Ratings of 2012 Contenders Steady in July: Giuliani, Palin & Romney enjoy broadest popularity
Favorability Ratings
- Rudy Giuliani 70%
- Sarah Palin 65%
- Mitt Romney 62%
- Ron Paul 50%
- Michele Bachmann 49%
- Newt Gingrich 48%
- Rick Perry 40%
- Tim Pawlenty 36%
- Herman Cain 35%
- Rick Santorum 31%
- Jon Huntsman 22%
Positive Intensity Score (Strongly Favorable minus Strongly Unfavorable)
- Herman Cain +25%
- Rick Perry +24%
- Rudy Giuliani +19%
- Sarah Palin +16%
- Mitt Romney +15%
- Michele Bachmann +14%
- Tim Pawlenty +9%
- Ron Paul +8%
- Rick Santorum +7%
- Jon Huntsman +5%
- Newt Gingrich +1%
Name Recognition
- Sarah Palin 96%
- Rudy Giuliani 89%
- Mitt Romney 84%
- Newt Gingrich 84%
- Ron Paul 77%
- Michele Bachmann 76%
- Rick Perry 54%
- Tim Pawlenty 54%
- Rick Santorum 50%
- Herman Cain 46%
- Jon Huntsman 40%
Survey Methods
Results are based on telephone interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking July 18-31, 2011, with random samples of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. Questions asking about the 11 potential candidates measured in this research were rotated among randomly selected samples of Republicans each night; over the 14-day period, each candidate was rated by a minimum of 1,500 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents.
For the overall ratings of each potential candidate among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, including recognition scores, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.
–Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal.
August 2nd, 2011 at 7:30 pm
///////////////////////
•Michele Bachmann +14%
•Tim Pawlenty +9%
•Ron Paul +8%
August 2nd, 2011 at 7:30 pm
Lol, more people know Rick Perry than TPaw. And TPaw’s been running for president for 2 years. And yes, Texas has a lot of people. But come on.
August 2nd, 2011 at 7:31 pm
Shouldn’t say “more” people know him. The same amount of people know him.
August 2nd, 2011 at 7:32 pm
Smilin’
Smilin’
Smilin’
I just can’t stop Smilin’
August 2nd, 2011 at 7:33 pm
Straw Poll, baby!
! That’s what I’m talkin’ about. Michele needs a first or solid 2nd to Paul’s poll riggers.
And if the other Minnesotan finishes behind her, SHE IS THE MINNESOTAN. Period.
August 2nd, 2011 at 7:36 pm
Telly 1.0 hated polls with every pore in his/her body. Telly 2.0 loves them.
I like the new and improved Telly version
August 2nd, 2011 at 7:39 pm
June 8
Bachmann +24
July 25
Bachmann +21
Aug 2
Bachmann +14
August 2nd, 2011 at 7:41 pm
Aaand…
•Herman Cain +25%
•Tim Pawlenty +9%
There’s your solid third place finisher at Ames. You know, the one who likes to mix it up in the debate ring. Iowa folks love that. 1-2-3 knockout!
August 2nd, 2011 at 7:45 pm
Poor T-Paw. He’s still only at 54 percent name recognition and seemingly gets little attention in the media.
On a related note, ABC News just ran a story about the candidates and how each cite job creation as key goals for their hypothetical administrations. They then looked at where their campaign materials were sourced to see if they put their money where their mouth is.
The winners – all their stuff is Made in USA:
Mitt Romney
Michele Bachmann
Jon Huntsman
The Losers – Campaign items imported:
Newt Gingrich
Herman Cain
Rick Santorum
Ron Paul
Curiously absent was Tim Pawlenty. He wasn’t mentioned. Maybe they don’t figure he’s running. Again, he got no attention.
In the report, Gingrich and Cain pledged to switch to US companies to produce their materials. Santorum wouldn’t commit and Paul said the market dictated where goods are produced and he had no problem with imported goods.
August 2nd, 2011 at 7:46 pm
LOL! My #6 applies to Frankie, too. Y’all have finally seen the light about scientific polling superseding internet polling run or promoted at lovefest4palin.com
Now if you only had a candidate or candidates in the race like rest of us.
August 2nd, 2011 at 7:48 pm
Corrupt Bastards Club still around.
For all you Murkowski fans…
http://www.alaskadispatch.com/article/former-us-sen-lisa-murkowski-aide-headed-prison
August 2nd, 2011 at 7:48 pm
Hey, does anyone know if this Positive Intensity Score means Cain is our next president?
August 2nd, 2011 at 7:52 pm
9.Ci2Eye Says:
August 2nd, 2011 at 7:45 pm
The winners – all their stuff is Made in USA:
Mitt Romney
Michele Bachmann
Jon Huntsman
===
I would definitely party with those three CURRENT job creators.
