Left leaning pollster PPP is predicting a very good night for the Republicans. They cite two reasons, superior unity and Independents fleeing the Democrats.
We think tonight will be very good for Republicans.
Two of the main reasons for that are superior party unity and pretty overwhelming support from independents.
As evidence they cite:
->Hoffman is winning 71% GOP vote versus 67% Democrat vote to Owens. Independents split 52/30.
->Christie is getting 82% GOP vote versus 72% Democrat vote to Corzine. Independents split 52/29.
->McDonnell is grabbing 94% GOP vote versus 87% Democrat vote to Deeds. Independents split 63/33.
They mention several other races that show the Republicans are far more likely to be loyal to their party member than the Democrats, and the Independents are going to the Republican 2-1 in many cases.
Think of this the next time you read how the GOP is in disarray or out and out civil war.
Edit: I couldn’t help but improve the alliteration in the title.
Edit: Last tweak on the title, I promise.
November 3rd, 2009 at 5:08 pm
Pensive poster ponders pizza party.
Pardon, please, preliminary prognostications predicting pepperoni.
Perhaps pecuniary problems preempt partying.
Pity!
November 3rd, 2009 at 5:16 pm
I see a great night for the R’s!
November 3rd, 2009 at 5:18 pm
Last check of intrade had Corzine up slightly, don’t know if that means anything at the time.
November 3rd, 2009 at 5:19 pm
Intrade is tied at 50/50 for NJ right now.
November 3rd, 2009 at 5:20 pm
test.
November 3rd, 2009 at 5:21 pm
Hmmmm……
I offered up an alternative alliteration, and the thread ate it. When I tried to repost, it detected a “duplicate comment.”
November 3rd, 2009 at 5:23 pm
#5. Mine, too. It’s apparently a spam filter/lit critic feature at WordPress.
November 3rd, 2009 at 5:23 pm
Exit polls:
http://twitter.com/Andrew_Langer/status/5403381581
McDonnell 54.5
Deeds 45
Corzine 47
Christie 47
November 3rd, 2009 at 5:25 pm
Mark,
I bet mine was better than yours.
Eight words, all starting with the letter ‘D’.
November 3rd, 2009 at 5:27 pm
Wait. 9 words.
Disenchanted Democrats Depressed;
Dissembling Delusional Distortions Downplaying Democracy.
November 3rd, 2009 at 5:27 pm
Crap. I’ve tried so many different ways that if they all show up, I’ll look plenty self-important repeating my alliteration 8 times.
November 3rd, 2009 at 5:28 pm
Actually it was nine words, all with D.
November 3rd, 2009 at 5:31 pm
MWS, Nevah!
I had seventeen p-words. All in the Algonquin vernacular. *sniff*
November 3rd, 2009 at 5:35 pm
Dumb Dueling Doo-doos Duets Drool Down Delicious Dessert.
November 3rd, 2009 at 5:36 pm
My test worked just fine.
What can I say? Some people have it, and some people don’t.
November 3rd, 2009 at 5:41 pm
MWS,
I restored it. It is comment #9.
November 3rd, 2009 at 5:42 pm
MarkG,
I restored your comment. It is #1.
November 3rd, 2009 at 5:44 pm
MWS,
I count only eight words.
November 3rd, 2009 at 5:55 pm
marK,
Count again.
Mark,
I’ll concede that your alliteration had more words, but mine packed more prescient political punch!
November 3rd, 2009 at 5:59 pm
Corzine just jumped to a 55/45 lead on Intrade.
November 3rd, 2009 at 6:00 pm
Disenchanted – 1
Democrats – 2
Depressed – 3
Dissembling – 4
Delusional – 5
Distortions – 6
Downplaying – 7
Democracy – 8
Where is word #9?
Well, what do you expect from a History major?
November 3rd, 2009 at 6:04 pm
Holy harbingers! Ham-handed hack historian harangued!
November 3rd, 2009 at 6:07 pm
Kavon,
CNN reports that its exit poll shows Obama at 57% approval in NJ and 51% in VA. So if Deeds won 88% of these Obama approved voters, Corzine only needs 80% to get to 46%.
November 3rd, 2009 at 6:11 pm
Corzine’s chart
http://data.intrade.com/graphing/jsp/timeAndSalesForm.jsp?contractId=663885&tradeURL=https://www.intrade.com
Christie’s chart
http://data.intrade.com/graphing/jsp/timeAndSalesForm.jsp?contractId=663886&tradeURL=https://www.intrade.com
November 3rd, 2009 at 6:12 pm
Energetic Engineer Expertly Elicits Exciting Election Eve Expressions.
November 3rd, 2009 at 6:18 pm
marK,
“Where is word #9?”
It’s the secret word, discernable only to the highly intelligent and good looking.
November 3rd, 2009 at 6:22 pm
Then how on earth can you see it?
November 3rd, 2009 at 6:24 pm
Headline! Hoffman hits historic home-run; however, hindrances hamper Harmer’s Huckpac-endorsed heroic House horse-race.
Dour democrats downplay Deeds’ defeat; DOJ decries “definite” disenfranchisement; deluge defeats dozen democrats.
Chris Christie considerately concedes close contest; Corzine cavorts inCessantly, commending aCorn’s kindness.
November 3rd, 2009 at 6:30 pm
I tried joining the alliterative party but my comments are blocked ;(
November 3rd, 2009 at 6:42 pm
WiseGuy,
Fixed it for ya.
November 3rd, 2009 at 6:47 pm
Kind Kudos, marK!
November 3rd, 2009 at 7:13 pm
Ardent advocates artfully argue arithmetic. Placid plebes playfully ply platitudes.
November 3rd, 2009 at 10:32 pm
Wiseguy,
That was impressive.