-27%}
- Newt Gingrich 26% {15%} [26%] (28%) / 59% {67%} [49%] (54%) {-33%}
- Rick Perry 20% (27%) / 59% (39%) {-39%}
Among Republicans
- Herman Cain 63% (34%) / 14% (21%) {+49%}
- Mitt Romney 53% (54%) {46%} [49%] (56%) / 32% (26%) {30%} [21%] (22%) {+21%}
- Michele Bachmann 47% (58%) / 30% (22%) {+17%}
- Newt Gingrich 51% {29%} [50%] (61%) / 34% {45%} [21%] (21%) {+17%}
- Rick Perry 41% (49%) / 33% (12%) {+8%}
- Ron Paul 32% / 44% {-12%}
Among Independents
- Herman Cain 37% (18%) / 40% (33%) {-3%}
- Ron Paul 34% / 43% {-9%}
- Mitt Romney 30% (31%) {32%} [31%] (34%) / 50% (44%) {43%} [38%] (46%) {-20%}
- Michele Bachmann 22% (28%) / 57% (46%) {-35%}
- Newt Gingrich 24% {13%} [22%] (23%) / 60% {69%} [54%] (56%) {-36%}
- Rick Perry 16% (26%) / 62% (37%) {-46%}
Among Men
- Herman Cain 40% (25%) / 42% (36%) {-2%}
- Ron Paul 34% / 49% {-15%}
- Mitt Romney 35% (33%) {34%} [35%] (35%) / 51% (48%) {50%} [42%] (50%) {-16%}
- Michele Bachmann 29% (38%) / 54% (44%) {-25%}
- Newt Gingrich 28% {18%} [32%] (34%) / 61% {66%} [50%] (55%) {-33%}
- Rick Perry 24% (31%) / 61% (40%) {-37%}
Among Women
- Herman Cain 30% (14%) / 42% (32%) {-12%}
- Mitt Romney 27% (31%) {26%} [25%] (31%) / 54% (47%) {47%} [40%] (41%) {-27%}
- Michele Bachmann 25% (27%) / 53% (48%) {-28%}
- Newt Gingrich 24% {12%} [21%] (22%) / 57% {68%} [49%] (53%) {-33%}
- Ron Paul 18% / 55% {-37%}
- Rick Perry 16% (24%) / 57% (38%) {-41%}
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
- Approve 44% (45%) {52%} [49%] (47%)
- Disapprove 51% (51%) {44%} [45%] (46%)
Among Independents
- Approve 36% (40%) {50%} [49%] (47%)
- Disapprove 57% (52%) {43%} [43%] (42%)
Survey of 1,170 Wisconsin voters was conducted October 20-23, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 37% (37%) {37%} [33%] (35%) Democrat; 31% (34%) {32%} [32%] (31%) Republican; 32% (29%) {31%} [35%] (33%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 30% (29%) {30%} [31%] Moderate; 25% (21%) {23%} [22%] Somewhat conservative; 19% (22%) {20%} [21%] Somewhat liberal; 17% (17%) {17%} [18%] Very conservative; 10% (11%) {10%} [7%] Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted August 12-14, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 19-22, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 10-12, 2010 are in parentheses.
-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal.
October 29th, 2011 at 10:59 am
Because of Newt’s stupid move to attack Paul Ryan’s plan, Wisconsin will never be Gingrich Country.
So let’s sweep this data under the rug and let’s move on to something else
…ahem…
Gingrich/Blackburn 2012!!
October 29th, 2011 at 11:12 am
Crazies=Obama 10 pt lead. Not Crazies (Romney)= Obama 3 pt lead.
Let’s go NOT crazy. Let’s go Romney.
October 29th, 2011 at 11:21 am
#2 OK sounds good to me.
October 29th, 2011 at 11:29 am
You guys need to see the new site, whyromney.com. It’s got tons of apologetic data there in defense of Mitt Romney. In particular, check out the “Truth about Mandates” page. Really great stuff.
http://whyromney.com/truth-about-mandates.php
October 29th, 2011 at 11:34 am
4. CF, why did you call it apologetic stuff?
October 29th, 2011 at 11:34 am
I don’t think Wisconsin will be all that close next year. A lot of well meaning people there who still, for whatever reason, believe that unions are good and necessary to “protect” average people. I can’t support that; just a feeling after having lived there for many years. Oh yeah, and it’s the vote-fraud capital of the world. So, there’s that too.
October 29th, 2011 at 11:37 am
Wisconsin is one of the most interesting states, politically speaking. It holds a few of the last remaining pockets of white rural areas that vote Democrat outside New England (along with MN). It is a mixture of old school liberalism and German Catholic conservatism (which means ALL groups drink liberally). It has not gone Republican since 1984, but is in the vanguard of modern conservatism, with Paul Ryan and Scott Walker taking on The Blue State Model.
It has been trending red for 20+ years, except Obama was unusually strong there in ’08, reversing the gains W made. But since ’08, the Dems have gotten thrashed here worse than just about anywhere in the country. It will be a hard state to predict in ’12. In some respects it might serve as a proxy for the relationship between Obama and white liberals.
October 29th, 2011 at 11:40 am
Jack,
“Oh yeah, and it’s the vote-fraud capital of the world.”
Have you ever heard of this place?
October 29th, 2011 at 11:46 am
8: LOL. My bad. Jersey may have an argument too.
