September 30, 2011

PPP (D) Florida 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Florida 2012 Presidential Survey

  • Barack Obama 45%
  • Ron Paul 44%
  • Barack Obama 46% {47%} [46%] (46%)
  • Mitt Romney 45% {43%} [44%] (44%)
  • Barack Obama 49% {49%}
  • Michele Bachmann 44% {40%}
  • Barack Obama 50%
  • Rick Perry 43%
  • Barack Obama 50% [50%] (47%)
  • Newt Gingrich 42% [42%] (42%)
Note: In 2008, John McCain received 48% of the vote in Florida. In 2004, George W. Bush received 52% of the vote in FL.

Among Men

  • Ron Paul 50%
  • Barack Obama 39%
  • Mitt Romney 48% {48%} [47%] (45%)
  • Barack Obama 42% {44%} [42%] (46%)
  • Michele Bachmann 46% {45%}
  • Barack Obama 45% {45%}
  • Barack Obama 47% [46%] (49%)
  • Newt Gingrich 45% [48%] (45%)
  • Barack Obama 47%
  • Rick Perry 45%

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 47% of the Male vote in Florida (47% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 53% of the Male vote in FL (46% of the electorate).

Among Women

  • Barack Obama 50% {49%} [49%] (46%)
  • Mitt Romney 43% {38%} [41%] (42%)
  • Barack Obama 52% {52%}
  • Michele Bachmann 42% {35%}
  • Barack Obama 51%
  • Ron Paul 39%
  • Barack Obama 52%
  • Rick Perry 40%
  • Barack Obama 52% [55%] (45%)
  • Newt Gingrich 39% [37%] (40%)
Note: In 2008, John McCain received 47% of the Female vote in Florida (53% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 50% of the Female vote in FL (54% of the electorate).

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Mitt Romney 40% {41%} [39%] (43%) / 46% {45%} [39%] (38%) {-6%}
  • Ron Paul 31% / 51% {-20%}
  • Newt Gingrich 28% [32%] (36%) / 57% [48%] (47%) {-29%}
  • Rick Perry 29% / 58% {-29%}
  • Michele Bachmann 26% {36%} / 56% {37%} {-30%}

Among Moderates

  • Ron Paul 33% / 47% {-14%}
  • Mitt Romney 27% {42%} [33%] (31%) / 55% {44%} [44%] (43%) {-28%}
  • Michele Bachmann 17% {25%} / 63% {46%} {-46%}
  • Newt Gingrich 18% [16%] (19%) / 66% [63%] (62%) {-48%}
  • Rick Perry 15% / 69% {-54%}

Among Men

  • Mitt Romney 44% {46%} [42%] (44%) / 42% {42%} [37%] (43%) {+2%}
  • Ron Paul 36% / 48% {-12%}
  • Newt Gingrich 32% [37%] (39%) / 53% [47%] (53%) {-21%}
  • Rick Perry 31% / 57% {-26%}
  • Michele Bachmann 28% {36%} / 57% {39%} {-29%}

Among Women

  • Mitt Romney 37% {37%} [36%] (42%) / 49% {46%} [40%] (32%) {-12%}
  • Ron Paul 26% / 54% {-28%}
  • Michele Bachmann 24% {37%} / 56% {35%} {-32%}
  • Rick Perry 27% / 59% {-32%}
  • Newt Gingrich 25% [28%] (32%) / 60% [48%] (40%) {-35%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

  • Approve 46% {48%} [48%] (45%)
  • Disapprove 51% {49%} [47%] (49%)
Among Moderates
  • Approve 64% {59%} [73%] (62%)
  • Disapprove 32% {37%} [24%] (30%)
Among Men
  • Approve 44% {44%} [44%] (45%)
  • Disapprove 53% {53%} [51%] (52%)
Among Women
  • Approve 47% {52%} [52%] (45%)
  • Disapprove 50% {45%} [42%] (46%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s leadership on Israel?

  • Approve 42%
  • Disapprove 49%

Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: “Social Security is a Ponzi Scheme.”

