Field Research California 2010 Gubernatorial Survey
Democratic Primary
- Jerry Brown 47% (26%)
- Gavin Newsom 27% (16%)
- Dianne Feinstein 40% (38%)
- Jerry Brown 27% (16%)
- Gavin Newsom 16% (10%)
Republican Primary
- Meg Whitman 22% (21%)
- Tom Campbell 20% (18%)
- Steve Poizner 9% (7%)
General Election
- Jerry Brown (D) 50%
- Meg Whitman (R) 29%
- Jerry Brown (D) 48%
- Tom Campbell (R) 27%
- Jerry Brown (D) 50%
- Steve Poizner (R) 25%
- Gavin Newsom (D) 40%
- Meg Whitman (R) 31%
- Gavin Newsom (D) 38%
- Tom Campbell (R) 33%
- Gavin Newsom (D) 39%
- Steve Poizner (R) 30%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Dianne Feinstein 52% / 36% {+16%}
- Jerry Brown 44% / 29% {+15%}
- Steve Poizner 22% / 17% {+5%}
- Meg Whitman 18% / 14% {+4%}
- Tom Campbell 20% / 21% {-1%}
- Gavin Newsom 30% / 40% {-10%}
Among Democrats
- Dianne Feinstein 68% / 22% {+46%}
- Jerry Brown 57% / 18% {+39%}
- Gavin Newsom 41% / 22% {+19%}
Among Republicans
- Meg Whitman 29% / 10% {+19%}
- Tom Campbell 25% / 15% {+10%}
- Steve Poizner 24% / 16% {+8%}
Survey of 1,005 registered voters, including 496 Democratic primary election voters and 373 Republican primary election voters, was conducted September 18 – October 5. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points, while findings from each subsample have a margin of error of +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted in March are in parentheses.
October 8th, 2009 at 2:28 pm
Aron,
SUSA and Democracy Corps both have NJ polls out.
October 8th, 2009 at 3:14 pm
It doesn’t appear to make any difference who the Republican nominee is, at this point. They all lose by roughly the same numbers.
How can Jerry Brown be +15 favorable? Only in California could such a thing happen.
October 8th, 2009 at 3:32 pm
Interesting that you have Diane Feinstein in the polls. I have not heard one thing about her running for governor.
October 8th, 2009 at 3:44 pm
People now have a nostalgia for California of the 1970s… when the state was in a lot better shape than it is today. Jerry wins in a walk.
October 8th, 2009 at 9:54 pm
Meg Whitman is alright (a little matronly if you ask me) but I would have really liked to have seen Kelsey Grammer jump in the race for the GOP – he is conservative and is a wonderful communicator who exudes confidence and leadership and has great name recognition and a large fan base.
October 9th, 2009 at 12:59 am
Haha funny JA…California following one actor-turned-politician with another?? Uh huh.
Jerry will win this in a walk. DiFi will finish her career in the Senate, even though the governor’s job is hers for the taking.
October 9th, 2009 at 3:54 am
Meg Whitman has fairly low name ID, though. I’d give her a chance to run her campaign, which actually looks pretty good from this starting point, and see how close she can get. If the mood sours more on the Dems, a pragmatic conservative like Whitman could probably capture California. She’s also quite business and New Economy-oriented having been CEO of EBay, which should be a boon with the fiscal crisis they have over there.