Washington Post Virginia Gubernatorial Survey
(IF REGISTERED VOTER) If the election were being held today and the candidates were Creigh Deeds, the Democrat and Bob McDonnell, the Republican, for whom would you vote?
- Bob McDonnell 47%
- Creigh Deeds 40%
Among Likely Voters
- Bob McDonnell 54%
- Creigh Deeds 39%
(IF REGISTERED VOTER) Regardless of how you may vote, whom do you trust to do a better job handling the economy and jobs – Deeds or McDonnell?
- Bob McDonnell 40%
- Creigh Deeds 38%
(IF REGISTERED VOTER) Regardless of how you may vote, whom do you trust to do a better job handling taxes – Deeds or McDonnell?
- Bob McDonnell 42%
- Creigh Deeds 35%
(IF REGISTERED VOTER) Regardless of how you may vote, whom do you trust to do a better job handling gun control – Deeds or McDonnell?
- Bob McDonnell 38%
- Creigh Deeds 31%
(IF REGISTERED VOTER) Regardless of how you may vote, whom do you trust to do a better job handling transportation issues – Deeds or McDonnell?
- Creigh Deeds 35%
- Bob McDonnell 34%
(IF REGISTERED VOTER) Regardless of how you may vote, whom do you trust to do a better job handling the abortion issue – Deeds or McDonnell?
- Creigh Deeds 34%
- Bob McDonnell 34%
(IF REGISTERED VOTER) Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases or illegal in all cases?
- Legal in all cases 17%
- Legal in most cases 38%
- Illegal in most cases 26%
- Illegal in all cases 15%
(IF REGISTERED VOTER) As you may know, President Obama has endorsed Creigh Deeds for governor. Does that make you more likely or less likely to support Deeds?
- More likely 34%
- Less likely 34%
- No difference 30%
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Tim Kaine is handling his job as governor?
- Approve 56%
- Disapprove 36%
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mark Warner is handling his job as senator?
- Approve 67%
- Disapprove 23%
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jim Webb is handling his job as senator?
- Approve 51%
- Disapprove 29%
(IF REGISTERED VOTER) Would you say you are following this year’s governors race in the state of Virginia very closely, fairly closely, not too closely, or not closely at all?
- Very closely 17%
- Fairly closely 32%
- Not too closely 30%
- Not closely at all 21%
(IF REGISTERED VOTER) I’d like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the governor’s election: Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?
- Absolutely certain to vote 61%
- Will probably vote 16%
- Chances are 50/50 13%
- Chances less than 50/50 7%
(IF REGISTERED VOTER) As it stands now, how much do you know about (CANDIDATE) and his qualifications to be governor: Do you know a lot about (CANDIDATE), a fair amount, just a little, or nothing at all?
Creigh Deeds
- A lot 6%
- Fair amount 31%
- Just a little 39%
- Nothing at all 23%
Bob McDonnell
- A lot 7%
- Fair amount 30%
- Just a little 38%
- Nothing at all 25%
(IF NAMED CANDIDATE) Will you definitely vote for (CANDIDATE) in November, or is there a chance you could change your mind and vote for someone else?
Creigh Deeds
- Definitely vote 61%
- Change mind 35%
Bob McDonnell
- Definitely vote 50%
- Change mind 46%
(IF REGISTERED VOTER) Do you think Creigh Deeds’ views on most issues are too liberal for you, too conservative for you, or just about right?
- Too liberal 32%
- Too conservative 7%
- Just about right 39%
(IF REGISTERED VOTER) Do you think Bob McDonnell’s views on most issues are too liberal for you, too conservative for you, or just about right?
- Too liberal 9%
- Too conservative 27%
- Just about right 38%
Survey of 1,002 adults, including an undisclosed subsample of registered and likely voters, was conducted August 11-14. The margin of error among adults is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID breakdown among likely voters: 34% (R); 34% (I); 27% (D). Party ID breakdown among registered voters: 35% (I); 31% (D); 29% (R). Political views among likely voters: 41% Conservative; 37% Moderate; 20% Liberal. Political views among registered voters: 42% Moderate; 35% Conservative; 21% Liberal.
August 16th, 2009 at 11:40 am
I would be wary of reading too much into the New Jersey and Virginia governor races. In all elections since Carter the party which lost the recent presidential election the year before then won these governor races. Even under Reagan both states saw Democrats elected in 1981 and that hardly foretold Democratic landslides in 1982 and 1984!
August 16th, 2009 at 11:48 am
I wonder why the Post doesn’t show us the data for Obama among likely voters. Could it be that the numbers would show him around a 29/39 more likely/less likely split with likely voters?
August 16th, 2009 at 11:51 am
HYUFD,
Here’s why you are wrong at least about Virginia. The media has interpreted McDonnell’s campaign as a campaign against Barack Obama just as much as it is a campaign against Creigh Deeds.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/08/15/AR2009081502820_2.html?hpid=topnews&sid=ST2009081503351
“McDonnell has spent much of the campaign trying to force Deeds to talk about controversial federal issues, including legislation on unions, climate change and health care, as he works to tie him to Obama and the Democratic Congress.”
August 16th, 2009 at 12:18 pm
Tommy Boy,
While the Post provided results among registered voters for both Kaine and Webb, they only released the data among adults for Mark Warner, who’s shown sporting a 67% approval rating.
August 16th, 2009 at 12:22 pm
Tommy Boy,
Check out the updated polling data from New York.
Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New York Gubernatorial Survey
http://race42008.com/2009/08/15/poll-watch-quinnipiac-new-york-gubernatorial-survey/
August 16th, 2009 at 12:38 pm
Aron,
I think the Rudy-Cuomo general election poll is placed in the wrong area. The order is wrong.
August 16th, 2009 at 4:58 pm
Aron,
I’m guessing what you find interesting from teh updated polling data is the 7-point drop in Obama’s NY approval.
It’s consistent with the 50% approval rating nationally that Quinnipiac shows for Obama.
I’ll give Quinnipiac some credit. Their national numbers are consistent with their state numbers, unlike Research 2K/Daily Kos.