  • Agree 25%
  • Disagree 63%

Survey of 476 Florida voters was conducted September 22-25, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 40% {42%} [41%] (42%) Democrat; 37% {36%} [37%] (40%) Republican; 23% {21%} [22%] (18%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 32% {30%} [30%] Moderate; 27% {23%} [26%] Somewhat conservative; 16% {20%} [21%] Very conservative; 14% {17%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 10% {10%} [7%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted June 16-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-20, 2010 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal.

by @ 10:17 am. Filed under Poll Watch
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22 Responses to “PPP (D) Florida 2012 Presidential Survey”

  1. Matt "MWS" Says:

    What does this have to do with Chris Christie?

  2. Matt "MWS" Says:

    Ouch.

    The Corruptable Ricky P is in Newt Bachmann territory with those favorables. He’s more loathed than Ron Paul.

  3. thetruth Says:

    Wow, that Rick Perry is really climbing………NOT

    What will Craig call himself next week??

  4. joe Says:

    if you had told me 3 years ago that ron paul and obama were polling 1 point off of each other in ANY POLL AT ALL , i would have been floored. that is crazy

  5. Doug NYC GOP Says:

    Romney will beat Obama accross the Battleground States Obama took in 2008 – Fla, Ohio, Va, etc.

    Perry will be unabale to do this as he is not ready for prime time.

    Perry is strictly local Cable Access TV.

  6. thetruth Says:

    1 Matt

    LOL

  7. teledude Says:

    All I know is the pundits are never wrong!

    http://www.redstate.com/erick/2011/05/18/rick-perry-is-not-running-for-president-mitch-daniels-is-running-for-president/

    oh wait…

  8. Matt "MWS" Says:

    Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: “Social Security is a Ponzi Scheme.”
    •Agree 25%
    •Disagree 63%

    Way to double down on that one, Ace.

  9. Doug NYC GOP Says:

    #3: What will Craig call himself next week??

    If it is what I call and think of him, his new name will look like this:

    Craig the #@$%#*& 2012

  10. Jerald Says:

    What’s with the Ron Paul vs. Big O result?…

  11. Matt "MWS" Says:

    Jerald,

    Notice that Paul does the best of anyone among men.

    Must be that manly libertarian boot strap thing he’s got goin’.

  12. thetruth Says:

    9 Doug

    I think that might be a little bit to nice

  13. Viking Says:

    lulz, there was a florida poll or two that had Romney well ahead of Obama. Why even post these PPP polls. They only show the accurate numbers when it counts, the final poll before election day.

  14. Jerald Says:

    There was a short while after Craig returned from post-Huckabee exile where he was nearly tolerable and level headed before he latched onto Bachmann.

    The spinning for Bachmann was pretty wild, but then he went over to the dark side to pimp Perry….and everything began to rot…

  15. Jerald Says:

    #11 Matt, maybe it was that “swagger” Paul demonstrated against Perry in the debates…

  16. Jerald Says:

    And Matt, speaking of “swagger”, it appears that Perry has lost it.

    It has been replaced by “whiner”…

  17. CF Says:

    Wow!!! Bachmann is now more electable than Perry!? Perry’s done people, game over.

  18. thetruth Says:

    IMO if it was between Paul and Perry, Paul would win especially if voters considered intelligence, Perry is dumber than a box of rocks.

  19. Eric Says:

    Paul beats Obama by 15 points among Independents. All other Republicans trail against Obama among Independents.

  20. Rick Perry/Jeb Bush 2012! Says:

    KEY takeaway… In 2004, George W. Bush received 52% of the vote in FLORIDA

    PPP (D) Florida 2012 Presidential Survey

    Romney 45%
    Michele 44% {40%}
    Perry 43%
    Newt 42%

  21. Rick Perry/Jeb Bush 2012! Says:

    I love sometimes posting last on a thread after the Whining Crew® members have completed their crying session :)

  22. mcon Says:

    “KEY takeaway… In 2004, George W. Bush received 52% of the vote in FLORIDA”

    How that is the key takeaway I don’t know lol…

    When running against an incumbent late deciders typically break against the incumbent. Of course the difference between Romney and Perry in the scenario is a 23 point favorable spread. Oh and that little thing about Ponzi schemes…

    And if we want to win Florida, and the White House, we’ll need someone who can get every possible voter our way and especially considering Obama isn’t that far underwater.

    Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

    Approve 46% {48%} [48%] (45%)
    Disapprove 51% {49%} [47%] (49%)

    When two thirds of the state is susceptible to mediscaring there is simply no way whatsoever that Perry wins Florida in the primaries or the general election.

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