PPP (D) Mississippi 2012 Presidential Survey
- Mike Huckabee 54%
- Barack Obama 40%
- Haley Barbour 51%
- Barack Obama 41%
- Mitt Romney 46%
- Barack Obama 40%
- Newt Gingrich 48%
- Barack Obama 42%
- Sarah Palin 48%
- Barack Obama 44%
Among Republicans
- Mike Huckabee 92%
- Barack Obama 4%
- Haley Barbour 89%
- Barack Obama 6%
- Newt Gingrich 84%
- Barack Obama 9%
- Mitt Romney 80%
- Barack Obama 6%
- Sarah Palin 85%
- Barack Obama 7%
Among Democrats
- Barack Obama 79%
- Mitt Romney 14%
- Barack Obama 80%
- Haley Barbour 14%
- Barack Obama 79%
- Newt Gingrich 12%
- Barack Obama 82%
- Mike Huckabee 15%
- Barack Obama 83%
- Sarah Palin 13%
Among Independents
- Mike Huckabee 55%
- Barack Obama 31%
- Newt Gingrich 47%
- Barack Obama 35%
- Haley Barbour 48%
- Barack Obama 37%
- Mitt Romney 42%
- Barack Obama 33%
- Sarah Palin 42%
- Barack Obama 39%
Among Moderates
- Barack Obama 50%
- Mike Huckabee 44%
- Barack Obama 47%
- Mitt Romney 38%
- Barack Obama 52%
- Haley Barbour 38%
- Barack Obama 54%
- Newt Gingrich 33%
- Barack Obama 55%
- Sarah Palin 34%
Among Men
- Mike Huckabee 61%
- Barack Obama 35%
- Haley Barbour 59%
- Barack Obama 36%
- Newt Gingrich 56%
- Barack Obama 39%
- Sarah Palin 56%
- Barack Obama 39%
- Mitt Romney 53%
- Barack Obama 37%
Among Women
- Mike Huckabee 48%
- Barack Obama 44%
- Barack Obama 46%
- Haley Barbour 46%
- Barack Obama 43%
- Mitt Romney 41%
- Barack Obama 44%
- Newt Gingrich 42%
- Barack Obama 47%
- Sarah Palin 42%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Mike Huckabee 51% / 29% {+22%}
- Newt Gingrich 42% / 38% {+4%}
- Mitt Romney 34% / 41% {-7%}
- Sarah Palin 42% / 50% {-8%}
Among Republicans
- Mike Huckabee 73% / 13% {+60%}
- Newt Gingrich 64% / 19% {+45%}
- Sarah Palin 67% / 25% {+42%}
- Mitt Romney 43% / 35% {+8%}
Among Democrats
- Mike Huckabee 29% / 42% {-13%}
- Mitt Romney 25% / 41% {-16%}
- Newt Gingrich 19% / 52% {-33%}
- Sarah Palin 15% / 76% {-61%}
Among Independents
- Mike Huckabee 48% / 33% {+15%}
- Sarah Palin 45% / 48% {-3%}
- Newt Gingrich 42% / 46% {-4%}
- Mitt Romney 35% / 52% {-17%}
Among Moderates
- Mike Huckabee 41% / 30% {+11%}
- Mitt Romney 36% / 31% {+5%}
- Newt Gingrich 30% / 43% {-13%}
- Sarah Palin 34% / 54% {-20%}
Among Men
- Mike Huckabee 54% / 29% {+25%}
- Newt Gingrich 51% / 36% {+15%}
- Sarah Palin 47% / 47% {0%}
- Mitt Romney 32% / 48% {-16%}
Among Women
- Mike Huckabee 49% / 28% {+21%}
- Mitt Romney 36% / 35% {+1%}
- Newt Gingrich 35% / 39% {-4%}
- Sarah Palin 38% / 52% {-14%}
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
- Approve 42%
- Disapprove 54%
Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Haley Barbour’s job performance?
- Approve 52%
- Disapprove 39%
Among Republicans
- Approve 83%
- Disapprove 12%
Among Independents
- Approve 53%
- Disapprove 42%
Do you want Haley Barbour to run for President next year?
