August 29, 2011

Midday Update

Inside the numbers:

Hot Air -

Barack Obama’s approval rating dropped three points in a single day while his disapproval rating jumped up four, giving him the worst rating of his presidency at 38/55. Both numbers are records for Obama’s presidency in the Gallup series.

Daily tracking polls are volatile, which is why Gallup and Rasmussen use three-day calculations for their numbers. A seven-point swing in the gap is still an unusually large swing, and it’s worth noting that Rasmussen didn’t track the same response. Yesterday’s tracking poll at Rasmussen had Obama underwater at 46/54, the difference mainly being undecideds. However, that’s a point better for Obama than Saturday’s 45/54, and five points better than Friday’s 43/56.

Since these polls operate in three-day cycles, the shift must have come from a relatively positive result from Gallup’s survey calls on Wednesday dropping out of the calculation, replaced by a horrendous result from Saturday’s calls.

Given that Rasmussen isn’t picking up on a dramatic popular shift in the same tracking poll, I’m going to guess we’ll know more when we see the results from both tracking polls over the next few days.

by @ 12:42 pm. Filed under 2012 Misc.
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18 Responses to “Midday Update”

  1. Massachusetts Conservative Says:

    Obama is toast.

    I wonder if he can get down to Bush’s consistent 35% approval rating by 2012. Let’s hope.

  2. Thomas Alan Says:

    1:

    It all depend on whether we let him off the hook. If we give him a candidate that doesn’t stretch the electoral map and he can go on the offensive with, then his approval ratings will come up to the mid-40s and he may well find himself back in the White House. If we have a candidate that will focus the election like a laser on Obama’s poor performance and put some blue states in play, then we’re looking at a landslide.

    And we all know which candidate is which.

  3. Bachmann/Perry ’12 (Or reverse it!) Says:

    2.

    Forbes today on RomneyCare..

    Unfortunately, worse is likely to come. The Rand Corporation concluded that “in the absence of policy change, health care spending in Massachusetts is projected to nearly double to $123 billion in 2020, increasing 8% faster than the state’s” GDP.

    Added Rand, continued cost increases of this magnitude “ threaten the long-term viability of the initiative.” Nor can the state count on an increasingly strapped federal government to continue its generous subsidies. Moreover, at some point people and businesses will flee the state rather than pay ever more to underwrite the state’s health care program.

    Finally, RomneyCare inflated demand for medical services without increasing the corresponding supply. The Beacon Hill Institute concluded: “The vast number of the newly insured residents in Massachusetts is responsible for bottlenecks in the primary care system that forces residents to utilize emergency room care at a significantly higher than expected rate.”

    A fifth of adults report difficulty in finding a physician to treat them. Earlier this year the Massachusetts Medical Society discovered “more than half of primary care practices closed to new patients, longer wait times to get appointments with primary and specialty physicians, and significant variations in physician acceptance of government and government-related insurance products.”

    New York internist Marc Siegel observed: “The wait time for an appointment is now routinely over a month for primary-care doctors and specialists … . Internists and family practitioners report being so overwhelmed—too many patients, too much time pressure—that more than half are closing their practices to new patients.” You’d think Massachusetts was a province of Canada.

    The state’s subsidized programs effectively drive away doctors. Explained Siegel: “More than half of primary-care docs in Massachusetts find themselves unable to work with Medicaid or Commonwealth Care (state-subsidized insurance), which both pay providers poorly.” Acceptance rates are far lower than even for Medicare, and one Massachusetts legislator has proposed making medical licensure contingent upon acceptance of state-subsidized plans.

    Although the expansion of insurance was supposed to reduce emergency room use, visits rose 9% from 2004 to 2008. Ironically, noted Grace-Marie Turner of the Galen Institute, “difficulties in getting primary care have led to an increasing number of patients who rely on emergency rooms for basic medical services.” Thus, uncompensated care still costs more than $400 million annually.

    ObamneyCare is bad policy. Gov. Romney’s signature policy achievement, no less than President Obama’s principal legislative victory, is a bust.

    At least Mitt Romney did not compound bad policy with unconstitutionality, but his health care failure inevitably taints his presidential bid. He rightly faces an uphill task in convincing Republican primary voters that he is the best choice to be their nominee.

  4. Bachmann/Perry ’12 (Or reverse it!) Says:

    PRESIDENT.DEM.2012
    Democratic Party candidate to win 2012 Presidential Election M Trade 50.7

    PRESIDENT.REP.2012
    Republican Party candidate to win 2012 Presidential Election M Trade 47.7

    ====

    We still have some doubters, I see.

  5. teledude Says:

    Are you guys aware that the Obama administration has raided Gibson Guitars in Nashville and ordered them to shut down?

    They busted into their manufacturing plant in full swat gear including automatic weapons and confiscated over a half million dollars worth of product.

    This is pure political gangsterism…Gibson has a Republican CEO and is a non union manufacturer.

    This is something straight out of ‘Atlas Shrugged’ and people should be up in arms about it. Take away our guitars? When you pry them from my cold dead fingers!

    This is criminal! I can’t believe it is happening in our country!

    http://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2011/08/gibson-guitar-ceo-obama-justice-department-wants-us-to-just-shut-our-doors-go-away/

  6. Bachmann/Perry ’12 (Or reverse it!) Says:

    Also at Intrade.com

    2012.REP.NOM.PERRY
    Rick Perry to be Republican Presidential Nominee in 2012 M Trade 35.6 :)

    2012.REP.NOM.ROMNEY
    Mitt Romney to be Republican Presidential Nominee in 2012 M Trade 29.7

    ===

    Such a two man race but Perry clearly given the better chance.

  7. teledude Says:

    6. Just how insecure are you?

    I suggest counseling.

  8. Bachmann/Perry ’12 (Or reverse it!) Says:

    Michele Malkin (shocker) defending Perry on Fox News now from the critics who stress elitism and the importance of Ivy League liberal education.

  9. Bachmann/Perry ’12 (Or reverse it!) Says:

    Now talking about the many colleges Palin bounced in and out of.

  10. Bachmann/Perry ’12 (Or reverse it!) Says:

    Latest Iowa caucus bets at Intrade..

    IOWA.PERRY
    Rick Perry to win Iowa Caucus 54.5
    IOWA.BACHMANN
    Bachmann to win Iowa Caucus 20.0

    2nd tier..

    IOWA.PALIN
    Sarah Palin to win Iowa Caucus 9.9
    IOWA.PAUL(RON)
    Ron Paul to win Iowa Caucus 9.0
    IOWA.ROMNEY
    Romney to win Iowa Caucus 6.0

  11. Metro Says:

    The only reason Obama trades higher than the Republican at Intrade is because of the likelihood of Perry or Bachmann or Palin getting the nomination.

  12. casusit Says:

    3. Dude. Do you have a link to that righteous Forbes article from which you excerpt those few choice paragraphs of great justice?

  13. thetruth Says:

    Metro is correct

  14. ogrepete Says:

    I’m glad the nation is catching on to Obama. I think the glitter is finally coming off our President and he’s having to run on his record, not his rhetoric.

  15. Massachusetts Conservative Says:

    11

    NAILED IT

  16. Perry/Micheley FTW Says:

    12.

    Over here..

    http://www.forbes.com/sites/dougbandow/2011/08/29/can-mitt-romney-escape-his-romneycare-albatross/

  17. Try Not To Laugh At My 1.9 GPA perry Says:

    Hi(8

  18. Try Not To Laugh At My 1.9 GPA perry Says:

    Hi. (8

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