Rasmussen Virginia Gubernatorial Survey
- Bob McDonnell 51% [48%] {51%} (49%)
- Creigh Deeds 42% [46%] {42%} (41%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Bob McDonnell 44% [54%] {55%} (53%) / 37% [32%] {28%} (30%) {+7%}
- Creigh Deeds 46% [50%] {48%} (48%) / 45% [42%] {42%} (39%) {+1%}
In terms of how you will vote this November, how important is the content of McDonnell’s thesis?
- Very important 32% [30%] {17%}
- Somewhat important 19% [22%] {19%}
- Not very important 21% [17%] {25%}
- Not at all important 19% [21%] {24%}
Which gubernatorial candidate do you trust more on taxes?
- Bob McDonnell 51% [50%] {50%} (48%)
- Creigh Deeds 36% [36%] {35%} (30%)
Which candidate do you trust more to cut government spending?
- Bob McDonnell 46% [49%] {51%} (46%)
- Creigh Deeds 30% [31%] {29%} (24%)
Which candidate is more likely to confront Virginia’s transportation problems?
- Bob McDonnell 45% [38%] {36%} (36%)
- Creigh Deeds 32% [36%] {35%} (33%)
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?
- Strongly approve 40% [41%] {32%} (39%)
- Somewhat approve 12% [8%] {18%} (9%)
- Somewhat disapprove 9% [9%] {7%} (10%)
- Strongly disapprove 39% [41%] {42%} (41%)
How would you rate the job Tim Kaine has been doing as Governor?
- Strongly approve 31% [27%] {20%} (25%)
- Somewhat approve 28% [25%] {31%} (31%)
- Somewhat disapprove 22% [21%] {25%} (22%)
- Strongly disapprove 18% [25%] {21%} (21%)
Does a Mark Warner endorsement of Creigh Deeds make you more likely or less likely to vote for Deeds?
- More likely 33%
- Less likely 30%
- It would have no impact 34%
Does former Democratic governor Doug Wilder’s decision to remain neutral in the 2009 Virginia governor’s race make you more likely or less likely to vote for Creigh Deeds?
- More likely 6%
- Less likely 10%
- It would have no impact 80%
Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted September 29. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 16 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 1 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 10 are in parentheses.
September 30th, 2009 at 12:53 pm
Much better. Let’s hope this one is accurate. It looks like McDonnell has weathered the Thesis storm and WaPo’s desperate attent to “Macaca” him.
September 30th, 2009 at 1:32 pm
Excellent. As long as nothing blows up soon, McDonnell should win.
September 30th, 2009 at 1:35 pm
One thing that is troubling is that Obama’s numbers in VA are higher than his national numbers according to Rasmussen. Thats says to me that Virginia is going to be a royal pain in the ass for Republicans in 2012.
Thanks a lot expanded federal government – and all of your liberal urbane young employees.
September 30th, 2009 at 2:19 pm
If there was any significant chance of an upset, there would be some volatility in the numbers. Instead the picture of the 4 polls is stability. The numbers have hardened. We will win here.
September 30th, 2009 at 2:25 pm
This makes the Survey USA poll look legit.
September 30th, 2009 at 2:33 pm
two in a row showing mcdonnell growing his lead. thesis storm is over, now its all about deeds’ tax plan and obamacare. your move Washpost.
September 30th, 2009 at 4:11 pm
Looks like a high single digit win for Bob, maybe a couple points better than that for Bill. Ken is still trying to figure out how to run a statewide campaign.
NOVA may go 45% GOP. That would be big.
September 30th, 2009 at 5:16 pm
New Jersey
Christie: 45%
Corzine: 38%
Daggett: 15%
Virginia
McDonnell: 53%
Deeds: 44%
NY-23
Hoffman: 32%
Scozzafava: 31%
Owens: 31%
September 30th, 2009 at 6:12 pm
8, from where?
September 30th, 2009 at 6:53 pm
PPP(D) has Obama at 35/56 among Virginia indies. It’s weird that Rasmussen shows Bob with a bigger lead than PPP(D) but shows Obama at a significantly higher approval rating in the state than PPP(D) (Obama will likely be around 46-47% approval).
September 30th, 2009 at 7:27 pm
#9: Those are my predictions.