- Yes 33%
- No 48%
Among Republicans
- Yes 54%
- No 27%
Among Independents
- Yes 35%
- No 36%
Survey of 817 Mississippi voters was conducted March 24-27, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 40% Republican; 40% Democrat; 20% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 28% Moderate; 26% Very conservative; 24% Somewhat conservative; 11% Somewhat liberal; 11% Very liberal.
-–Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal.
March 29th, 2011 at 3:49 pm
Among Republicans
•Mike Huckabee 73% / 13% {+60%}
•Mitt Romney 43% / 35% {+8%}
Among Independents
•Mike Huckabee 48% / 33% {+15%}
•Mitt Romney 35% / 52% {-17%}
===
Wow!
March 29th, 2011 at 3:50 pm
I don’t think Obama is going to carry Mississippi next year.
March 29th, 2011 at 3:53 pm
When the 2012 Primary numbers come out later this week, I think Huck is not only in first place BUT also beats Barbour in Haley’s own home state.
March 29th, 2011 at 3:58 pm
Mark,
Too close for comfort:
•Sarah Palin 48%
•Barack Obama 44%
March 29th, 2011 at 3:58 pm
TPAW “12″ continues to be ahead of Huck “08″
IOWA
Strategic Vision
Below are the results of a three-day poll in the state of Iowa. Results are based on telephone interviews with 600 likely Republican caucus goers and 600 likely Democratic caucus goers, aged 18+, and conducted March 30-April 1, 2007. The margin of sampling error is ±4 percentage points.
If the 2008 Republican presidential caucus were held today between Sam Brownback, Jim Gilmore, Newt Gingrich, Rudy Giuliani, Chuck Hagel, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, Tom Tancredo, Fred Thompson, and Tommy Thompson for whom would you vote? (Republicans Only; Names Rotated)
Rudy Giuliani 25%
John McCain 20%
Fred Thompson 11%
Mitt Romney 8%
Newt Gingrich 6%
Tommy Thompson 3%
Sam Brownback 3%
Chuck Hagel 2%
Tom Tancredo 2%
Mike Huckabee 2%
Jim Gilmore 1%
Ron Paul 1%
Duncan Hunter 1%
Undecided 15%
TPAW is at 4% in the last Iowa poll.
TPAW “12″ continues to run ahead of Huck “08″
Pawlenty/Rubio 2012
March 29th, 2011 at 4:05 pm
Smackers,
T-Paw’s problem today. No traction no matter how hard he tries..
http://www.gallup.com/poll/146864/Huckabee-Continues-Lead-GOP-Positive-Intensity-Tracking.aspx?utm_source=alert&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=syndication&utm_content=plaintextlink&utm_term=Politics
March 29th, 2011 at 4:12 pm
She’s got ‘em right where she wants ‘em
March 29th, 2011 at 4:14 pm
Hmmm, this may put Haley’s visit to Huckabee in perspective.
March 29th, 2011 at 4:16 pm
5.
And by July ’07, Huck was up 400%. Will T-Paw be up near the same amount by say, by July ’11?
We shall see.
Btw, in the last Iowa poll, Timmy was at 3.5%. I’d like to see him double that by July. (Huck was at 8% by 7/2007
)
http://weaskamerica.com/2011/03/11/early-test-in-iowa/
March 29th, 2011 at 4:17 pm
TPAW is ahead of where Huck was 4 years ago.
TPAW is gaining traction.
Did Huck having only 2% at this point in Iowa stop him from winning Iowa?.
Maybe you just can’t comprehend this so I think I will stop using comparable logic with you.
Please get in the race Huck so we can stomp you in Iowa.
March 29th, 2011 at 4:20 pm
7.
Telly,
When a well known candidate like Palin only manages a 48% showing against Obama in Mississippi, we’ve got a problem on our hands.
March 29th, 2011 at 4:23 pm
10.Smack1968 Says:
March 29th, 2011 at 4:17 pm
“Please get in the race Huck so we can stomp you in Iowa.”
====
LOL! T-Paw needs to first “stomp” tier three folks like Barbour, etc. in Iowa.
Baby steps.
March 29th, 2011 at 4:39 pm
Craig,
You are correct. Huck got to 8% in July and double digits in August.
