April 30, 2011

AFP-NH Straw Poll – Pre / Post Speeches – EDITED

GraniteGrok, a conservative blog out of New  Hampshire, is reporting the results of two straw polls taken at the Americans for Prosperty New Hampshire event. Here’s the text of their post:

1) Before Cain: A paper poll run at the Concord Tax Day Tea party listed all the known contenders, and collected 300 ballots, about half of which were in before the keynote speeches had been heard, and thus largely reflective of pre-existing preferences:
17% Pawlenty
16% Cain
13% Paul
–% Trump / Bachmann
–% Santorum and Others…
<1% Roemer
(“–” signifies ranking reported, but not exact percentage)

2) After Domination: A text message poll run by AFP to rate the most effective speaker of the four candidates present received 975 responses and showed a striking jump:

62% Cain
17% Pawlenty
14% Santorum
7% Roemer

It’s interesting the huge jump after the speeches, especially with the number of participants and considering everyone who gave speeches at the event. Again, this is a straw poll – so take it with a grain of salt – but it’s an interesting look into what speeches worked and which ones didn’t among participants at the AFP event.

Hat tip to R.S. McCain

EDIT 4/30/11 07:46 PM EDT: Apparently this was before / after an event on April 15th, my mistake. Still interesting.

_______________________________________________________

-Matt Newman is a conservative blogger from Maryland who blogs at Old Line Elephant and Tweets far too often.

by @ 2:38 pm. Filed under New Hampshire Primary, Straw Polls
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33 Responses to “AFP-NH Straw Poll – Pre / Post Speeches – EDITED”

  1. Craig for Huck/Beat Obama Says:

    Go Cain! :)

  2. Craig for Huck/Beat Obama Says:

    As most effective speaker overall, I would rank them as follows.

    1. Cain
    2. Trump
    3. Roemer
    4. Bachmann

    [big drop off]

    5T. Pawlenty
    5T. Santorum
    7. Paul

  3. Herman Cain Wins 2012 Presidential Forum in Manchester, New Hampshire : The Other McCain Says:

    [...] can’t win, right up until the moment when they start saying he can’t be beat.”UPDATE II: Linked by Matt Newman at Race for 2012 — thanks!Category: Debates, Election 2012, Herman Cain, New Hampshire, PollsComments [...]

  4. Craig for Huck/Beat Obama Says:

    More good speakers tonight at the NRA Convention…

    Live coverage starts Saturday 7pm est!

    http://www.nranews.com/#/nranews

  5. NH4Romney Says:

    We’re supposed to believe that Romney received no votes. He wasn’t on the ballot.

    Some straw poll!

    HaHaHaHa!

  6. NH4Romney Says:

    #3,

    More good speakers tonight at the NRA Convention…

    Live coverage starts Saturday 7pm est!

    There is a live feed here as well:

    http://www.rightspeak.net/2011/04/live-feed-mike-huckabee-at-nra.html

  7. Craig's Purple Handbag Says:

    Anytime I read a blog with the proviso ‘take this with a grain of salt,’ I file it away in the circular filing cabinet.

  8. Liz Says:

    Romney wasn’t on the ballot? What’s the point here?

  9. Liz Says:

    Seriously, I am interested in seeing Cain and Bachmann do well. So this was interesting.

  10. Smack1968 Says:

    This straw poll result was from April 15….but thanks for playing. This result has nothing to do with last night.

  11. Matthew Kilburn Says:

    You know, I was curious – would there be any way to put a comments RSS-style feed on the sidebar? that might allow us to continue debating hot threads, without having them displaced by new ones…if people see that there is a hot discussion going on in a thread, say, four or five stories down the page, they might be inclined to join in.

  12. Granny T Says:

    It looks like there’s an interesting lineup to speak at the NRA Annual Meeting and Exhibits in Pennsylvania this weekend. You can join in with the live feed at 7:30 Eastern http://www.nranews.com/#/nranews

  13. BenR Says:

    Will Cain be in the South Carolina debate?

  14. JA Pruce Says:

    CEO Cain is one of the greatest orators in the Party. It will definitely be an uphill climb for him but if he gets a couple of good speeches under his belt he could ride the momentum all the way home. As unlikely as it is, I would love to see a Herman Cain/Alan West ticket.

  15. Matthew Newman Says:

    #10 – Edited the post to reflect that. Was after a tax day event in mid-April. My mistake for mixing up the two – just learned about this today via others who also had the same mix-up.

  16. Craig for Huck/Beat Obama Says:

    Sheriff Paul Babeu is now speaking… Reagan, Huckabee next..

    http://www.nranews.com/#/nranews

  17. Smack1968 Says:

    Have they made a decision yet if the South Carolina debate is still on?

  18. Stephen Hall Says:

    http://www.theblaze.com/stories/team-romney-quickly-tries-to-walk-back-mitts-hang-obama-remark/

    I dedicate this to all of the Rombots that were ragging on Huckabee over the Mau Mau gaffe. There is a saying that comes at a time like this:

    What goes around comes around.

  19. Stephen Hall Says:

    Remember this next time you decide to “hang” Huckabee for a gaffe.

