Poll Watch: PPP (D) Texas Gubernatorial Survey

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23 Responses to “Poll Watch: PPP (D) Texas Gubernatorial Survey”

1. ogrepete Says:
   February 10th, 2010 at 1:18 pm

   Wow, this is sure different from what other polls have shown. Perhaps Ms. Hutchison has a better chance than we’ve been led to believe?

2. Paul8148 Says:
   February 10th, 2010 at 1:41 pm

   The key will be want the tournout model is. The are predicting 1 million votes in the republican primany that about 80% conservate, I think it can be close to 1.3-1.5 Million with about 66% conservate.

3. Tommy Boy Says:
   February 10th, 2010 at 2:07 pm

   #1 No, she’s down by 11 according to this same pollster even with Medina winning 24% of the vote in the primary.

   This is a general election poll where KBH has seen her approval rating plunge in one year. She’s not even performing significantly better than Perry in a general election matchup as he’s almost at 50%.

   So I don’t see how you could come to the conclusion that Huthcinson has a “better chance than we’ve been led to believe.” In fact, the most reasonable conclusion from PPP(D)’s polling is that she has pretty close to no chance and is on the verge of losing to Debra Medina.

4. Right Says:
   February 10th, 2010 at 3:08 pm

   I don’t know why she even ran. She could be chairman of a committee if she just wait up after November.

5. Sarah & Mike: Fox Superstars Says:
   February 10th, 2010 at 3:31 pm

   Right, right.

6. ogrepete Says:
   February 10th, 2010 at 3:33 pm

   #3

   Hutchison has a bigger spread than the others (albeit by only one point) over the Democratic opponent. That’s where the “better chance than we’ve been led to believe” comment comes from.

   Rather than bringing to bear every poll ever done, which you seem to have at your fingertips, I was commenting on this one poll.

7. Tommy Boy Says:
   February 10th, 2010 at 3:53 pm

   But ogre, has anyone ever claimed that KBH would have a problem winning the general should she win the nomination?

   I interpreted your comment as referencing her chances in a primary because to my knowledge, nobody has ever claimed that KBH was a weak general election candidate.

   I’d argue that this poll further hurts her because both Perry and even Medina poll just as well against White as she does.

   My apologies for the confusion.

8. ogrepete Says:
   February 10th, 2010 at 4:13 pm

   Tommy Boy,

   You’re definitely more on top of this than I am. Today hasn’t been a great day so far, so perhaps I’m thinner-skinned than normal. You’re absolutely right about KBH. She doesn’t have much of a prayer.

   And no, no one has ever claimed KBH would have a difficult time winning the general. I either hadn’t seen or hadn’t digested prior polls on the general election, so it was news to me that KBH was doing better than Mr. Perry and Ms. Medina. Thank you for putting this poll into perspective.

9. David R. Schmidt Says:
   February 10th, 2010 at 5:49 pm

   “Hutchison has a bigger spread than the others (albeit by only one point) over the Democratic opponent. ”

   Insignificant spread. This hurts her as that means ppl will choose who they want best knowing all 3 can win.

10. AKReport Says:
    February 10th, 2010 at 6:07 pm

    NEW ALABAMA POLL GIVES HUCKABEE A SURGE IN THE RANKINGS http://republicanrankings.blogspot.com/2010/02/new-polls-new-rankings.html

11. Sarah & Mike: Fox Superstars Says:
    February 10th, 2010 at 6:44 pm

    Woo hoo! Mike’s catching up to your gal.

12. Tommy Boy Says:
    February 10th, 2010 at 6:45 pm

    http://www.tcul.coop/2-10-10_Rick_Perry_s_Lead_Grows_to_Nearly_50_of_Likely_Voters_According_to_Texas_Credit_Union_League_Poll.html

    Perry 49
    KBH 29
    Medina 19

    Runoff

    Perry 58
    KBH 34

13. AKReport Says:
    February 10th, 2010 at 7:07 pm

    Perry getting a Palin bump in the polls.

14. Bob Hovic Says:
    February 10th, 2010 at 7:16 pm

    I find it interesting that while all three of them are winning (by virtually identical margins), none are blowing White away.

15. Aron Goldman Says:
    February 10th, 2010 at 7:43 pm

    New and improved Romney
    He’s more fiscal, less social. And he’s got millions. But will GOP voters give a Mitt?
    By DAVID S. BERNSTEIN
    http://thephoenix.com/tools/Print/?id=96976

    Romney’s new character: Macho man
    In his new book, Mitt makes himself over as a muscular defender of America
    By DAVID S. BERNSTEIN
    http://thephoenix.com/tools/Print/?id=97102

    Flashback: August 25, 2009

16. Tommy Boy Says:
    February 10th, 2010 at 8:02 pm

    Kristol: I Agree with Paul Krugman
    Obama cozies up to too-big-to-fail bankers.
    http://weeklystandard.com/blogs/kristol-i-agree-paul-krugman

    First of all, as Krugman points out, “irresponsible behavior by baseball players hasn’t brought the world economy to the brink of collapse.” Nor has the federal government spent billions (trillions?) bailing out baseball owners after they signed foolish contracts. Nor does it guarantee baseball owners’–or players’–future solvency.

