December 30, 2010

Huckabee on Recent Polling

Every time I think I have the Huckster’s motives and plans figured out, he does things like this to throw me a curveball:

Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee has the support of more Republicans around the country than three of his potential 2012 rivals, according to a new CNN poll released Tuesday.

The CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll found that 67 percent of self-identified Republicans were either “very likely” or “somewhat likely” to support his candidacy in 2012.

That compared with 59 percent for former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, 54 percent for former House Speaker Newt Gingrich and 49 percent for former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin.

It is the second recent poll to show momentum for Huckabee. A Public Policy Polling survey taken just before Christmas showed the former Arkansas governor overtaking Romney in the pivotal state of Florida.

Huckabee, Palin, Romney and Gingrich — who have routinely finished in the top four of most 2012 Republican presidential polls — were the only candidates whose support was measured by CNN.

A big part me thinks that Huckabee, in the end, won’t run. But comments like this make me think that he’s interested at the very least. Time will tell one way or the other.
_______________________________________________________

Matt Newman blogs at Old Line Elephant

by @ 12:41 pm. Filed under 2012 Misc., Mike Huckabee
Trackback URL for this post:
http://race42012.com/2010/12/30/huckabee-on-recent-polling/trackback/

67 Responses to “Huckabee on Recent Polling”

  1. Craig Says:

    “A big part me thinks that Huckabee, in the end, won’t run.” – Matt Newman

    ===

    Why do a few folks think Huck will not run with such almost continuously excellent polling numbers while Palin should most definitely run with her almost continously horrific numbers?

    In my opinion, the only way Huck doesn’t run is if the economy drastically improves and therefore Obama is unbeatable. He’s not interested in being the Republican Party’s 2012 sacrificial lamb in that case.

  2. Texas Conservative Says:

    Matthew, of course you can’t figure out Mike Huckabee. You start by calling him the Huckster.

    I am sure that whomever you are backing in 2012 would get much better verbiage.

  3. Craig Says:

    “Huckster’s motives and plans figured out, he does things like this to throw me a curveball” – Matt

    ====

    The Huck also throws or will be throwing from his repertoire of Major League pitches:

    Four-seam fastballs (in SC ’12)
    Two-seam fastballs (in FL ’12)
    Cutters (Huck’s specialty for the debates and media)
    Knuckleballs (in the rest of the South ’12)
    Knuckle changeups (for the Midwest ’12)
    Eephus pitch (Last seen in Iowa ’08 – may see again in ???)
    Spitballs (An Ed Rollins taught pitch)
    Knuckle Sliders (Saving those for Obama ’12 and/or Hillary ’16) :) !

  4. Jonathan Says:

    Matt:

    Huck is posting this, I think, because he wants to show folks that he is a forced to be reckoned with.

    As for whether or not he’ll run, let’s wait until some more early state polls come out. If Huckabee thinks he’s got a chance for the nomination, he’ll run.

    If he does run, it’ll be interesting to see how he handles being one of the initial front-runners. He was front-runner last time for about 1 week (between Iowa and New Hampshire), so this’ll be a new role for him.

  5. Craig Says:

    2.

    TC,

    Perhaps Matthew is using “Huckster” as a term of endearment like one would use “Flip-Flopster”, “Cainster” or “Boltster”?

    Or looking at the banner on top: Jindster, Newtster, Petraster, Jebster, Thunester, Barbster, Mintster, and T-Pawster.

    Let’s give Matthew the benefit of the doubt. ; )

  6. Craig Says:

    Jon’s right. I too wanna see much more Iowa, South Carolina, and Florida polling. But so far, so good for Gov. Huckabee. :)

  7. Craig Says:

    Just off the Race42012 Newswire. And very interesting.

    Dec 30, 2010

    Haley Barbour praised by NAACP for sisters’ release

    http://tinyurl.com/343sj… Gov. Barbour’s Statement http://tinyurl.com/2wle4… 25 minutes ago

    Gov. Haley Barbour, R-Miss., released two sisters serving life sentences for armed robbery whose plight was championed by the NAACP. A week ago, Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour had drawn the ire of the NAACP for insensitive comments about growing up during the 1960s civil rights era.

    Today, the potential 2012 GOP presidential candidate is being hailed by the leader of the nation’s oldest civil rights group as a “shining example” of a governor.

    Why the change? Barbour on Wednesday decided to free two sisters who have been imprisoned on life sentences since 1994 on armed robbery charges.

  8. TEX Says:

    Huckabee’s political life depends on
    results in Iowa.He MUST win that state
    or he’s out,IMO.

    If I’m right,it’s a very heavy burden to
    carry,that no other candidates have.

    2008 was a time when he was able to win
    Iowa mostly because there was nobody to
    compete with him for evangelical votes.

    This time Sarah Palin and T-Paw will go
    for those votes.

    I am biased,but I firmly believe Sarah
    will win Iowa relatively easy.
    The more candidates,the easier will be
    for her.

    She will never lose her supporters,
    no matter what.Run,don’t run,win,lose….

