October 23, 2009

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Virginia Political Survey

PPP (D) Virginia Political Survey

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

  • Approve 41% {47%} (42%) [48%]
  • Disapprove 52% {49%} (51%) [46%]

Note: In the 2008 presidential election, Barack Obama received 53 percent of the vote in Virginia.

Among Independents

  • Approve 32% {31%} (34%) [38%]
  • Disapprove 57% {61%} (54%) [52%]

Note: In the 2008 presidential election, Barack Obama received 49 percent of the vote among independents in Virginia.

Among Men

  • Approve 39% {38%} (37%) [42%]
  • Disapprove 54% {58%} (55%) [52%]

Among Women

  • Approve 43% {55%} (45%) [54%]
  • Disapprove 49% {41%} (49%) [40%]

Do you think that Virginia Governors should be allowed to run for reelection?

  • Yes 57%
  • No 35%

If Tim Kaine was allowed to run for reelection would you vote for Democrat Tim Kaine or Republican Bob McDonnell?

  • Bob McDonnell 51%
  • Tim Kaine 43%

Among Independents

  • Bob McDonnell 54%
  • Tim Kaine 39%

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Tim Kaine’s job performance?

  • Approve 46% {47%} (42%) [49%]
  • Disapprove 39% {38%} (40%) [38%]

Among Independents

  • Approve 41% {36%} (42%) [39%]
  • Disapprove 41% {50%} (41%) [47%]

Do you approve or disapprove of Democratic Senator Mark Warner’s job performance?

  • Approve 53% {54%} (56%) [57%]
  • Disapprove 31% {30%} (32%) [31%]

Among Independents

  • Approve 52% {48%} (58%) [51%]
  • Disapprove 28% {32%} (24%) [34%]

Do you approve or disapprove of Democratic Senator Jim Webb’s job performance?

  • Approve 42% {47%} [46%]
  • Disapprove 40% {40%} [42%]

Among Independents

  • Approve 36% {37%} [36%]
  • Disapprove 37% {49%} [52%]

Survey of 666 likely voters was conducted October 16-19. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 36% {31%} (35%) Republican; 33% {38%} (32%) Democrat; 31% {31%} (33%) Independent. Political views: 44% {46%} (41%) Moderate; 41% {36%} (45%) Conservative; 16% {19%} (14%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted August 28-31 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 31 – August 3 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 30 – July 2 are in square brackets.

by @ 12:33 am. Filed under 2009 Elections, Barack Obama, Poll Watch
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13 Responses to “Poll Watch: PPP (D) Virginia Political Survey”

  1. Gary Johnson 2012 Says:

    The Democrats are imploding, that’s for sure. Now, we just have to make sure that we elect Republicans who are excellent on their own merits, and not just slink back into power in 2010, getting votes on no other fact than that we’re not the Democrats.

  2. OHIO JOE Says:

    Great! It looks like VA is swinging back from Blue to Red.

  3. iaconservative Says:

    And we have a Brooklyn mumps outbreak! http://www.myfoxny.com/dpp/news/local_news/brooklyn/091022_Brooklyn_Mumps_Outbreak

  4. Aron Goldman Says:

    It’s Obama’s Rubble Now
    And the American people want him to fix it.
    by Peggy Noonan
    http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704224004574489530713762884.html

  5. Aron Goldman Says:

    Pelosi lacks votes for most sweeping public option
    http://dyn.politico.com/printstory.cfm?uuid=80F6BD9B-18FE-70B2-A872540F18D87AC3

    Speaker Nancy Pelosi counted votes Thursday night and determined she could not pass a “robust public option” — the most aggressive of the three forms of a public option House Democrats have been considering as part of a national overhaul of health care.

    Pelosi’s decision—coupled with a significant turn of events yesterday during a private White House meeting—points to an increasingly likely compromise for a “trigger” option for a government plan.

    Administration officials have been telling POLITICO for weeks now that this the most likely compromise because it can probably satisfy liberals—albeit only reluctantly and after many vent frustration and some even threaten to walk away from the bill.

    This would clear the way for backers to sneak a limited public option through the Senate by attracting moderate Democrats and then to win President Barack Obama’s signature.

    Obama told Democratic leadership at the White House Thursday evening that his preference is for the trigger championed by Sen. Olympia Snowe (R-Maine) – a plan that would allow a public plan to kick in if private insurers don’t expand coverage fast enough, a top administration official told POLITICO. It’s also sign Obama is interested in maintaining a sense of bipartisanship around the health reform plan.

    The House is now likely to include one of the two weaker versions in the bill that will be considered on the floor as Obama’s historic health-reform plan chugs toward passage – possibly a version that would set rates for the public plan by allowing doctors and hospitals to negotiate them with Medicare.

  6. pittsburgh kid Says:

    Man, can Peggy Noonan write or what? Fantastic article.

  7. Dave Says:

    Webb will be in serious trouble when he comes up. We already knew McDonnell was going to win, but the fact that Virginians would convincingly vote for him over Kaine, who has positive approval numbers is pretty striking.

  8. Bob Hovic Says:

    I wonder where Ariel is — s/he was telling us a couple days ago that Obama’s new ad for Deeds would turn things around.

    Only a leftie could believe such things.

  9. Chip1991 Says:

    Not only will Republicans take back the governorship this year, they will retain to Lieutenant Governor and Attorney General’s office. Jim Webb has never been popular in VA and he’ll be among the most vulnerable incumbent Democrats come 2012. I know that Mark Warner was a very popular governor, but so was George Allen. We’ll see where his popularity goes over the 5 years.

  10. Joel Says:

    I find it amusing that this poll was designed to show that Deeds is the problem, not Dems in general, but instead McDonnell clobbers Kaine as well.

  11. Aron Goldman Says:

    Deeds ignored advice, White House says
    Top Democrats seek to shield Obama in case of election loss
    http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/10/22/AR2009102204708_pf.html

    Deeds runs against ‘that cap and trade bill’
    Here’s a clear sign of how heavy a lift carbon regulation is proving to be: Creigh Deeds is running an ad in Southwest Virginia and Harrisonburg reassuring voters he opposes it.
    http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/1009/Deeds_runs_against_that_cap_and_trade_bill.html

  12. Bob Hovic Says:

    I would guess that the “Deeds ignored advice, White House says/Top Democrats seek to shield Obama in case of election loss” article is the white flag — the Dems have surrendered in Virginia.

  13. still hurting in AZ Says:

    There are a couple of ramifications here for the future that are important.
    1. If we keep up the urgency for GOTV (and I heard that McDonnell did 59,000 GOTV calls yesterday, the surge can help us win delegate seats in areas that are dem-leaning.
    2. The dems will have no state0wide officeholders. In a state where the Gov. is limited to 4 years, it will be an uphill battle for Dems and leaves the RPV deep as they look to take back the Senate seats.

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