Washington Post/ABC News 2012 Presidential Survey
If the 2012 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama, the Democrat and Sarah Palin, the Republican, for whom would you vote?
If the 2012 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama, the Democrat, Sarah Palin, the Republican, and Michael Bloomberg, an independent candidate, for whom would you vote?
If Sarah Palin runs for president in 2012, would you definitely vote for her, would you consider voting for her, or would you definitely not vote for her?
If Barack Obama runs for re-election in 2012, would you definitely vote for him, would you consider voting for him, or would you definitely not vote for him?
If Michael Bloomberg were an independent candidate for president in 2012, would you definitely vote for him, would you consider voting for him, or would you definitely not vote for him?
Survey of registered voters was conducted December 9-12, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.
Even among Republicans, Palin has detractors, with 29 percent saying they would definitely not back her candidacy. Her highest support comes from Republican women and conservative Republicans. Even so, only about one in five in each group say they would certainly support her presidential bid.
Neither does Palin enjoy wide support among independents: 62 percent say they definitely would not vote for her. Among moderates, 66 percent write off her prospective candidacy.
Still, the survey shows limits to Obama’s appeal. Among independents, 40 percent say they would not vote for him, 36 percent say they would consider it and 21 percent say they would certainly back him.
Bloomberg’s highest levels of support come from independents and young voters, although Obama far outpaces him in both groups. He also draws 25 percent of the vote from those who disapprove of Obama’s handling of the presidency, with Palin taking almost six in 10.
December 17th, 2010 at 12:52 pm
If Sarah Palin runs for president in 2012, would you definitely vote for her, would you consider voting for her, or would you definitely not vote for her?
Definitely would 8% ..the hardcore Palinistas at Hot Air, Red State, C4Palin, etc.
Would consider 31% ..Huck supporters like me who would very strongly consider vote for her over Obama.
Definitely would not 60% ..THE REALITY of what the rest of America thinks of her!
Bottom line is she cannot win the general if Obama’s approvals state about the same, imho.
December 17th, 2010 at 12:53 pm
“Neither does Palin enjoy wide support among independents: 62 percent say they definitely would not vote for her. Among moderates, 66 percent write off her prospective candidacy.”
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Wow!
December 17th, 2010 at 1:10 pm
POLITICO today:
“For some of these folks, like maybe T-Paw or Thune or [former New Mexico Gov.] Gary Johnson, they’re going to probably wait as long as possible. But they may not be able to wait much longer after April,” the strategist said. “Nobody wants to be the first one in. That’s kind of what’s guiding them now. It is a bit of a game of calendar chicken.”
The only two serious contenders who still seem determined to push their decisions back into the summer are Huckabee, who said he might wait until the second half of 2011, and former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, who says she’s waiting for the rest of the field to take shape.
Huckabee may be able to wait, thanks to the network he developed by running in 2008 and the media platform he has as a Fox News host. So might Palin, thanks to her unique political celebrity.
Former Rudy Giuliani campaign manager Mike DuHaime – who suggested either Palin or Huckabee could afford to delay a bit – pointed to Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson’s unsuccessful 2008 bid as a precedent for candidates joining late to fill a still-open hole in the field.
“He ultimately didn’t fill that niche. Huckabee, I think, ultimately filled that niche,” DuHaime said.
Read more: http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1210/46515.html#ixzz18OQscm6n
December 17th, 2010 at 1:58 pm
The reason Sarah can’t win the General is the reason she can’t win the Primary. She will never be able to establish herself as being electable. The media has crucified her, causing many on the right to justifiably flock to her defense, while rendering her unelectable in the process.
This poll is one in a very long line of hit pieces aimed at her. One wonders how long this crucible will be drawn out. It’s a good thing for Sarah that she is very secure in her person.
December 17th, 2010 at 2:07 pm
CNN and Tea Party Express to host first-of-its-kind Tea Party presidential primary debate
December 17th, 2010 at 8:19 pm
Dave-
How is this poll a “hit piece” on Sarah? Apparently, now, even polling American for their opinions on potential 2012 candidates is considered a “hit piece.” You just put a whole lot of people out of work.
December 17th, 2010 at 8:56 pm
What is the purpose of pushing numerous polls
every day of Obama vs Palin,two years before
general election and well over a year before
primaries?
What do you think, all of you out there Sarahcuda’s
ankle-biters?
First things FIRST.THE NOMINATION!
Of course you all know that,but that’s the only
thing left:Look the push polls,look the push
polls,she can’t win against Obama.
After Sarahcuda demolishes opposition and get the
nomination,then she will beat South Side Chicago
community organizer like a drum.