  9. TEX Says:

    She will never lose her supporters,
    no matter what.Run,don’t run,win,lose….
    ===========================================

    With support like that, primaries
    are made for Gov Palin.

  10. Craig Says:

    TEX Says:
    December 30th, 2010 at 2:39 pm
    “Huckabee’s political life depends on
    results in Iowa.He MUST win that state

    I am biased,but I firmly believe Sarah
    will win Iowa relatively easy.”

    ====

    HERE: http://forum.hucksarmy.com/download/file.php?id=1393

    THE FACTS ARE that she loses to Huck in all three Iowa polls this year:

    27 to 17
    21 to 12
    22 to 11

  11. Craig Says:

    2008 was a time when he was able to win
    “Iowa mostly because there was nobody to
    compete with him for evangelical votes.

    This time Sarah Palin and T-Paw will go
    for those votes.” – Tex

    ====

    Did not Thompson, Romney, and Brownback challenge Huck for the “evangelical votes”???

    The anwser is yes. And the results were: one dropped out and the other two lost out quite badly.

    Mike Huckabee Arkansas Republican … 34.41%
    Mitt Romney Massachusetts Republican … 25.23%
    Fred Thompson Tennessee Republican … 13.40%

  12. Matthew Newman Says:

    Craig #1 It’s a feeling I have on Huckabee. I just don’t think he’s going to run in 2012. Maybe it’s an incorrect feeling – call it instincts. I’m also not thoroughly convinced Palin will run. My predictions may disagree with that…but I’m not 100% convinced either of them will run.

    Texas Conservative #2: Much like I’d call Pawlenty “T-Paw,” I’d refer to Huckabee as “The Huckster” – have been since 2008. Not meant to come across as an insult, just a nickname I like using for him. If it offends our readers, though, I can stop using it. I’m also undecided for 2012 thus far – have to wait to see who the candidates are.

    Jonathan #4: I agree. I think he’s trying to show that he has this support base. Huckabee is a force to be reckoned with, and this is a way to help show that.

  13. Craig Says:

    Matthew,

    Fair enough. Btw, who did you support in the last primary?

    ..Pre-Iowa Caucus?

  14. Heath Says:

    Of course he’s interested!

    Why else the fight back against commutegate and going after Mitt/Palin/Mitch!

    I hear he’s even lost some weight ………

  15. Matthew Newman Says:

    #12 In 2008? I was a Fred-head. Voted for him in the NYS Conservative Party primary before moving to MD. Not that I had a problem with Huckabee, Romney, McCain – and even Ron Paul…I’d vote for over Obama.

  16. Max Twain Says:

    PPP(a democratic firm tied to the Daily Kos) and CNN(a democrat network founded by radical liberal Ted Turner that employs half of the old Clinton administration) have an agenda that is as clear as day. Gallup, Rasmussen, Marist, and all other reputable non-partisan pollsters have Huck in the mix, but behind. It is interesting, however, that the Left is pushing these Huck polls so hard not long after Obama declared Huck his preferred punching bag. Perhaps they know what most of us knew back in 08; that Huck’s big spending and religious platform will not win over independents and his staggeringly bad fundraising will make him an easy target.

    Polling this early gets you in the door, it gets you some free media. But if you fail to turn such attention into tangible funding and organization, as Huck has failed dramatically to do, then it won’t amount to anything. Polling when 95% of the country is not paying attention mean nothing, just ask Rudy Giuliani. Where was Nikki Haley in the polls a year out? Where was Mike Castle in the polls? Where was Joe Miller? Polling when there is so little focus on a race is almost useless, measuring little more then name ID.

    Even Huck has conceded he can’t win with his typical funding levels, but he has yet to correct that problem, and there is no indication that he will.

    Face it, the guy wants to be a talk show host and live on a Florida beach. He doesn’t have the guts, the will, or the ability to build an operation worthy and qualified to topple the Obama machine. He is either too lazy or too prideful to undertake the hard work of constructing a massive ground operation as well as the humbling glad-handing that goes a long way to winning an election.

  17. Craig Says:

    LOL! Yep, that’s it when your guy or gal is getting beat badly or is trending poorly in poll after poll:

    “It’s a conspiracy, everyone!” – Max meet Tex. Tex meet Max.

    [Yaaaawn]

    ;)

  18. TEX Says:

    Sarahcuda won more state polls in the last
    month and a half than Huckashmuck.

    You have nothing to brag about Huckaloons.

    Besides,he’s loved by MSNBC,CNN,Joy Behar
    Obamas and the rest of the Libs.
    Very “impressive”,way to go Huck.

    Mitt Romney at least is trying to appeal to
    conservatives by presenting himself as
    conservative.

  19. TEX Says:

    Huckabee is not even pretending anymore.

    He sides with Obama more than he disagrees,
    newest member of “no labels club” and
    “reach across the isle RINOS club”.

    Yeah,it’s not a joke.Huck is Joy(less) Behar
    favorite republican,that’s what she said.

    Nice going Huck.