August 2nd, 2011 at 7:57 pm
What was Rudy’s intensity score and favorability number last cycle in Gallup? Was he also on or ner the top? Where’s Metro when I need him?
Just curious because he spent $70,000,000 to get one measly delegate who I understood had a fabulous time at the convention. Does Rudy G know how to party or what?
August 2nd, 2011 at 7:58 pm
ner = *near
August 2nd, 2011 at 8:18 pm
http://abcnews.go.com/WNT/video/election-2012-campaigns-made-america-14217234
August 2nd, 2011 at 8:21 pm
ABCNews must be short on material.
August 2nd, 2011 at 8:21 pm
Palin is not running. Just watched her on Hannity. She seemed to give the impression that she was watching the field to decide who to support, rather than watching the field to see whether to get in.
August 2nd, 2011 at 8:23 pm
18. Funny, I just watched and she B*tch slapped finger-in-the-wind Romney pretty hard. I don’t think she would do that if she weren’t
running.
August 2nd, 2011 at 8:29 pm
Tele, just because she attacked him, doesn’t mean she’s running. Is Rush Limbaugh running too? He loves to attack Mitt.
What about Joe Miller? Is he running?
Rand Paul? Andrea Tantaros? Ainsley Earhardt?
August 2nd, 2011 at 8:35 pm
Palin is not running. Just watched her on Hannity. She seemed to give the impression that she was watching the field to decide who to support, rather than watching the field to see whether to get in.
=====================================================
I think you are doing some wishful thinking. She didn’t mention anyone when she was asked if there was anyone she could support.
August 2nd, 2011 at 8:36 pm
So, since Palin isn’t running, neither will Rudy.
So the set field is:
Romney
Perry
Bachmann
TPaw
Cain
Santorum
Newt
Paul
Johnson
McCotter
The rest are 5th tier people
August 2nd, 2011 at 8:38 pm
Franklin, I HOPE Palin runs. I PRAY she runs. It would be a fantastic day.
But I can read between the lines pretty well, my friend. I have conducted dozens of job interviews for my engineering firm. I can read people and I know what they’re thinking without them saying anything.
Trust me. She’s not running. And it sucks.
August 2nd, 2011 at 8:39 pm
22. You shouldn’t make such a spectacle of yourself.
Unless you like egg on your face.
It’s like I know a secret, and I’m really bad at keeping secrets, but no one wants to believe me. How lucky can I get!
It is foolhardy to doubt me.
August 2nd, 2011 at 8:43 pm
I don’t like egg on my face. Unless it’s part of a pancake or pastry. Then, as long as I have a napkin, it’s fine. My napkin is the truth and the facts.
(1) She has done nothing to prepare
(2) She knows she cannot win
(3) She likes money
(4) She is looking to endorse someone
(5) I can read her like a book. She is uncomfortable answering questions about her prospective candidacy. She seems to be surveying the field. She is trying to influence the discussion from the outside. She wants to play kingmaker.
August 2nd, 2011 at 8:47 pm
I don’t remember Rick Perry taking a position on the debt ceiling. Perhaps she was referring to him.
August 2nd, 2011 at 8:49 pm
25. That is called projection. that’s what you want.
Because
somewhere
deep down
in the farthest crevices
of your darkest fears…
You know.
August 2nd, 2011 at 8:50 pm
#19 Tele,
I predict Palin will endorse Romney or Paul.
Exhibit A:
http://newsroom.mtv.com/2008/08/29/sarah-palin-republican-vice-presidential-nominee-plugs-romney-paul-but-not-mccain-in-mtv-interview/?rsspartner=rssColdFusion
Go to the 2:05 point in the video.
August 2nd, 2011 at 8:54 pm
Tele, there is no fear. If Palin runs, it would be a great thing. For one, the primary would be interesting. Secondly, she is better than Rick Perry (yes, I said it). Thirdly, she stirs a lot of ire, even within the party. This would change the race from looking to a “Romney Alternative” to a “Palin Alternative.”
August 2nd, 2011 at 9:00 pm
29. Sorry to burst your bubble, but this race has always been about looking for someone to take down governor Palin.
the parade of ‘flavors of the week’ are just a reflection of the reality that Romney is NOT up to the challenge, as will soon become evident.
I predict in the next few weeks, when real panick sets in, people will be pleading with Jeb and Christie once again…to please please please do something!!
OHMYGODSARAHPALIN!!!!!!!!
heh heh
August 2nd, 2011 at 9:03 pm
Tele, there is always a push to get someone to run, every cylce.
This time, however, the front runner has not even begun campaigning, trying to let the other candidates destroy each other at Ames.
Genius.
Did you hear about his coming campaign overdrive? It’s going to be great.
