Quinnipiac 2010 Pennsylvania Senatorial Survey

(If registered Democrat) If the 2010 Democratic primary for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Arlen Specter and Joe Sestak, for whom would you vote?

• Arlen Specter 44% (55%)
• Joe Sestak 25% (23%)

If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Arlen Specter the Democrat and Pat Toomey the Republican, for whom would you vote?

• Pat Toomey 43% (44%)
• Arlen Specter 42% (45%)

Among Independents

• Pat Toomey 41% (46%)
• Arlen Specter 38% (42%)

Among Men

• Pat Toomey 48% (52%)
• Arlen Specter 41% (39%)

Among Women

• Arlen Specter 43% (50%)
• Pat Toomey 39% (37%)

If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Joe Sestak the Democrat and Pat Toomey the Republican, for whom would you vote?

• Pat Toomey 38% (39%)
• Joe Sestak 35% (35%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Pat Toomey 34% (34%) / 12% (10%) {+22%}
• Joe Sestak 21% (23%) / 8% (7%) {+13%}
• Arlen Specter 42% (45%) / 46% (44%) {-4%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Arlen Specter is handling his job as United States Senator?

• Approve 44% (47%)
• Disapprove 48% (46%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bob Casey Jr. is handling his job as United States Senator?

• Approve 53% (53%)
• Disapprove 29% (25%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

• Approve 49% (56%)
• Disapprove 42% (37%)

Looking ahead to the 2010 election for United States Senator, do you feel that Arlen Specter deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?

• Yes/Deserves 37% (40%)
• No/Does Not 52% (49%)

Does President Obama’s support of Arlen Specter for United States Senator make you more likely to vote for Specter, less likely to vote for Specter, or doesn’t it make a difference?

Among Democrats

• More likely 24%
• Less likely 4%
• Doesn’t make a difference 71%

Among Independents

• More likely 11%
• Less likely 16%
• Doesn’t make a difference 72%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy?

• Approve 46% (50%)
• Disapprove 47% (43%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling health care?

• Approve 39%
• Disapprove 53%

Do you support or oppose President Obama’s health care reform plan?

• Support 41%
• Oppose 47%

Survey of 1,100 Pennsylvania voters was conducted September 22-28. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 14-19 are in parentheses.