  20. Craig Says:

    End of the year numbers…

    POLLTRACKER.TPM.COM

    Head To Head National Average » US-Pres ’12

    Huckabee 45.4%
    Obama 45.4%

    Obama 44.8%
    Romney 44.5%

    Obama 49.0%
    Gingrich 44.8%

    Obama 51.5%
    Palin 39.0%

    FAVORABILTY

    Huckabee .. 40.5% / 29.8% … +10.7%
    Obama …. 49.2% / 44.3% … +4.9%
    Romney .. 35.3% / 30.4% .. +4.9%
    Palin .. 36.6% / 52.7% . -16.1%

    http://polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com/candidates/mike-huckabee

  21. TEX Says:

    ““It’s a conspiracy, everyone!”
    ============================================

    Who ever said it’s conspiracy?
    Libs are always open whom they
    like and whom they root for.

    As Rush always says:
    “Liberals will always tell us who
    they fear the most.”

    It ain’t Huck,they love the guy.

  22. TEX Says:

    So,who liberals fear the most?
    That’s easy,it’s always the
    person they viciously attack
    the most.

    For over two years the Libs are
    foaming and frothing on their
    mouths attacking Gov.Palin.

  23. Craig Says:

    22.

    It’s not just Liberals and Democrats “attacking” her.

    She’s getting it from ALL sides.

    Even her home state approval number has sunk to 33%!

    Thank goodness she has that Alaska reality show on TLC.

  24. Craig Says:

    TEX Says:
    December 30th, 2010 at 8:49 pm
    “Sarahcuda won more state polls in the last
    month and a half than Huckashmuck.

    You have nothing to brag about Huckaloons.”

    =====

    Hmmm…. No. 8)

    Sarahcuda: WV, WA, WI, MT, TX, OH, ME = 7
    Huckacuda: FL, PA, KT, MI, MO, VA, AK, IL = 8

    ..I agree with Tex: “Nice going, Huck.”

  25. Craig Says:

    TEX Says:
    December 30th, 2010 at 9:10 pm
    As Rush always says:
    “Liberals will always tell us who
    they fear the most.”

    ====

    Did Liberals “fear” the possible or eventual ticket of McCain/Palin?

  26. TEX Says:

    Hmmm…. No. 8)

    Sarahcuda: WV, WA, WI, MT, TX, OH, ME = 7
    Huckacuda: FL, PA, KT, MI, MO, VA, AK, IL = 8

    ..I agree with Tex: “Nice going, Huck.”
    ======================================================

    You are still trying to be deceitful
    after I proved your con game the other night.

    Since 11/9,

    Gov. Palin won 12 times
    Huck 9 times
    Romney 8 times
    Newt 2 times

    Sarahcuda is trouncing Huck’s fat a$$.

    You can see it at Huck’s own site forumhucksarmy.com

  27. Craig Says:

    Tex, we went over this yesterday so I had to post a chart with each state…

    You can’t count the same state over and over and over.

    And another problem she has is even when she is ahead…

    From PPP’s poll in North Carolina — Palin leads in primary, but loses general election by 14%. http://bit.ly/hnHw3v

  28. Craig Says:

    (The newest numbers only for each of 23 states since 11/9/10)

    Sunshine State …… Huckabee 23 Romney 21 Gingrich 18 Palin 13
    West Virginia ……… Palin 25 *Huckabee 22 Gingrich 15 Romney 15
    Pennsylvania …….. Huckabee 23 Palin 16 Romney 16 Gingrich 15
    NHampshire …….. Romney 40 Huckabee 13 Gingrich/Palin 10
    Washington …….. Palin 19 Romney 18 *Huckabee 17 Gingrich 15
    Wisconsin ……… Palin 21 *Huckabee 18 Romney 17 Gingrich 13
    Minnesota ……. Pawlenty 19 Palin 18 Huckabee 14 Rom/Ging 11
    Kentucky …….. Huckabee 26 Palin 19 Gingrich 17 Romney 13
    Michigan …….. Huckabee 22 Romney 22 Palin 18 Gingrich 15
    Montana …….. Palin 23 *Huckabee 22 Gingrich 16 Romney 12
    Missouri ……. Huckabee 27 Palin 25 Gingrich 15 Romney 14
    Virginia …….. Huckabee 21 Gingrich 20 Palin 17 Romney 15
    Alaska …….. Huckabee 17 Gingrich 16 Romney 16 Palin 15
    Illinois …….. Huckabee 18 Gingrich 17 Palin 14 Romney 12
    Maine ……. Palin 23 Romney 18 Huckabee 16 Gingrich 15
    Texas …… Palin 22 *Huckabee 20 Gingrich 15 Romney 15
    Ohio ……. Palin 21 *Huckabee 19 Gingrich 18 Romney 15
    NC …….. Gingrich 22 Palin 22 *Huckabee 18 Romney 18
    MA ……. Romney 47 Palin 12 Gingrich 11 Huckabee 10
    NV …… Romney 34 Gingrich 21 Palin 16 Huckabee 11
    CA ….. Romney 25 Palin 18 Huckabee 15 Gingrich 15
    CO … Romney 22 Gingrich 17 Palin 17 Huckabee 14
    CT … Romney 28 Huckabee 15 Gingrich 14 Palin 11

  29. Craig Says:

    Quit playing your games, TEX. Everyone can count. :)

    It is close;

    Huck leads in 8, Sarah in 7, Mitt 6 ..since 11/9/10

    >NOTE: Huck is in 1st place or within *MOE of 1st place in 17 of 23 states – each state with their LATEST poll only counting!!!

