July 31, 2009

Poll Watch: Pew Research Political Survey

Pew Research Political Survey

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

  • Approve 54% (61%)
  • Disapprove 34% (30%)

Among Independents

  • Approve 48% (56%)
  • Disapprove 37% (29%)

Among Moderate/Liberal Republicans

  • Approve 32% (54%)
  • Disapprove 57% (39%)

Among 30-to-49-year-olds

  • Approve 49% (63%)
  • Disapprove 37% (28%)

Among Whites

  • Approve 48% (52%)
  • Disapprove 41% (38%)

Among White Evangelicals

  • Approve 29% (35%)
  • Disapprove 60% (55%)

Among Married Men

  • Approve 44% (53%)
  • Disapprove 45% (39%)

Among Married Women

  • Approve 49% (59%)
  • Disapprove 40% (35%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy?

  • Approve 38% (52%)
  • Disapprove 53% (40%)

Among Independents

  • Approve 33% (56%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling health care policy?

  • Approve 42% (51%)
  • Disapprove 43% (26%)

Among Independents

  • Approve 38% (50%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the nation’s foreign policy?

  • Approve 47% (57%)
  • Disapprove 32% (31%)

Among Independents

  • Approve 43% (63%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the federal budget deficit?

  • Approve 32% (50%)
  • Disapprove 53% (38%)

Among Independents

  • Approve 27% (45%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling tax policy?

  • Approve 39% (50%)
  • Disapprove 42% (33%)

Among Independents

  • Approve 31% (45%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the situation in Iraq?

  • Approve 47%
  • Disapprove 38%

Among Independents

  • Approve 38%
  • Disapprove 43%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling energy policy?

  • Approve 46%
  • Disapprove 31%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the situation in Afghanistan?

  • Approve 47%
  • Disapprove 33%

Among Independents

  • Approve 46%
  • Disapprove 32%

What is you opinion of Barack Obama personally – do you like the kind of person he is and the way he leads his life or don’t you like the kind of person he is and the way he leads his life?

  • Like 74%
  • Don’t like 12%

Among Moderate/Liberal Republicans

  • Like 78%
  • Don’t like 7%

Among Conservative Republicans

  • Like 43%
  • Don’t like 35%

Since taking office, have Barack Obama’s economic policies made economic conditions better, worse, or not had an effect so far?

  • Better 24% (26%)
  • Worse 21% (16%)
  • No effect so far 46% (49%)

Among Independents

  • Better 21%
  • Worse 27% (16%)
  • No effect so far 45%

So far, do you think Barack Obama is trying to address too many issues at once, focusing on too few issues, or doing about right?

  • Trying to address too many issues at once 41% (34%)
  • Focusing on too few issues 3% (4%)
  • Doing about right 48% (56%)

When it comes to national policy, who do you think Barack Obama is listening to more…liberal members of his party, or moderate members of his party?

  • Liberal members 41% (39%)
  • Moderate members 31% (35%)

If you were setting government priorities these days, would you place a higher priority on reducing the budget deficit or spending more to make health care more accessible and affordable?

  • Spending more to make health care more accessible and affordable 55% (59%)
  • Reducing the budget deficit 40% (35%)

Would you place a higher priority on reducing the budget deficit or spending more to improve the education system?

  • Spending more to improve the education system 57% (58%)
  • Reducing the budget deficit 38% (38%)

Would you place a higher priority on reducing the budget deficit or spending more to develop new energy technology?

  • Spending more to develop new energy technology 41% (49%)
  • Reducing the budget deficit 52% (45%)

Would you place a higher priority on reducing the budget deficit or spending more to help the economy recover?

  • Spending more to help the economy recover 53% (48%)
  • Reducing the budget deficit 38% (46%)

Among Independents

  • Spending more to help the economy recover 47%
  • Reducing the budget deficit 43%

As of right now, do you generally favor or generally oppose the health care proposals being discussed in Congress?

  • Favor 38%
  • Oppose 44%

Note: Americans who say they have heard a lot about the health care bills in Congress oppose them by a wide margin (56% to 36%). Concerns about the costs and increased government involvement in the health care system are volunteered most often by Americans critical of the health care proposals.

Among Independents

  • Favor 34%
  • Oppose 49%

Note: Independents who have heard a lot about the health care bills in Congress are overwhelmingly in opposition to them, by a 70% to 27% margin.

Would you favor or oppose requiring that all Americans have health insurance, with the government providing financial help for those who can’t afford it?

  • Favor 65%
  • Oppose 29%

Among Independents

  • Favor 60%

Note: On this question, Independents who have heard a lot about the health care proposals are evenly split — 47% favor/47% oppose.

Would you favor or oppose a government health insurance plan to compete with private health insurance plans?