October 29th, 2011 at 11:46 am
Matt “MWS”
I have quite a few customers in Wisconsin, it’s a gold mine for “Sports Bar Promotional business” as you can guess. I spent alot of time in Wisconsin in 2010. You could smell Fiengold’s coming defeat in the air…..I joke you not.
Wisconsin will be very close….Obama will need to have FAVS at about 40-41% in WIS among the white voters to pull it out, and right now he is at about 37-38%
October 29th, 2011 at 11:47 am
#5…Keith,
“Apologetic” is as terms used to mean previding information in defense of something.
The people providing the information are called “apologetics”.
Example, defenders of the Catholic Church are called Catholic apologetics.
The term is not commonly used in general English, so it still makes me feel uncomfortable, but that’s what it means…
October 29th, 2011 at 11:51 am
#1…Gee Smack, there is a chance that “one” of the GOP candidates would turn Wisconsin red for the first time in decades and you want to sweep the data away?
Did you already complete your registration as a Dem so that you could defeat Bachmann?
That would explain your actions of late…
October 29th, 2011 at 11:54 am
Smack,
Some of my fondest childhood memories are in Wisconsin. Every year or two, we’d visit my aunt and uncle, who had a house in the woods on Lake Michigan, about 1 hour north of Milwaukee.
Beautiful country up there. If my kids don’t stick around as adults, that’s where I’d like to retire, I think.
October 29th, 2011 at 11:56 am
“Apologetics” comes from the Greek word “apologia” which means “speaking in defense.”
October 29th, 2011 at 11:57 am
…it is usually used in the context of defending one’s religion, so it makes sense that CF would reference it in defending Romney’s campaign.
October 29th, 2011 at 12:40 pm
Weird times we live in. Romney gets hammered for some real but mostly perceived position changes by the True Conservatives but those same titans of all things conservative are mute on the unbelievable corruption of the Rick Perry administration.
When exactly did setting up a slush fund to give tax dollars to supporters in exchange for campaign donations become a conservative principle? The House is digging into the Obama/Solyndra connection to get to the bottom of the corruption but when Perry does the same thing … crickets.
True Conservative.
October 29th, 2011 at 1:37 pm
Wisconsin can be won, but only if Mitt is the nominee. Even then, it will probably be close. W came close twice, but close isn’t good enough. Republican control of the State Senate just barely survived the recall elections, as did the Republican Chief Justice of the Supreme Court.
The forces are evenly balanced in the state…..and will be decided by Independents. Romney will appeal to them, and this is evidenced by mountains of polling……Others, not so much.
Romney FTW.
October 29th, 2011 at 1:47 pm
16
EXACTLY. Perry’s corruption is an electoral DISASTER.
Problem is, no one knows about it because all the crooks in the media don’t think being a crook is a big deal.
October 29th, 2011 at 1:54 pm
Rick Perry refuses to debate. Obama refuses to debate. Think how quiet that election year would be. Tempting, I know.
October 29th, 2011 at 1:55 pm
Beat Obama? Hah. I could beat Obama right now. With Santorum as my running mate. That’s how bad things are for that cat.
October 29th, 2011 at 1:55 pm
18.
Actually, lefty sites and even a few msm venues have reported on this. But on the right blogs, almost zilch. Why are conservatives so interested in protecting Perry?
Romney moves from a moderately pro-choice position to a full pro-life position, something conservatives say they want, and it’s a scandal. But Perry has been selling favors with tax dollars to sleazy businessmen for years and nothing.
If Perry is the nominee the left will beat him to death with this stuff.
October 29th, 2011 at 2:00 pm
21
This is why I want Romney to go after Perry on TV for the corruption.
If Romney starts comparing Perry’s Technology Fund to the Solyndra scandal, Perry’s done. Dead in the water.
Republicans have been bashing Solyndra for months now, and they would NOT tolerate Perry doing the same thing in Texas.
October 29th, 2011 at 2:02 pm
22.
Couldn’t agree more. Solyndra is exactly the comparison to make. I’m sure everyday Perry sees that name in the headlines he puckers a little tighter.
October 29th, 2011 at 2:08 pm
It is a mixture of old school liberalism and German Catholic conservatism (which means ALL groups drink liberally).
LOL.
October 29th, 2011 at 2:12 pm
I can see WI tipping either way next year. It’s going to be decided by less than 1 percent, one way or the other. PA is the other blue state that I can see producing a real nailbiter of a presidential race. NH, I think, is in the bag for Romney, and will actually be surprisingly red.
October 29th, 2011 at 2:27 pm
“It is a mixture of old school liberalism and German Catholic conservatism (which means ALL groups drink liberally).”
Yes indeed. See also: http://bigthink.com/ideas/21502?page=all
“it might serve as a proxy for the relationship between Obama and white liberals.” Meh, I don’t know about that. There are so many distinct liberal groups here…. San Francisco-like progressives in Madison, union Democrats (especially in the northern part of the state), the rural democrats that you mention (although I think there are less of those than there used to be), and blacks in Milwaukee/Racine/Kenosha.
Honestly, I think a really big key in Wisconsin will be if the left can get blacks and students to turn out like they did in 2008. A big chunk of Obama’s gains relative to 2000 and 2004 came in those two groups.
October 29th, 2011 at 6:35 pm
16 Boomer
Have you read the Rolling Stones article on Perry yet ? It’s to be published on November 10, but is on the net already. It is a devastating indictment of the pay for play crowd in Texas
CraigS