    >Sarahcuda 15 of 23 latest states polled – either in 1st or within the MOE of 1st
    >Romney 13 of 23 latest states polled – either in 1st or within the MOE of 1st
    >Newt 6 of 23 latest states polled – either in 1st or within the MOE of 1st

  30. TEX Says:

    You Keep forgetting:

    First things FIRST!THE NOMINATION!!!

    In 1980 just few months before election
    Carter was leading Reagan by 25%,because
    Liberal media was attacking Reagan as
    B movie actor,dunce,dumb,stupid.
    Sounds familiar?

    Oh,I can hear it.”Palin is not Reagan”.
    With all due respect to the great man,
    Sarah Palin will be even better President,
    for several reasons.

  31. Craig Says:

    Romney is tied with Huck in Michigan ..so add one more for him.

    Palin is tied with Newt in North Carolina ..so add one more for her.

    But as I said, she’s got much bigger problems than either Huck or Romney on the horizon…

    From PPP’s poll in North Carolina — Palin leads in primary, but loses general election by 14%. http://bit.ly/hnHw3v

  32. Craig Says:

    6.

    PALIN IS NOT REAGAN by a long shot.

    Check each ones resume, TEX. Do some research.

    Open your eyes but stay away from the Palin propaganda sites.

  33. TEX Says:

    “Quit playing your games, TEX. Everyone can count. :)
    ==============================================================

    Nobody cares,but if anybody does
    please visit forumhucksarmy.com
    and count for yourself,from 11/9.

    Don’t take my word for it,
    or Craig’s phony baloney.

    It’s right there!

  34. Craig Says:

    TEX Says:
    December 30th, 2010 at 10:27 pm
    “You Keep forgetting:First things FIRST!THE NOMINATION!!!”

    ====

    Not really.

    HERE: http://forum.hucksarmy.com/download/file.php?id=1393

    A. THE FACTS ARE that she loses to Huck in all three Iowa polls this year:

    27 to 17
    21 to 12
    22 to 11

    B. Mitt kills her off in Nevada & New Hampshire.

    C. South Carolina: She won’t win after going 0 for 3 up to this point.

    D> FLORIDA numbers this week: Huckabee 23 Romney 21 Gingrich 18 Palin 13

    She’s toast.

  35. TEX Says:

    “Romney is tied with Huck in Michigan ..so add one more for him”.
    =========================================================================

    Gov Palin is MOE in Michigan with
    Mitt and Huck.

    All she needs to do is send Todd
    in Michigan to talk to Union and
    nonunion people,like she wanted to
    do in 2008.

    Incompetent morons around McCain
    didn’t let it happen,and Johnny
    was nothing but push over wuss.

  36. Craig Says:

    TEX Says:
    December 30th, 2010 at 10:27 pm
    “You Keep forgetting:First things FIRST!THE NOMINATION!!!”

    ====

    Not really.

    HERE: http://forum.hucksarmy.com/download/file.php?id=1393

    A. THE FACTS ARE that she loses to Huck in all three Iowa polls this year:

    27 to 17
    21 to 12
    22 to 11

    B. Mitt kills her off in Nevada & New Hampshire.

    C. South Carolina: She won’t win after going 0 for 3 up to this primary.

    D> FLORIDA numbers this week: Huckabee 23 Romney 21 Gingrich 18 Palin 13

    Bottom Line: Palin’s toast if she decides to run, as more and more folks are realizing each day that she’s not even electable …

    … even her neighbors in Alaska who know her the best don’t like her. C’mon 33% approval is atrocious. Folks are just not in to her, especially to the idea of Palin being our next president. I’m sure she would have great difficulty getting elected again in Alaska to anything. She’s that polarizing, imo.

  37. Craig Says:

    TEX Says:
    December 30th, 2010 at 10:46 pm
    “Romney is tied with Huck in Michigan ..so add one more for him”.
    =========================================================================

    “Gov Palin is MOE in Michigan with
    Mitt and Huck.” – TEX

    ————

    Finally! You’re now understanding the MOE concept, my friend. :)

  38. TEX Says:

    Craig,

    C’mon man,get hold of yourself,you’re
    loosing it.
    You are not commenting anymore,you
    are in rage.

    What bothers you so much,that I don’t
    let you get away with crap?
    Is that it?

  39. TEX Says:

    “Finally! You’re now understanding the MOE concept, my friend. :)
    ===================================================================
    Where did you get that idea?
    I always understood MOE,what’s the problem?

  40. Craig Says:

    15.

    Great! :) !

    Understand this now:

    NOTE: Huck is in 1st place or within *MOE of 1st place in 17 of 23 states – each state with their LATEST poll only counting!