  • Favor 52%
  • Oppose 37%

Among Independents who have heard a lot about the health care proposals

  • Favor 39%
  • Oppose 57%

Would you favor or oppose requiring insurance companies to sell health coverage to people, even if they have pre-existing medical conditions?

  • Favor 79%
  • Oppose 15%

Would you favor or oppose requiring employers to pay into a government health care fund if they do not provide health insurance to their employees?

  • Favor 61%
  • Oppose 33%

Among Independents

  • Favor 54%

Note: Fifty percent (50%) of Independents who’ve heard a lot about the health care proposals oppose requiring employers to pay into a government health care fund if they do not provide health insurance to their employees. Forty-five percent (45%) favor requiring employers to pay into such a government fund.

Would you favor or oppose raising taxes on families with incomes of more than $350,000 and individuals earning more than $280,000?

  • Favor 63%
  • Oppose 32%

Among Independents

  • Favor 57%

Note: Among Independents who have heard a lot about the health care proposals, a majority (53%) oppose raising such taxes, with 45% favoring a tax hike on families earning over $350K.

Would you favor or oppose taxing employees whose health insurance benefits are above a certain value?

  • Favor 25%
  • Oppose 62%

Would you favor or oppose tighter restrictions on what medical procedures Medicare and Medicaid will cover?

  • Favor 33%
  • Oppose 58%

Who do you trust more when it comes to deciding what kinds of medical procedures should be covered by health insurance?

  • Private insurance companies 38%
  • The government 32%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Obama has handled the dispute between Gates and the police officer?

  • Approve 29%
  • Disapprove 41%

Note: By a two-to-one margin, more whites disapprove (45%) than approve (22%) of the president’s handling of the situation.

Survey of 1,506 adults was conducted July 22-26. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 37% (34%) (I); 34% (34%) (D); 22% (25%) (R). Results from the polls conducted in mid-April and June are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Analysis of the poll data found that the president’s approval ratings fell among non-Hispanic whites over the course of the interviewing period as the focus of the Gates story shifted from details about the incident to Obama’s remarks about the incident.1 Interviews Wednesday and Thursday of last week found 53% of whites approving of Obama’s job performance. This slipped to 46% among whites interviewed Friday through Sunday as the Gates story played out across the nation.

by @ 1:31 am. Filed under Barack Obama, Democrats, Poll Watch, Republican Party
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23 Responses to “Poll Watch: Pew Research Political Survey”

  1. Tommy Boy Says:

    Aron,

    I know you cannot wait to put this one up: Sean Parnell is now the most popular governor in America.

    Just remember how off Hays Research was on November 2nd.

    http://www.haysresearch.com/OC110208.htm

  2. Tommy Boy Says:

    Here’s the link:

    http://www.haysresearch.com/oc090730.htm

  3. Strong America Says:

    Wow, talk about crashing numbers for Big O

  4. Thomas Alan Says:

    I wouldn’t call 54% approval crashing. But Obama’s certainly not scary anymore.

    Not coincidentally, the GOP has largely stopped naval gazing; worrying about whether it’s okay to attack Obama and the place of moderates in the party. The party’s stopped being introspective and it’s paying off.

  5. Tommy Boy Says:

    FYI: from Scott Rasmussen Inside the Numbers

    July 30, 2009: It’s been a week since President Obama’s nationally televised press conference. The scheduled topic was health care and the event also drew notice because of comments the President made about an incident involving a white police officer and a black Harvard professor.

    Since the press conference, the President’s overall ratings have slipped a bit. His total approval declined from 51% on the morning of the conference to 48% today. His Approval Index fell from -6 to -12 over the same period. While these declines are not enormous, it is unusual for a President to lose ground in the polls following a nationally televised event featuring the President in a formal setting.

    Rasmussen Reports has interviewed 1,342 Democrats since the press conference in our daily Presidential Tracking Poll. We took a look at these results and compared them with polling for the week before the press conference and found some intriguing shifts.

    First, while African-Americans have strongly supported the President throughout his time in office, enthusiasm spiked over the past week. The number of black Democrats who Strongly Approve of the President grew from 64% before the conference to 76% over the past week. Both before and after, more than 90% at least somewhat approved.

    As for white Democrats, there was much less of a shift. The number who Strongly Approve dipped from 52% to 48%. Total approval barely budged—77% before the Press conference and 76% after.

    On the ideological front, there was no movement at all among Liberal Democrats. In the week before the press conference, 68% Strongly Approved. In the week after, that number was 69%. Total approval was 84% before the press conference and 85% after.

    However, following the press conference, the President’s support declined among Moderate Democrats and increased among Conservative Democrats. The number of Moderate Democrats who Strongly Approve fell from 52% to 41%. The number of Conservative Democrats who Strongly Approve jumped from 33% to 42%.

