Public Policy Polling Ohio Republican Primary (PDF)
- Mitt Romney – 21% (18)
- Sarah Palin – 16% (15)
- Herman Cain – 12% (-)
- Newt Gingrich – 12% (16)
- Michele Bachmann – 10% (-)
- Ron Paul – 9% (7)
- Tim Pawlenty – 5% (5)
- Jon Huntsman – 1% (-)
Without Palin
- Romney – 23%
- Gingrich – 16%
- Cain – 12%
- Paul – 12%
- Bachmann – 11%
- Pawlenty – 6%
- Huntsman – *
Favorable/Unfavorable Ratings
- Palin – 66/24
- Romney – 55/25
- Gingrich – 42/34
Survey of 400 Republican voters was done May 19-22 and has a margin of error of +/-4.9%.
May 27th, 2011 at 9:57 am
Wow
HERMAN SURGE!!!!!!
May 27th, 2011 at 10:01 am
Why is Cain fairing so much better than TPaw Smack?? U didn’t know much about Cain until recently myself and knew who TPaw was. What’s the deal?
May 27th, 2011 at 10:07 am
Romney doesn’t seem to be gathering much of the left over pieces… people just refuse to get behind Romney. I hope he can change that. What do it take? Will just staying on message be enough? Romney is unlikely to pander to the electorate this time around. Hopefully some depbates, ads and campaigning can make a difference.
May 27th, 2011 at 10:10 am
Just wait until people find out about Romney’s health care plan, and his numbers drop like a rock. (snark)
May 27th, 2011 at 10:12 am
Congrats Cain
Not worried.
The HUCKNUTS & The Trumpeters are flirting with Cain who is easily noticeable.
Once Cain falls, the votes will go to TPAW and not Mitt.
Mitt has no more “feeders” in the race.
Again, Romney’s FAVS/UNFAVS ratio is below Palin among GOP voters.
Mitt has the same huge problem as he did in “08″ but you all choose to ignore this issue.
May 27th, 2011 at 10:17 am
Cain appears to have some temporary momentum. The real question is – can Cain retain this momentum and build upon it.
This is also the second poll I’ve seen where when they remove Palin, Cain does not gain. It’s interesting and a little surprising that they have such different support bases.
May 27th, 2011 at 10:20 am
I was genuinely interested Smack. I didn’t comment to slight TPaw. I was wondering if you could make sense of the difference between Cain & TPaw.
May 27th, 2011 at 10:24 am
Mattthew Newman,
Cain has the Fair Tax Faction of the HUCKNUTS supporting him. He is doing a good job talking about the Fair Tax in all of his interviews…then man is staying on message.
He better not have another moment like he did with Chris Wallace in the next debate or the narrative that he doesn’t know what he is talking about in FP is going to get cemented.
Will see if Cain can expand.
May 27th, 2011 at 10:29 am
Ben,
I didn’t feel slighted. I believe this poll is accurate. There is no doubt Gingrich has dropped and Cain has gained. Cain has his built in Fair Tax faction which was very important to Huckabee.
Cain is staying on message, doing a good job.
TPAW is at 6% Nationwide. The Wisconsin poll coming out will show TPAW doing better. But yes Cain & Bachmann will be ahead of TPAW at this point. As long as I see TPAW going up I’m good with that.
May 27th, 2011 at 10:34 am
Cain’s rise is a joke. When did we decide it is a good idea to support a candidate with LESS experience than mr. “vote present” had when he ran for president? We should not hand that card to Obama to be able to play. If we want a businessman than pick Romney (I am not a romney supporter and rombots on this site have totally turned me off to an otherwise likeable candidate)….at least he has political experience as well. I see a continue ceiling for Palin around 18% and Paul around 12%. I think that Romney, TPAW, and Bachmann will rise and that gingrich and cain will fall. Still expecting some new entrants soon…..and my wishful thinking will never die for a Huckabee return.
May 27th, 2011 at 10:38 am
TPaw isn’t getting a surge, its Cain. The first debate had an impact in our latest polls. That’s what has happened.
May 27th, 2011 at 10:42 am
Santorubio,
Everything is going to be fine sir. Cain got his Huck-fair tax vote and his Trump business man support. the support will drop but it will some time.
Cain needs Iowa just like TPAW & Bachmann….and he is not going to get it.
May 27th, 2011 at 10:52 am
Why are we talking about Huntsman Jr.? If he can’t get support in the debates, should just drop out unless he has a hatred for Mitt. Get over it!
May 27th, 2011 at 10:54 am
“I’ve got news for you Rombots, if this Judis thing IS TRUE – your guy is finished. FINISHED.”
May 27th, 2011 at 11:02 am
CF
Do you mean ” Judas ” thing ? Not sure who Judis was. Probably running against Sarkoczy next year
CraigS
May 27th, 2011 at 11:03 am
Favorable/Unfavorable Ratings
66/24
Does this seem like it has changed?
What?
Poll numbers are changable?