    >Sarahcuda 15 of 23 latest states polled – either in 1st or within the MOE of 1st
    >Romney 13 of 23 latest states polled – either in 1st or within the MOE of 1st
    >Newt 6 of 23 latest states polled – either in 1st or within the MOE of 1st

    But again, Palin’s problem is that even when she does well in a state, she gets creamed by Obama in that same state in the general. She’s by far our worse candidate versus Obama.

  41. Craig Says:

    Tex,

    You ignored my #10 & #12 post. Points A,B C, D.

    Then tried to change the subject in #14? I wonder why. ;)

  42. TEX Says:

    Craig,

    As long as you keep forgetting,I must remind you:
    First things FIRST! THE NOMINATION !!!

    To face Obama the candidate must win THE NOMONATION!

    Only after that,faze 2: Mop the floor with Chicago
    community organizer.

    Get it?Finaly?!

  43. Craig Says:

    Tex? Your computer break?

    A? B? C? D? Palin’s problems.

    I’ll just conclude you finally see the light.

    Good night. ;)

  44. Craig Says:

    How can she get the nomination?????

    A. THE FACTS ARE that she loses to Huck in all three Iowa polls this year AND she’s not exactly tracking well.

    27 to 17
    21 to 12
    22 to 11

    B. Mitt kills her off in Nevada & New Hampshire.

    C. South Carolina: She won’t win after going 0 for 3 up to this primary. But if she decides to limp on after SC…

    D. FLORIDA numbers this week: Huckabee 23 Romney 21 Gingrich 18 Palin 13

  45. Craig Says:

    20.

    Tex,

    I’ll read your response (if you have one) in the morning.

  46. TEX Says:

    Craig,

    One of your problems is you still live
    in 2008.It’s different now,very different.

    For one reason and one reason only:Sarahcuda.

    She changed and killed all the nice plans
    that Mitt and Huck had.The rest of candidates
    are not serious contenders,all they want is
    to enhance their resume,play big shots,seeking
    fame and fortune.

    Her presence

  47. TEX Says:

    Craig,

    You show me poll in Iowa from over
    7 months ago and other two that are
    probably even older.

    Huck is ahead 10 and 9 points.
    Am I supposed to be impressed?
    Don’t hold your breath,I’m NOT.

    At the same time you cherry pick 23
    state polls since 11/9,you ignore
    6 polls at that short period.

    Why,because out of those 6 Gov. Palin
    won 4 times.

    Your excuse?Some states had more than
    one poll in that same period.

    I count all the polls,you pick those
    that most benefit Huck.

  48. Craig Says:

    TEX Says:
    December 30th, 2010 at 11:32 pm
    “Craig,

    For one reason and one reason only:Sarahcuda.

    She changed and killed all the nice plans
    that Mitt and Huck had.

    Her presence”

    ===

    What does that all cult like adoration and gibberish even mean?

    She’s in no position to kill off anyone’s plans. Period.

    Huckabee …. 40.5% / 29.8% … +10.7%
    Romney ….. 35.3% / 30.4% .. +4.9%
    Palin ….. 36.6% / 52.7% . -16.1%

    - http://polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com/candidates/mike-huckabee

    Huckabee .. 39.1% / 28.3% … +10.8%
    Romney…. 34.0% / 31.0% .. +3.0%
    Palin … 37.4% / 52.3% . -14.9%

    - pollster.com’s tracking of hundreds of polls

  49. Craig Says:

    “At the same time you cherry pick 23
    state polls since 11/9,you ignore
    6 polls at that short period.”

    ====

    Wrong! Those other 6 polls were old numbers for some of the 23 states.

    You know it or you’re just playing dumb for everyone to se.

    Intelligent people count each of the 23 states since 9/11 ONCE.

  50. Craig Says:

    Tex,

    Why are you counting NC three times, for instance?

    When you should only count it ONCE along with the other 22 states since 11/9/10…

    Here are the only 23 states that were polled.

    NOT 29, Tex. 23!

    Capisce? — “Do you understand?”