  6. Tommy Boy Says:

    Scott’s poll yesterday had Obama at 41% approval, 58% disapproval among white voters. He will lose in 2012 if he is only able to win 41% of the white vote.

  7. MVRed.com Says:

    Scott is polling Hillary vs. Sarah today, it will be released tomorrow.

  8. Illinoisguy Says:

    I predict Hillary by 11%

  9. Strong America Says:

    Does anybody know when they post the HuckPAC filings due today?

  10. Kevin Says:

    Hillary by 12%.

  11. Pittsburgh Kid Says:

    Prediction: HRC 47 SP 36

  12. Mike gamecock DeVine Says:

    Aron, the Democrats don’t act like they believe this poll. They act like they believe the Rassmussen poll that shows Obama much less popular. Their internal polling must be matching Rassmussen.

  13. MWS Says:

    Some good news in that poll, but also some sorry examples of how we got $10 trillion in debt in the first place.

    Almost universally- despite feigning concern about deficits- people oppose cutting spending programs, and they only support tax increases on “other people.” Of the priorities this poll pitted against reducing the deficit, concern about the deficit trumped only spending more on energy.

    This is why our country is going bankrupt. Our “leaders” are simply a reflection of our citizens. Is it any wonder that a people of maxed out credit cards, under water mortgages, home equity loans, that feel the compulsion to finance everything before they can actually afford it elects leaders that do the same things with the government?

    People are addicted to credit and so our government is addicted to credit. It won’t change until the government’s creditors cut it off, at which point, we will be insolvent.

  14. Aron Goldman Says:

    He will lose in 2012 if he is only able to win 41% of the white vote.

    Not necessarily. Obama, who won the general election by seven percentage points, only garnered 43% of the white vote last November.

  15. Aron Goldman Says:

    Rasmussen Reports: 41% Like Obama’s Handling of National Security
    http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/july_2009/41_like_obama_s_handling_of_national_security

    How do you rate the way Barack Obama will address national security issues as President?

    Excellent 25%
    Good 16%
    Fair 21%
    Poor 35%

    Inside the numbers:

    This is the president’s lowest finding on national security since taking office in January. With the exception of a bounce last week, his numbers on national security have been trending down steadily since mid-June.

    Thirty-five percent (35%) now say the president is doing a poor job on national security.

    From January to mid-May, over 50% of voters regularly gave Obama good or excellent marks for his handling of national security.

    Sixty-nine percent (69%) of Democrats say the president is doing a good or excellent job in terms of foreign policy.

    Fifty-eight percent (58%) of Republicans say he’s doing a poor job.

    Voters not affiliated with either party are more closely divided: 32% view the president’s performance as good or excellent, while 34% say it’s poor.

  16. Kristofer Lorelli Says:

    #14 – and…expect White’s will be an even smaller % of the voters in 2012.

  17. Aron Goldman Says:

    The following WTF moment is being brought to by — Southerners…
    http://realclearpolitics.blogs.time.com/2009/07/31/kos-polls-on-birther-question/

    A new Research 2000 poll commissioned by Daily Kos finds no major slippage in President Obama’s favorability rating, currently at 62 percent. But via his Twitter feed, Kos reveals the results of a question added about whether Americans believe the president was born in the United States.

    The result: 77 percent said yes, while 11 percent said no and 12 percent weren’t sure. But a plurality of Republicans was more skeptical: 42 percent said they thought he was born here, while 28 percent think he wasn’t and 30 percent weren’t sure. There’s also a regional disparity: 93 percent of Northeastern respondents said he was born here, while only 47 percent of those from the South thought so.

    Why All the Birther Attention Now?
    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/printpage/?url=http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2009/07/31/why_all_the_birther_attention_now_97719.html

  18. Aron Goldman Says:

    US general may ask for more troops for Afghan war
    http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090731/ap_on_go_ca_st_pe/us_us_afghanistan

  19. Flip Dixon Says:

    #13, exactly.

    This poll reveals that most Americans want bigger government without actually wanting to pay for it. We need political leadership that’s honest with people.

    That’s why we don’t need opportunistic flip-floppers in office, not matter what party they belong to.

  20. John Galt Says:

    Got to love Rudy telling Obama to shut up.

    http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0709/Rudy_Shut_Up.html

  21. John Galt Says:

    Flip. Just shut up already. Yeah, that feels good. Thanks Rudy.

  22. Flip Dixon Says:

    Hopefully, Mitt will shut up on Romneycare.

    Or even better, apologize for it.

  23. Bob Hovic Says:

    Almost universally- despite feigning concern about deficits- people oppose cutting spending programs, and they only support tax increases on “other people.”

    From two days ago:
    http://race42008.com/2009/07/29/fiscal-responsibility-and-direct-democracy/

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