So let’s make a friendly wager.
If…
TPAW registers a 8% or higher in an Iowa poll by July 15th and…
TPAW registers a 10% or higher in an Iowa poll by August 15th you have to wear a TPAW TEE shirt every Friday night until the rest of the year.
If TPAW does not succeed in both tests on the posted dates then I must write…
Huckabee/Ryan on the end of all my comments until the rest of the year.
You agree?
March 29th, 2011 at 4:59 pm
I’ll let you know after the next Iowa poll.
Till then, I’m rooting for T-Paw to crack the 5% barrier in the next IA poll.
He is my #2 candidate. (#3 is Michele Bachmann.)
March 29th, 2011 at 5:01 pm
Rumors of Barbour seeking Huckabee endorsement were just that – rumors!
Article on FOXNEWS Election HQ:
Huckabee Insider Says Barbour Not Seeking Endorsement
March 29th, 2011 at 5:02 pm
Ten red states polled so far:
Romney 10-0 Vs. Obama
Huckabee 10-0 Vs. Obama
Nine purple states polled so far:
Huckabee 0-8-1
Romney 0-9
March 29th, 2011 at 5:08 pm
With the Wikipedia map, why don’t they just color Arkansas Huckabee and Idaho Romney.
March 29th, 2011 at 5:11 pm
Craig,
Just remember what I said then.
TPAW will be at 8% or higher by July 15th in Iowa.
TPAW will be at 10% or higher by August 15th in Iowa.
It’s going to take another 3 months before TPAW gets to 8% unless Palin does us all a favor and announces she is not running before then.
NEWT’s numbers in Iowa will start sagging a bit and so will Romney’s but for 2 different reasons. Newt’s 3/4th place showing in Iowa is based soley on NAME ID. Romney’s numbers will sink a little bit just due to Iowa voters figuring out that he is not serious about a robust camapign in Iowa this time around.
Look for TPAW’s Numbers in Iowa to be something like this.
April 1st = 5%
May 1st = 6%
June 1st = 6%
July 1st = 7%
July 15th = 8%
August 15th = 12%
March 29th, 2011 at 5:24 pm
When Scott Walker is added to Michigan, Palin drops 2, Gingrich drops 1, Romney and Huckabee stay the same, Walker gets 3%.
March 29th, 2011 at 8:03 pm
Seems about right. Mississippi is one of the 5 states Palin is poised to win.
March 29th, 2011 at 8:58 pm
Just more evidence that Huckabee’s good national polling is actually due to hyper-inflated numbers in the South. Who cares if we win MS by 14% (Huck) or by 6% (Romney) . . . both are well outside the margin of error and both result in the same amount of electoral votes.
This is a big reason why Huck’s numbers are higher nationally, because he’s winning the South BIGTIME . . . but that fact is also his achilles heel–that he is a regional candidate with no solid electoral strength when it comes to a general election.
Cue C4Huck’s link to the “Bush + another state” strategy in 3, 2, 1 . . .
March 29th, 2011 at 9:07 pm
Jeff,
A 6 point lead is NOT outside the 3.4 MoE of this poll. The MoE applies to BOTH candidates, meaning that Obama could be at 43.4 and Mitt at 42.6, and still be within the MoE.
At any rate, Mitt’s national numbers are probably getting padded by losing in MA by 9 instead of 30, or losing in Cali by 12 instead of 20. Getting less blown out in blue states we will never win doesn’t really help either……
March 30th, 2011 at 1:33 am
What happened, Smack1968? I thought it was Pawlenty/Blackburn in 2012? What made you switch to Rubio?
Am I the ONLY member here who is undecided? Am I the only person who isn’t trying to hype or defend a particular candidate? I’ve read this site regularly since it’s inception and I often get the feeling I am the only regular contributor here who either a paid campaign staffer for one of the candidates or a valuable contributor to one of the candidate’s campaigns.
So, for anyone out there in the R412 universe who is interested in replying, am I alone or does our crop of 2012 candidates leave A LOT to be desired? Each one seems worse than the next.
March 30th, 2011 at 3:14 pm
Colorado,
I still count myself undecided, but I like TPaw, Daniels, and Huck.
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