    F L O R I D A …..… Huckabee 23 Romney 21 Gingrich 18 Palin 13
    West Virginia ……… Palin 25 *Huckabee 22 Gingrich 15 Romney 15
    Pennsylvania …….. Huckabee 23 Palin 16 Romney 16 Gingrich 15
    NHampshire …….. Romney 40 Huckabee 13 Gingrich/Palin 10
    Washington …….. Palin 19 Romney 18 *Huckabee 17 Gingrich 15
    Wisconsin ……… Palin 21 *Huckabee 18 Romney 17 Gingrich 13
    Minnesota ……. Pawlenty 19 Palin 18 Huckabee 14 Rom/Ging 11
    Kentucky …….. Huckabee 26 Palin 19 Gingrich 17 Romney 13
    Michigan …….. Huckabee 22 Romney 22 Palin 18 Gingrich 15
    Montana …….. Palin 23 *Huckabee 22 Gingrich 16 Romney 12
    Missouri ……. Huckabee 27 Palin 25 Gingrich 15 Romney 14
    Virginia …….. Huckabee 21 Gingrich 20 Palin 17 Romney 15
    Alaska …….. Huckabee 17 Gingrich 16 Romney 16 Palin 15
    Illinois …….. Huckabee 18 Gingrich 17 Palin 14 Romney 12
    Maine ……. Palin 23 Romney 18 Huckabee 16 Gingrich 15
    Texas …… Palin 22 *Huckabee 20 Gingrich 15 Romney 15
    Ohio ……. Palin 21 *Huckabee 19 Gingrich 18 Romney 15
    NC …….. Gingrich 22 Palin 22 *Huckabee 18 Romney 18
    MA ……. Romney 47 Palin 12 Gingrich 11 Huckabee 10
    NV …… Romney 34 Gingrich 21 Palin 16 Huckabee 11
    CA ….. Romney 25 Palin 18 Huckabee 15 Gingrich 15
    CO … Romney 22 Gingrich 17 Palin 17 Huckabee 14
    CT … Romney 28 Huckabee 15 Gingrich 14 Palin 11

  51. Craig Says:

    26.

    Each state, the latest one. You only get credit for the latest.

    Cherry picking is counting a state multiple times to pad it.

    You are not going to get away with that, Tex. Nice try.

  52. Craig Says:

    I have to keep an eye on you in 2011 as more state polls come on line.

    Hence the chart for EACH state that Huck’s Army has produced to keep track … http://forum.hucksarmy.com/download/file.php?id=1393

  53. Churchill Says:

    The Crag and Tex Show

    Kind of like Hannity & Colmes… sorry Tex, you are Colmes.

  54. TEX Says:

    Craig,

    Go to your beloved site forumhucksarmy.com,
    if you need reading glasses put them on and
    read state polls from 11/9 until today.

    How many polls?You have problem counting,so
    go slow:1…7…15…21…25…29!

    Bingo!You did it!Bravo!
    You can count,all way to 29.

    Now,count colored boxes which represent the
    winner of each poll.

    Start with the lady,Sarah Palin.I think you are
    a gentleman?Are you?

    Let’s see how many times Mama Grizzly won?
    1…5…8..slow now…11…12!

    Bingo!You done it again Craig,I’m proud of you!
    Let’s count for Huckabee now:

    1…4…7…9!Bingo!You’re getting really good.
    How many for Romney and Newt?

    8 for Romney?OK,not bad for our buddy Mitt.
    2 for Newt?Only 2,that’s it?OK,it figures.

    So,what do we have?

    SARAHCUDA…12
    Huck……….9
    Romney………8
    Newt…………2

    Good job Craig,now you can go to sleep.Good night.

  55. Craig Says:

    Tex Colmes,

    23 States since 9/11. Count each state’s latest poll once.

    And you will get this:

    F L O R I D A …..… Huckabee 23 Romney 21 Gingrich 18 Palin 13
    West Virginia ……… Palin 25 *Huckabee 22 Gingrich 15 Romney 15
    Pennsylvania …….. Huckabee 23 Palin 16 Romney 16 Gingrich 15
    NHampshire …….. Romney 40 Huckabee 13 Gingrich/Palin 10
    Washington …….. Palin 19 Romney 18 *Huckabee 17 Gingrich 15
    Wisconsin ……… Palin 21 *Huckabee 18 Romney 17 Gingrich 13
    Minnesota ……. Pawlenty 19 Palin 18 Huckabee 14 Rom/Ging 11
    Kentucky …….. Huckabee 26 Palin 19 Gingrich 17 Romney 13
    Michigan …….. Huckabee 22 Romney 22 Palin 18 Gingrich 15
    Montana …….. Palin 23 *Huckabee 22 Gingrich 16 Romney 12
    Missouri ……. Huckabee 27 Palin 25 Gingrich 15 Romney 14
    Virginia …….. Huckabee 21 Gingrich 20 Palin 17 Romney 15
    Alaska …….. Huckabee 17 Gingrich 16 Romney 16 Palin 15
    Illinois …….. Huckabee 18 Gingrich 17 Palin 14 Romney 12
    Maine ……. Palin 23 Romney 18 Huckabee 16 Gingrich 15
    Texas …… Palin 22 *Huckabee 20 Gingrich 15 Romney 15
    Ohio ……. Palin 21 *Huckabee 19 Gingrich 18 Romney 15
    NC …….. Gingrich 22 Palin 22 *Huckabee 18 Romney 18
    MA ……. Romney 47 Palin 12 Gingrich 11 Huckabee 10
    NV …… Romney 34 Gingrich 21 Palin 16 Huckabee 11
    CA ….. Romney 25 Palin 18 Huckabee 15 Gingrich 15
    CO … Romney 22 Gingrich 17 Palin 17 Huckabee 14
    CT … Romney 28 Huckabee 15 Gingrich 14 Palin 11

    NOTE: Huck is in 1st place or within *MOE of 1st place in 17 of 23 states – each state with their LATEST poll only counting!