Whoa…
May 27th, 2011 at 11:07 am
Telly,
Palin has always had pretty good favorables among Republicans. For most of ’09 and ’10, as I recall Huck and Palin lead favorables among Republicans, and Mitt and Huck lead among Indies.
But for point of reference, McCain was around +50 favorable among Republicans early last cycle, so Palin’s +38 isn’t setting the world on fire.
May 27th, 2011 at 11:10 am
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/surveys.asp?@spdT=ECF791E062CD404AAB75
Very interesting Crosstabs on the TPAW vote in Ohio according to PPP.
TPAW gets 10% of the vote for voters over 65+…with the whole field
This better then Bachmann, Paul & Cain…yes Cain!
This is true for Palin in the race or out of the race. In fact, TPAW does better then anyone over 65 except with Palin out of the race except Gingrich(TPAW 1 point behind) and Mitt.
But you know why TPAW only has 5%?????????!!!!!!!!!!!
Because according to PPP and their push polling tactics……..TPAW gets 0 votes with voters between 30-45.
O VOTES?????
BULLS%^$ !!!!
O votes with Palin in the race and out of the race!!!!!
BULLS%&# !!!!!
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/surveys.asp?@spdT=ECF791E062CD404AAB75
So with voters over 65+….who vote the most in elections, TPAW is well into double digits….but with 30-45 he gets 0 votes….0 VOTES!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Right…Right…
May 27th, 2011 at 11:11 am
Herman “What the hell is a Palestinian?” Cain will not be going anywhere.
May 27th, 2011 at 11:12 am
Huntsman, is prepping himself for 2016 and 2020 and will end up running for Utah’s Senate seat in 2012.
Santorubio….it does not show a great deal of intelligence on your part if you allow others to sway your opinion on “an otherwise likeable candidate.” Grow some balls, please.
Smack….I respect the desire, but I sure hope you are getting paid for your postings on this site, otherwise I kinda feel sorry for you. TPAW has some gaining momentum (this poll was not taken after his rollout), but lets wait until TPAW presents any plans.
May 27th, 2011 at 11:14 am
I know this poll only has 400 respondents. And I know that the 30-45 sub group will be small.
But you have TPAW in double digits with the 65=..and 0 votes with the 30-45 group?
The only one with 0 votes in this group?????
Bast^%$#!
May 27th, 2011 at 11:16 am
17 actually, in poll after poll she has the HIGHEST favorables among republicans…it’s always been her unfavorables that have been the cause for concern among her detractors.
Since her “poll numbers” are used as reasons not to support her so often…I see this as an interesting development. That’s all.
You’re mileage may vary.
I’m just here to help.
May 27th, 2011 at 11:18 am
20. He reminds people in that demographic of Ichabod Crane…
spooky
May 27th, 2011 at 11:25 am
BREAKING NEWS: Romney is FINISHED.
May 27th, 2011 at 11:29 am
It seems that Palin has solidified her position as challenger to Romney. Interesting thing is that this was taken when the conventional wisdom was that Palin was not running. Given that Rove now thinks she is likely t o run, will be interesting to see what happens with Palin, Cain, and Bachmann.
Bachmann only gains 1 point with Palin out so it could mean that Bachmann and Cain are not seen as credible alternatives to Palin.
For what it matters, Palin’s +38 is highest among the people who are left. Palin, Bachmann, and Cain take up 38% of the vote which could potentially be bad news for Romney.
May 27th, 2011 at 11:37 am
Was it Granny T that used to do the cool color-code map of which candidates were up in each state? Does anyone have an update of that?
May 27th, 2011 at 11:42 am
Smack, the independent voters love Romney and his accomplishments with the Olympics, several businesses and as governor. T=Paw will have to overcome Mitt’s stranglehold on the indepdent voters, because they are going to vote in droves in the GOP primaries as Obama will run unopposed.
May 27th, 2011 at 12:12 pm
Cain needs to be taken seriously, which I’ve been saying all along. Between Cain and Bachmann and Palin and Trump, it’s perfectly obvious that there’s about a 35-45% constituency for a “poke ‘em in the eye!” candidate. If Palin doesn’t run, affirmative action gives Cain a pretty good shot to eat up the bulk of that vote.
May 27th, 2011 at 12:30 pm
Sucks to be TPaw. Where is that surge Smack?
May 27th, 2011 at 12:32 pm
5 – Stop lying. Do I need to point out the nation Gallup polls on favorable and unfavorables again? Romney’s favorables are excellent.
May 27th, 2011 at 12:57 pm
Why are we hung up on an Ohio poll anyways? Not only is it WAY to early to look at polls, but Ohio will have little if anything to say about who will win the nomination.
May 27th, 2011 at 1:11 pm
Apparently Paul and Gingrich should hope Palin doesn’t run.
May 27th, 2011 at 1:12 pm
#24: I’m writing his obituary.
May 27th, 2011 at 3:57 pm
More big names will enter.
May 27th, 2011 at 3:58 pm
Test