  20. zeek Says:

    This is one Romney supporter who
    1. Never said a thing bout huckabee’s joke that “someone pointed a gun at Obama.”
    2. I believe Romney caught and clarified his quicker than Huckabee because Huckabee kept trying to bleed a joke out of his.
    3. This qoute does not offend me, and frankly I believe Huckabee’s was innocent as well.

  21. Rombot Says:

    18 – Did you watch Romney’s speech? It wasn’t a joke and was clearly not meant in any kind of derogatory way. I don’t know what you are trying to do, but taking things out of context and suggesting that Mitt made a terrible gaffe makes you look like an idiot. No one that watched the speech would have been offended, including Obama.

  22. Stephen Hall Says:

    21, I know that. For one thing, I don’t like nailing politicians over a gaffe because it has the side-effect of scaring away other good people who would have been inclined to participate in politics.

    The deal is that a fair number, well actually a lot of Rombots liked to mock Huckabee over the Mau Mau comment and the NRA, and I was busy at the time telling them not to mock and make fun of Huckabee since there would be a time when Romney makes a gaffe. Essentially throwing stones in glass houses.

    Now the time has come when the shoes on the other foot, and I would like you all to remember the next time you get the urge to mock Huck over any gaffes he makes. I would also dedicate the incident to page 183 and Kenya something-or-other about how one could easily make a sockpuppet mocking Romney over the “hanging” comment.

    I also dedicate this to the Rombots that mercilessly hammered Huckabee over the NRA joke that went wrong back in 2008, 2009 or so.

  23. Rombot Says:

    Mitt didn’t make a gaffe. A gaffe is saying something you shouldn’t have said. There is nothing wrong with what Mitt said. Save your gloating for a real gaffe. Don’t add fuel to the dishonest flaming by the media over this.

  24. Rombot Says:

    You can’t seriously think what Mitt said is anywhere comparable to the Kenya nonsense that Huckabee got himself into (the explanation for which still makes absolutely no sense). No one (and I mean no one) would find Mitt’s words controversial in context. This is a media creation, not a gaffe. I generally think The Blaze does a good job, but that was just a hit piece.

  25. Stephen Hall Says:

    “A gaffe is saying something you shouldn’t have said.”

    So Mitt Romney shouldn’t have said anything about hanging to a black president, especially since we have such an ugly history with lynching? Sounds like something he shouldn’t have said. Besides, Romney disagrees with you. If it wasn’t a gaffe, the team would be trying their damndest to walk it back.

    Look, I know you usually don’t listen to reason, and it is a waste of my time trying to make you see otherwise. However, the above statement isn’t gloating, but rather a reminder AND a warning to anybody else who wants to mock Huck over a gaffe, that your preferred politician will make the same mistake.

  26. welby Says:

    remember when the golf channel host mentioned “lynching” and Tiger Woods in the same sentence?

    The context was innocent and yet she was drummed off the air for awhile. I think what romney said was not as bad as hers but will still be squeezed for what its worth.

  27. welby Says:

    *clarification to #26.

    In both cases they used a poor choice of words considering the target of the remarks.

  28. Rombot Says:

    26 – With all due respect, you’re a moron.

  29. Rombot Says:

    I’m sorry 26, that was supposed to be directed at 25. I’m sorry 25, that was a rude thing to say (which doesn’t mean it isn’t true).

  30. JA Pruce Says:

    Mitt needs to stop contradicting his book by apologizing. T-Paw actually had a pretty good performance with his full-throated “GET THE GOV. OFF OUR BACKS” which was reminiscent of Reagan’s “I paid for this microphone” and Fred Thompson’s “I don’t do hand-shows.” If T-Paw keeps showing the anger he could rise in the polls.

  31. Stephen Hall Says:

    Rombot, you are a hack, pure and simple.

  32. Mike Rogers Says:

    BC/AD was my post at granitegrok.com, and stated clearly that it was based on best speech at the Tax Day TEA party in Concord, NH, captured by text messages to AFP’s polling system. (Duplicates were not permitted.)
    Herman Cain got 62% of the votes out of 4 candidates attending. (This was announced on Greta’s program the same night.)
    At the summit on the 29th, the crowd reaction to Herman Cain’s speech exceeded all others, and I have unofficial word that a quick poll of AFP members got Herman 53% of the votes from the 5 candidates attending.
    Don’t take my word for it – go to any event where Herman Cain is a speaker, and listen to him – also see and hear the crowd reaction for yourself. It should not surprise you to learn that other candidates plead not to speak after Herman Cain.
    In person, he’s your favorite grandfather.
    As a businessman, he’s a turnaround artist and a leader.
    In policies, he’s a blend of Reagan, Forbes, and homespun wisdom.
    As a speaker, he’s one of the most inspirational people you’ll hear – especially when the nation needs to be led through difficult times.

  33. FMJRA 2.0: O Superman : The Other McCain Says:

    [...] RedefinedFishersville MikeHerman Cain Wins 2012 Presidential Forum in Manchester, New HampshireRace 4 2012Buttle’s WorldThe (Perhaps Slightly Less) Lonely ConservativeBits’ BlogTennessee Gun [...]

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