    >Sarahcuda 15 of 23 latest states polled – either in 1st or within the MOE of 1st
    >Romney 13 of 23 latest states polled – either in 1st or within the MOE of 1st
    >Newt 6 of 23 latest states polled – either in 1st or within the MOE of 1st

  56. Craig Says:

    I will wager that Romney passes Sarahcuda within 60 days from now while she slides to 3rd…

    And that Huck remains ahead of both.

    AND Tex, we’re counting each state once AT THIS SITE and not padding like they do at your cult headquarters, C4P.com i.e. Crying4Palin.com :)

  57. Craig Says:

    Tex,

    Let’s see.. Why do I have to keep an eye on you? At least 5 reasons…

    1. You counted NC TWICE, OHIO TWICE and WISCONSIN TWICE.

    2. Plus you’re counting MINNESOTA TWICE which Pawlenty won both times ..have you no shame?

    12/10 MN:

    Mitch Daniels 2%
    Newt Gingrich 11%
    Mike Huckabee 15%
    Sarah Palin 17%
    Ron Paul 9%
    Tim Pawlenty 24%
    Mitt Romney 13%
    John Thune 3%
    Someone else/Undecided 6%

    http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_MN_1213.pdf

    ..yet in your brainwashed state of Palinitis, you like a zombie, gave her two 1st place finishes for MN when it was T-Paw who won both MN polls since 9/11.

    3. It is close but Sarahcuda is not beating Huckacuda lately or easily as you constantly boast fot the past month and a half.

    4. Huck leads in 8, Sarah in 8, Mitt in 7 including ties since 11/9/10 therefor no official frontrunner for 2010.

    5. BUT more importantly: Huck is in 1st place or within the *MOE of 1st place in 17 of 23 states – each state with their LATEST poll only counting!!!

    >Sarahcuda 15 of 23 latest states polled – either in 1st or within the MOE of 1st
    >Romney 13 of 23 latest states polled – either in 1st or within the MOE of 1st
    >Newt 6 of 23 latest states polled – either in 1st or within the MOE of 1st

  58. Craig Says:

    Tex Colmes,

    I will now update with the newer Minnesota poll (12/10′s replacing 11/11′s) where T-Paw destroys the field and Sarahcuda DROPS back outside the MOE. Uh-oh…she’s going backwards again.

    23 States since 9/11. Count each state’s latest poll once.

    And you will get this:

    F L O R I D A …..… Huckabee 23 Romney 21 Gingrich 18 Palin 13
    West Virginia ……… Palin 25 *Huckabee 22 Gingrich 15 Romney 15
    Pennsylvania …….. Huckabee 23 Palin 16 Romney 16 Gingrich 15
    NHampshire …….. Romney 40 Huckabee 13 Gingrich/Palin 10
    Washington …….. Palin 19 Romney 18 *Huckabee 17 Gingrich 15
    Wisconsin ……… Palin 21 *Huckabee 18 Romney 17 Gingrich 13
    Minnesota ……. Pawlenty 24 Palin 17 Huckabee 15 Rom 13 Ging 11
    Kentucky …….. Huckabee 26 Palin 19 Gingrich 17 Romney 13
    Michigan …….. Huckabee 22 Romney 22 Palin 18 Gingrich 15
    Montana …….. Palin 23 *Huckabee 22 Gingrich 16 Romney 12
    Missouri ……. Huckabee 27 Palin 25 Gingrich 15 Romney 14
    Virginia …….. Huckabee 21 Gingrich 20 Palin 17 Romney 15
    Alaska …….. Huckabee 17 Gingrich 16 Romney 16 Palin 15
    Illinois …….. Huckabee 18 Gingrich 17 Palin 14 Romney 12
    Maine ……. Palin 23 Romney 18 Huckabee 16 Gingrich 15
    Texas …… Palin 22 *Huckabee 20 Gingrich 15 Romney 15
    Ohio ……. Palin 21 *Huckabee 19 Gingrich 18 Romney 15
    NC …….. Gingrich 22 Palin 22 *Huckabee 18 Romney 18
    MA ……. Romney 47 Palin 12 Gingrich 11 Huckabee 10
    NV …… Romney 34 Gingrich 21 Palin 16 Huckabee 11
    CA ….. Romney 25 Palin 18 Huckabee 15 Gingrich 15
    CO … Romney 22 Gingrich 17 Palin 17 Huckabee 14
    CT … Romney 28 Huckabee 15 Gingrich 14 Palin 11

    NOTE: Huck is in 1st place or within *MOE of 1st place in 17 of 23 states

    >Sarahcuda 14 of 23 latest states polled – either in 1st or within the MOE of 1st (She WAS 15 of 23 but the new MN dropped her)

    >Romney 13 of 23 latest states polled – either in 1st or within the MOE of 1st

    >Newt 6 of 23 latest states polled – either in 1st or within the MOE of 1st

  59. Craig Says:

    TEX Says:
    December 30th, 2010 at 11:46 pm
    “Craig,

    You show me poll in Iowa from over
    7 months ago and other two that are
    probably even older.”

    ===

    Tex Colmes,

    One older, one NEWER!