August 2nd, 2011 at 9:06 pm
Tpaw is here in Tampa, he’s even the lead story at one of our top local websites TBO.com (Tampa Tribune):
http://www2.tbo.com/news/politics/2011/aug/02/pawlenty-in-tampa-criticizes-debt-ceiling-deal-oba-ar-247948/
August 2nd, 2011 at 9:31 pm
Sarahcuda has landed her mighty nightstick right between Willard’s
shifty,cowardly eyes!
“I want these candidates to not be sitting back. And bless his heart. I have respect for Mitt Romney but I do not have respect for what he has done through this debt increase debate.
He waited until it was a done deal that we would increase the debt ceiling and more money would be spent and more money borrowed and then spent on bigger government.
And then he came out and he made a statement that ‘oh he didn’t like the deal after all’.
You know you can’t defer an issue and assume the problem is going to be, then, avoided.” – Sarah Palin on Hanitty
Rombots,I know most of you(not all) are delusional,but geez,can’t you see
what Sarah Palin thinks of spineless,finger in the wind,no core beliefs,
no convictions,the man who still doesn’t know who he is,the phony,the fake,the fraud Willard Rockefeller Romney is.
August 2nd, 2011 at 9:32 pm
If anyone has read an article breaking down the politics of the debt deal please post a link.
I think its interesting for a couple reasons. One, opposing the deal might be good politics in the primary, but not necessarily in the general. For example, opposing it may have been necessary to win the backing of some influential officials such as DeMint, but many more republicans voted for it so how will those officials view the candidates who opposed it. I also wonder if opposition plays well in some states like SC but not in NH.
August 2nd, 2011 at 10:06 pm
Ci2eye,
Doesn’t sound like Palin will be endorsing Romney anytime soon:
http://www.rightspeak.net/2011/08/palin-blasts-romney-for-lack-of.html
August 2nd, 2011 at 10:08 pm
Sarah Palin was devastatingly brutal about spineless Willard:
She put her finger in the air describing Willard Rockefeller Romney!
That’s what she thinks of him!
August 2nd, 2011 at 10:16 pm
Its unfair to have Palin still on the Fox payroll while contemplating a presidential run in that she gets to act as commentator and criticize others but yet not be subject to questions herself as a candidate. Also, doesn’t a viewer have a right to know in what capacity she is offering her opinion?
August 2nd, 2011 at 10:22 pm
#33 What I can see, Tex, is someone who is getting ready to support Rick Perry.
August 2nd, 2011 at 10:36 pm
Palin:
“Mitt Romney was doing this (licks finger and holds up in the air)…..”
Barracuda Gladiatrix is just warming up and shifty Willard is already
bloodied,exposed for a finger in the wind unprincipled fraud he is!
Think what she will do with 7 dwarfs once she throws her 50 gallon hat
in the ring.
August 2nd, 2011 at 11:02 pm
#35 Texas,
I was joking about a Palin endorsement. If she endorses at all, it likely won’t be Romney and I doubt it would help him if she did. Palin’s demographic is wildly different from Romney’s.
Romney has a fine line to walk. He has to be court the Tea Party ever so slightly and win as much of their support as possible to garner the nomination without really being associated with them because he can’t win the general election if he’s too far right to appeal to the independents. I think a Palin endorsement would actually be bad for him in the primary.
I expect Palin to endorse Perry.
August 2nd, 2011 at 11:09 pm
Tex – I like Sarah, but the fact is she is like Hannity, same speech over and over and over…………..
August 2nd, 2011 at 11:17 pm
Sarah Palin
“Bless his heart(Romney)”.
Alaskian translation: “Grow a pair”!
August 2nd, 2011 at 11:23 pm
I can’t even read this site anymore. What happened to the intelligent conversation that used to exist here?
August 2nd, 2011 at 11:31 pm
The vetting of phony Willard has begun-finally!
Nobody can do it like lethal Sarahcuda can!
August 2nd, 2011 at 11:37 pm
“Bless his heart”.
In South it means:”What an idiot.” – with a big smile of course.
August 2nd, 2011 at 11:58 pm
Bless your heart, TEX
August 3rd, 2011 at 12:03 am
Bless your bible thumping heart Craig For Losers!
August 3rd, 2011 at 12:03 am
“The Alaska Attorney General’s office has dismissed yet another frivolous ethics complaint filed against Governor Palin by a leftwing political blogger. This particular blogger is from Texas (where she volunteered as a precinct captain for Barack Obama’s 2008 campaign)
This particular complaint alleged that Governor Palin violated Alaska’s Executive Branch Ethics Act because the production company that made “Sarah Palin’s Alaska” received a film tax credit from the State of Alaska related to its expenses in making the series. It should be noted that Governor Palin never received any direct money or compensation from this tax credit. The legislation that created this tax credit was crafted and passed by Alaska lawmakers and signed into law by Governor Palin. In dismissing this complaint, the Alaska Attorney General’s office outlines the illogic and absurdity of exempting former governors from complying with statutes they signed into law for two years after they leave office.”