    And second, doesn’t Obama realize how creepy this statement is? “I know both those guys; they are very savvy businessmen.”

    This confirms the suspicion that we now live in a world of crony capitalism, where if Obama knows and thinks well of you, then you don’t get criticized–but if you’re some guy who hasn’t spent a lot of time cozying up to government leaders, then you could easily be the object of demagogic assault by politicians.

    Conservatives and Republicans should not–as some seem to be tempted to do–praise Obama for being friendlier to business in this interview than he has been in the past. They should point out that he’s friendly to big businessmen who are friendly to him, and to businessmen whose businesses are enmeshed in an unhealthy way with big government –and that he remains hostile to markets and indifferent, at best, to businessmen who are actually trying to make it without depending on the goodwill of politicians and favors from the government.

17. Tommy Boy Says:
    February 10th, 2010 at 8:04 pm

    Re: News Flash: Obama Praises Capitalism
    By Veronique de Rugy
    http://corner.nationalreview.com/post/?q=YWYxZDFiMWE5NTcyODkyY2FiZWVlOTg1MmI3MDcyNTU=

    I have to say that I am somewhat with Krugman on this one, for totally different reasons, of course. I agree with him that the president is clueless. The president calling what’s happening in Wall Street free-market or capitalist couldn’t be farther from the truth. What we have now is not a free market. Rather, it is an ugly instance of crony capitalism: The terrible marriage of the government and ”too big to fail or to pay for their mistakes” businesses at the expenses of taxpayers.

    Does it mean that the government should keep intervening in these businesses and deciding how executives should be paid or rewarded? No. But, please, I wish the president would stop thinking that what we have here is capitalism or the free-market.

18. Paul8148 Says:
    February 10th, 2010 at 8:59 pm

    Does GWB come out for Kay before it is over? I hearing he might do want Nancy did to North at the end in VA

19. Aron Goldman Says:
    February 10th, 2010 at 9:17 pm

    Why is Medina doing well?
    http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/02/why-is-medina-doing-well.html

    Debra Medina’s surprising success in the Texas Republican primary for Governor seems to be driven more by anti-establishment sentiment than ideology.

    Among GOP voters who think Congressional Republicans are too liberal Rick Perry still leads with 41% to 34% for Medina and just 17% for Kay Bailey Hutchison. Medina certainly does better with those voters than she does with the overall electorate but it’s not enough to put her ahead of the incumbent.

    Among GOP voters who just generally disapprove of Congressional Republicans though Medina goes into the lead with 37% to 32% for Perry and 22% for Hutchison. Those are the folks who are just plain unhappy with the establishment and she can win with them.

    Does that mean the success of the Tea Party movement generally relies more on anti-establishment feelings than ideology? Hard to say. When we polled Kentucky in December Rand Paul was up 44-24 overall. With primary voters who felt Congressional Republicans were too liberal he lead 54-18. With ones who generally just didn’t like Congressional Republicans he led by a pretty similar 55-21 margin.

    I’ll be interested to see the data on those fronts when we finally poll Florida, and also as more of these viable Tea Party candidacies emerge.

20. Aron Goldman Says:
    February 10th, 2010 at 9:22 pm

    Obama’s impact on the midterms
    http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/02/obamas-impact-on-midterms.html

    Democratic Congressional candidates this fall are only going to go as far as Barack Obama’s popularity will take them.

    On our last national poll Republicans led 80-3 on the generic Congressional ballot with voters who disapprove of Obama. Simply put if you disapprove of Obama there is almost no chance you’re voting Democratic this year.

    At the same time if you like Obama there’s almost no chance you’re voting Republican this year- Democrats lead 78-7 on the generic ballot with folks who do approve of Obama.

    This may all seem like a no brainer but the data shows just how strong the trend is. For all the machinations that will take place in close Senate and House races across the country this year, how the voters feel about the candidates themselves may take a backseat in deciding the outcome to how they feel about Obama.

21. Aron Goldman Says:
    February 11th, 2010 at 1:35 am

    Newt Gingrich Trips Up Again With ‘Daily Show’ Correction
    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/02/10/newt-gingrich-trips-up-ag_n_457423.html

    Romney: Screw Iowa in 2012?
    http://blogs.desmoinesregister.com/dmr/index.php/2010/02/10/romney-screw-iowa-in-2012/

22. MPC Says:
    February 11th, 2010 at 3:00 am

    Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Rick Perry’s job performance?

    * Approve 33%
    * Disapprove 50%

    Why are we wanting to reelect him again?

23. PAConservative Says:
    February 11th, 2010 at 1:14 pm

    Medina’s challenge should come to an end with her admission in a Glenn Beck interview that she believes there are legitimate questions raised by “9/11 truthers.” So much for her short political life. I’m all for the Tea Party movement, but candidates must be screened for sanity before they are given support. There are some nut jobs like Medina running under the Tea Party movement that must be denounced or the whole movement will no longer have any legitimacy.