    The IOWA Republican Poll } 8/16/10

    Huck 22
    Mitt 18
    Newt 14
    Sarahdeadfish 11
    Ron Paulshark 5

    RightOSphere/Rightway Poll } 3/9/10

    Huck 21
    Mitt 14
    Sarahdeadfishinthewater 12

    Public Policy Polling } 5/31/10

    Huckacuda 27
    Sarahgoldfish 17
    Gingfish 16
    Mittminnow 15

  60. Craig Says:

    #34 should have said, “I will now update with the newer Minnesota poll (new MN poll from 12/10/2010 replacing older MN poll from 11/11/2010) where T-Paw destroys the field and Sarahcuda DROPS back outside the MOE.

    Uh-oh…she’s going backwards again.”

  61. Craig Says:

    Double checking each different MOE listed at both HA charts…

    NOTE: Huck is in 1st place or within MOE of 1st place in 15 of 23 states = 65% of the time

    >Romney 14 of 23 latest states polled – either in 1st or within the MOE of 1st = 61% of the time

    >Palin 14 of 23 latest states polled – either in 1st or within the MOE of 1st = 61% of the time

    >Newt 6 of 23 latest states polled – either in 1st or within the MOE of 1st = 26% of the time

    http://forum.hucksarmy.com/viewforum.php?f=180

    The first two states to be polled in 2011 will be Nevada for sure and it looks (so far) like Pennsylvania again as the other state for next week. I wonder if both states will tighten up a little.

  62. DanL Says:

    Wow, this place has gone to heck. A 60 post argument between ugly and stinky is the only thing going on here.

  63. Ray Brun Says:

    Seriously, how old are you 2? I am totally serious in my question.

    What a waste of a post. Can’t you 2 just email each other. No one else on here cares; you both post this nonsense so damn much.

    If your chosen candidates chooses not to run do you both promise to leave the site and never comment again?

  64. Granny T Says:

    Max said, “Gallup, Rasmussen, Marist, and all other reputable non-partisan pollsters have Huck in the mix, but behind.”

    I have three things I’d like to point out about that.
    1. I thought the chart we saw said that none of the polling companies were 100% accurate and most of them leaned either one way or the other.

    2. According to the polling I’ve seen (including “Gallup, Rasmussen, [and] Marist”) Huckabee is within the margin of error no matter who does the polling.
    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/republican_presidential_primary-1452.html

    More info from that link are the RCP averages:
    Romney 19.1
    Huckabee 17.6
    Palin 17.0
    Gingrich 13.1

    3. Both Romney and Huckabee have beaten Obama 5 times in head to head polls against him.

    According to Real Clear Politics averages:
    Obama has a 0.2 advantage against Romney
    Obama has a 0.8 advantage against Huckabee
    Obama has a 12.8 advantage against Palin

    IMO all four of the top tier candidates should run and as many of the bottom tier that are willing ought to give it a try so that the voters can decide who our best nominee is.

  65. Granny T Says:

    I have a comment awaiting moderation because I put too many link in it. Here is the rundown without all of the links just in case it never works: (If it does work, please forgive the double post)

    Max said, “Gallup, Rasmussen, Marist, and all other reputable non-partisan pollsters have Huck in the mix, but behind.”

    I have three things I’d like to point out about that.
    1. I thought the chart we saw said that none of the polling companies were 100% accurate and most of them leaned either one way or the other.

    2. According to the polling I’ve seen (including “Gallup, Rasmussen, [and] Marist”) Huckabee is within the margin of error no matter who does the polling.
    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/republican_presidential_primary-1452.html

    More info from that link are the RCP averages:
    Romney 19.1
    Huckabee 17.6
    Palin 17.0
    Gingrich 13.1

    3. Both Romney and Huckabee have beaten Obama 5 times in head to head polls against him.

    According to Real Clear Politics averages:
    Obama has a 0.2 advantage against Romney
    Obama has a 0.8 advantage against Huckabee
    Obama has a 12.8 advantage against Palin

    IMO all four of the top tier candidates should run and as many of the bottom tier that are willing ought to give it a try so that the voters can decide who our best nominee is.

  66. Craig Says:

    Great points, Granny T.:)

    And leave it to the Rombot twins, Dan (#38) & Ray (#39) to offer nothing to the discussion but their usual snarkiness, pettinees, and bitterness over ’08.

    Why do Romney supporters freak out every time Mitt is not in first place? Remember, you can’t win ‘em all.

    And who would want to this early?

    You’ll just get a huge target on your back if you’re crowned OFFICIAL FRONTRUNNER.

  67. Craig Says:

    Mike Huckabee says, “my race, my pace”.

    I agree.. Let everyone run their own race. The more the merrier!

    Don’t be afraid of competition, folks. It’s great for our Party. Let’s have a BIG REPUBLICAN FIELD…

    And great debates. Then let the voters decide as Granny T. said.

Leave a Reply

State of the Race

Obama Approval


Support R4'12

Meta

Recent Posts

Buy This Book

Categories

Archives

Search

Blogroll

Site Syndication

Main