This was done in June 2011. Does anyone really believe that this blogger did this on her own? Apparently Obama’s people are still worried about Palin.
August 3rd, 2011 at 12:34 am
Perry’s getting in and Palin probably won’t. Palin will probably endorse Perry (who else?) and that would hurt Mitt (and everyone else). Look for her interview with her finger in the air to be aired forever more. Because it plays into Mitt’s stereotype, it will resonate with people, even those who don’t like Palin. Never mind that Perry has flipped around lately too.
August 3rd, 2011 at 12:35 am
SARAH PALIN:
“I have respect for Mitt Romney but I do not have respect for what he has done through this debt increase debate.
He waited until it was a done deal that we would increase the debt ceiling and more money would be spent and more money borrowed and then spent on bigger government.
And then he came out and he made a statement that oh he didn’t like the deal after all. You know you can’t defer an issue and assume the problem is going to be then avoided.
Mitt Romney was doing this (licks finger and holds up in the air)…..”
Barracuda Gladiatrix is just warming up and shifty Willard is already
bloodied,exposed for a finger in the wind unprincipled fraud he is!
August 3rd, 2011 at 12:46 am
50: Tex,
I agree that Sarah gave him the finger and it will hurt Mitt. But does… “He waited until it was a done deal that we would increase the debt ceiling and more money would be spent and more money borrowed and then spent on bigger government.
And then he came out and he made a statement that oh he didn’t like the deal after all. You know you can’t defer an issue and assume the problem is going to be then avoided”…
…make real sense? It’s classic Palin: Garbled syntax; senseless sentences. This is why she is a laughing stock among many groups and cannot be president. Yeah, I know. Barack Obama isn’t much better off teleprompter, but he gets away with it for reasons we all know.
August 3rd, 2011 at 1:16 am
50.
Why are you cutting and pasting that on every thread?
We get it. Palin dislikes Mitt. I’ve been saying that for three years. Shoot, she voted for Huckabee over him (and McCain) in the 2008 Alaska primary.
And we also get that she is shilling for Perry at Fox News. Big surprise. NOT!
Btw, Huck is all over Fox News at least five times a week and will take “care” of Perry if you know what I mean.
August 3rd, 2011 at 1:20 am
K.G.
You are talking nonsense about Sarah Palin’s syntax,(it’s never about her
politics,her stances,her stellar record andher great accomplishments as governor in her beloved Alaska).
Sarah Palin is talking about Willard’s shifty character,no core beliefs,
no principles,no spine,no manhood……
What do you think of that?!
August 3rd, 2011 at 1:33 am
[...YAWN..]
August 3rd, 2011 at 1:42 am
Sean asked her which of the candidates has been involved in the debt discussion and Palin said “well Bachmann has!”
VERY INTERESTING
August 3rd, 2011 at 3:00 am
Has nobody been researching, watching, or even listening to Ron Paul? The man is obviously the best candidate. Yes, we, his supporters, can go a little overboard, but isn’t that what it has come to? I mean, we are 14 trillion dollars in debt, there is no end in sight for these undeclared, unconstitutional wars, and the government just keeps growing. What is going on in this country? Really. Me and every other freedom fighting American will support Ron Paul, while i guess the rest of you will just continue to be misguided and manipulated by Fox News… Sorry for the rant, but it is truly hard to see these kind of numbers when you feel so strongly about ONE candidate. “Freedom IS popular!” Ron Paul 2012!
August 3rd, 2011 at 5:52 am
Romney got hit by CNN, MSNBC and Fox yesterday for coming out of Mittness Protection to oppose debt deal. There is a milk carton with his picture on it floating around. It was a stretch to me but CNN made it sound like he was flip-flopping (whereas I think the truth is he was too afraid to take a position from which to flip flop later).
It should disquiet Rombots that I at least have not heard any response from Romney. You can believe this line of attack will continue.
August 3rd, 2011 at 8:18 am
Who is Sarah Palin?
August 3rd, 2011 at 8:53 am
The funny thing is had Tex and Pablo not supported a loser (McCain) in 2008 and Romney had been the nominee there wouldn’t have been this big fight over the debt or a balanced budget, and the economy would be two years into a robust recovery. If you all want to back someone who can not win a national election, again, be prepared for 4 more years of Obama.
August 3rd, 2011 at 9:51 am
#46 -
Craig – LMAO
That was choice timing. You have a quick wit about you. I can see why you like Mike.