July 31, 2011

Race42012 Polling Averages and Line Chart – July 31, 2011

2012 Republican Presidential Nomination

Poll Average Pew Gallup CNN/ORC FOX News ABC/WaPo NBC/WSJ PPP Quinnipiac
Date 7/5 – 7/24 7/20 – 7/24 7/20 – 7/24 7/18 – 7/20 7/15 – 7/19 7/14 – 7/17 7/14 – 7/17 7/15 – 7/17 7/5 – 7/11
Romney 22.63 21 17 16 26 26 30 20 25
Bachmann 13.50 11 11 12 15 13 16 16 14
Palin 12.67 11 12 13 16 12 12
Giuliani 12.00 11 13
Perry 11.57 12 15 14 8 11 11 10
Paul 8.13 9 8 8 10 7 9 9 5
Cain 6.75 8 3 6 9 7 5 10 6
Gingrich 5.25 3 3 4 9 4 8 6 5
Pawlenty 2.88 3 2 3 3 2 2 5 3
Santorum 2.14 1 2 2 4 2 3 1
Huntsman 1.88 2 2 1 2 3 2 2 1
Johnson 0.75 0.5 1
McCotter 0.50 0.5 0.5

oll Average Pew Gallup CNN/ORC FOX News ABC/WaPo NBC/WSJ PPP Quinnipiac
Date 7/5 – 7/24 7/20 – 7/24 7/20 – 7/24 7/18 – 7/20 7/15 – 7/19 7/14 – 7/17 7/14 – 7/17 7/15 – 7/17 7/5 – 7/11
Romney 22.63 21 17 16 26 26 30 20 25
Bachmann 13.50 11 11 12 15 13 16 16 14
Palin 12.67 11 12 13 16 12 12
Giuliani 12.00 11 13
Perry 11.57 12 15 14 8 11 11 10
Paul 8.13 9 8 8 10 7 9 9 5
Cain 6.75 8 3 6 9 7 5 10 6
Gingrich 5.25 3 3 4 9 4 8 6 5
Pawlenty 2.88 3 2 3 3 2 2 5 3
Santorum 2.14 1 2 2 4 2 3 1
Huntsman 1.88 2 2 1 2 3 2 2 1
Johnson 0.75 0.5 1
McCotter 0.50 0.5 0.5
Roemer 0.00
Karger 0.00
Moore 0.00
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18 Responses to “Race42012 Polling Averages and Line Chart – July 31, 2011”

  1. thunder (Romney/Huckabee 2012) Says:

    Romney the unquestionable front runner

  2. SixMom Says:

    Thanks for the chart. It would be interesting to see a chart for just the last three months.

    That cluster at second place is really interesting.

    I like Romney. Jury is still out on Bachmann, Perry, & Huntsman. Bachmann may be sinking because of opposing Boehmer’s plan.. Although sometimes I think Ron Paul is spot on – he doesn’t have the skill set or appeal necessary to be a national leader.

    Perry is stil a wild card and viable.

    The rest I’m either not too excited about or they haven’t officially announced and I’ll look when they do.

  3. MarqueG Says:

    If you squint and look very closely, you can see early warning signs of a McCotter Surge!

  4. SixMom Says:

    #3 I see it.

  5. Jaxemer11 Says:

    You can’t average polls with different groups of candidates included. That makes no sense at all.

  6. Jaxemer11 Says:

    Until the field is set, none of this means anything.

  7. Franklin Says:

    You can’t average polls with different groups of candidates included. That makes no sense at all.
    ==================================================
    We agree on something. Not only that but sometimes there are multiple polls. ABC/Washington Post did a poll with Republican leaning voters and it came out Romney 26, Palin 18, Bachmann 12.

  8. Massachusetts Conservative Says:

    5

    Exactly. When some candidates are not included, the announced candidates receive a higher percentage.

  9. SixMom Says:

    Grouped or ungrouped, declared or not…Romney is rocking’!

  10. deg Says:

    I’m not sure why, but I like the way this chart looks.

  11. Craig For Huck, Bach, Rick, or Mitt Says:

    Michele, Queen Grizzly #1 AND Sarah, #2 are splitting the mama bear vote right down the middle.

    Hence Palin is waaaaaaaay too smart to get in now. Will she milk her fanboys a while longer? You Betcha!

    You snooze, you lose. Sarah snoozed when Huck withdrew. Too bad.

  12. Craig For Huck, Bach, Rick, or Mitt Says:

    “Bachmann may be sinking because of opposing Boehmer’s plan.. Although sometimes I think Ron Paul is spot on”

    Since we don’t believe the cuts are real and that spending is still going up Michele and Ron are both “spot on” and are, of course on the SAME side regarding the Boehner plan.

  13. Craig For Huck, Bach, Rick, or Mitt Says:

    Mitt’s chart line looks like a camel.

  14. Craig For Huck, Bach, Rick, or Mitt Says:

    ..with it’s tongue out ;)

  15. TEX Says:

    Except for few Rombots here and there Mitt Romney’s support is 1/2 inch deep,soft and fluid.

    He’s been running for years under the very best conditions,no real declared opponent,yet.Still,his numbers are only 16%-23%.That’s his peak.From here on there is only one way to go-down.

    Huckabee is out since May,

    Ministry of Propaganda has been working 24/7 to tell us
    that Sarah Palin will not run,

    T-Paw is……T-Paw,he should be fishing in 10,000 lakes of Minnesota,

    Bachmann is 2 terms congresswoman with no record,zero accomplishments but lots of me,me,me……and I found Jesus,

    Cain is badly,shockingly uninformed man,

    Paul is right on most of the issues,but he’s not a leader,

    Huntsman should be Obama’s VP not a republican,………

    So far Romney was riding the gravy train.Soon,it will come to an abrupt end.Willard will have a very rude awakening.

    The new sheriff is coming to town.

    She will hunt the bad guys and criminals in Washington,Wall Street and K Street and put them in jail where they belong,while creating conditions for full restoration of American greatness.

    SARAH PALIN 2012!!!

    GAME ON!!!

  16. Craig For Huck, Bach, Rick, or Mitt Says:

    TEX says “I found Jesus”.

    Where was he?

  17. Craig For Huck, Bach, Rick, or Mitt Says:

    Or He :)

  18. SixMom Says:

    #13 & #14 – That was random. LOL

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