July 21, 2009

Poll Alert: AP-GfK Poll, ‘Obama Political Death Watch’

Poll Details.

AP Analysis.

That was fast. The hope and optimism that washed over the country in the opening months of Barack Obama‘s presidency are giving way to harsh realities.

An Associated Press-GfK Poll shows that a majority of Americans are back to thinking that the country is headed in the wrong direction after a fleeting period in which more thought it was on the right track.

The number of people who think Obama can improve the economy is down a sobering 19 percentage points from the euphoric days just before his inauguration. Ditto for expectations about creating jobs. Also down significantly: the share of people who think he can reduce the deficit, remove troops from Iraq and improve respect for the U.S. around the world, all slipping 15 points.

On overhauling health care, a signature issue for Obama, hopes for success are down a lesser 6 points.

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Kristofer Lorelli can be contacted at lorville@rogers.com, on Facebook and twitter/Kris_Lorelli.

by @ 4:22 pm. Filed under Poll Watch
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34 Responses to “Poll Alert: AP-GfK Poll, ‘Obama Political Death Watch’”

  1. MWS Says:

    Maybe there is hope for America.

    But the surest sign that this turnaround was coming was all the obituaries that were being written for the Republican Party, just as they were being written for the Democrats…… in 2005.

  2. Thunder Says:

    But the surest sign that this turnaround was coming was all the obituaries that were being written for the Republican Party, just as they were being written for the Democrats…… in 2005.

    This is simply history repeating itself. Flash back to the Early days of Jimmy Carter (for those us who were voters then).

    As Carter gave us Reagan, Obama is giving us Romney. And so it will go again until enough time passes and the voters forget the past and re-elect a liberal. Look for another Rise of the Conservative.

  3. MWS Says:

    “As Carter gave us Reagan, Obama is giving us Romney.”

    You mean Pawlenty.

  4. Thunder Says:

    # MWS Says:
    July 21st, 2009 at 5:00 pm

    “As Carter gave us Reagan, Obama is giving us Romney.”

    You mean Pawlenty.

    You must be a comedian, Pawlenty who? If I didn’t read this site,I wouldn’t know who he is. Name me the first Republican candidate who won the Nomination the first time out? (And GW Bush doesn’t count, because he was well known because of his father).

  5. Thunder Says:

    Correction.

    # MWS Says:
    July 21st, 2009 at 5:00 pm

    “As Carter gave us Reagan, Obama is giving us Romney.”

    You mean Pawlenty.

    You must be a comedian, Pawlenty who? If I didn’t read this site,I wouldn’t know who he is. Name me the last Republican candidate who won the Nomination the first time out? (And GW Bush doesn’t count, because he was well known because of his father).

  6. Michael Doerr Says:

    As Carter gave us Reagan, Obama is giving us Romney. And so it will go again until enough time passes and the voters forget the past and re-elect a liberal. Look for another Rise of the Conservative

    Exactly.

  7. Michael Doerr Says:

    Romney/Pawlenty 2012!

  8. Kristofer Lorelli Says:

    I would be happy with either Pawlenty or Romney….anything but Obama.

  9. Thunder Says:

    # Michael Doerr Says:
    July 21st, 2009 at 5:09 pm

    Romney/Pawlenty 2012!
    # Kristofer Lorelli Says:
    July 21st, 2009 at 5:09 pm

    I would be happy with either Pawlenty or Romney….anything but Obama.

    I like the Romney/Pawlenty ticket, it makes the most sense IMHO.

  10. Kristofer Lorelli Says:

    #9 – NO IT DOES NOT!

    I is not the generational change message and there is ZERO D.C. and.or Fp experience.

  11. Illinoisguy Says:

    Maybe the American people aren’t as stupid as it appeared in 2008.

  12. Jonathan Says:

    Romney, Pawlenty, Huckabee, Palin, Barbour, Daniels, any of them would be a far better President than the incompetent moron in the White House now.

  13. Michael Doerr Says:

    Kris,

    FP doesn’t really matter. John McCain was “Mr. Foreign Policy” and got his butt handed to him by a neophyte.

  14. Illinoisguy Says:

    I’m undecided about the VP, but I continue to be impressed with Jim DeMint. I’m not sure Tim brings quite as much to the table geographically. I know DeMint is only a Senator, but he is impressive. I could be wrong about him, cause admittedly I don’t know enough yet, but right now, I’m leaning that way.

  15. Jonathan Says:

    #13:

    That’s because Foreign Policy seemed beside the point after the economy went down the toilet in September-October of 08. If 2008 had happened, say in 2004, McCain would have easily beaten an Obama-like candidate because Foreign Policy was the key issue in 04.

    Running against an incumbent President is hard, and our nominee will need to be able to answer questions about Foreign Policy, the Economy, all the major issues if we want to defeat Obama.

  16. Thunder Says:

    # Jonathan Says:
    July 21st, 2009 at 5:20 pm

    #13:

    That’s because Foreign Policy seemed beside the point after the economy went down the toilet in September-October of 08. If 2008 had happened, say in 2004, McCain would have easily beaten an Obama-like candidate because Foreign Policy was the key issue in 04.

    Running against an incumbent President is hard, and our nominee will need to be able to answer questions about Foreign Policy, the Economy, all the major issues if we want to defeat Obama.

    There are few if any candidates who will have FP experience. Look at Reagan, he had known, and he was a great president. Not sure what DC is? If you mean Washington, then you got to be kidding.

  17. Jonathan Says:

    #16:

    Reagan had been talking about FP for years before running for President in 1980. He had been discussing FP for many years, and the public knew his views on foreign affairs. If our nominee doesn’t have actual experience with FP, than he/she should at least have an in-depth, well thought out view of the world and America’s place in it.

  18. Illinoisguy Says:

    http://blog.newsweek.com/blogs/thegaggle/archive/2009/07/21/romney-on-obama-s-push-for-health-reform-slow-down.aspx

    Mitt: new article on healthcare…

  19. Kristofer Lorelli Says:

    #13 said;

    FP doesn’t really matter. John McCain was “Mr. Foreign Policy” and got his butt handed to him by a neophyte

    His VP had the experience. Please name one winning national ticket that did not have Fp experience?

  20. Michael Doerr Says:

    Kris,

    Biden’s “FP” credentials consist of being on a Senate committee since he was 29. He is hardly a General or anything.

    FP experience is an overrated electoral consideration IMHO. Republican care more about it than Indy’s or Dems (of course.)

  21. Heath Says:

    Let’s not write off Barry yet. I still think he deserves to be the fav but it’s something like this:

    President elected in 2012:

    Obama 50%
    Romney 45%
    Someone else 5%

  22. Illinoisguy Says:

    Mitt has sounded very knowledgeable in every thing I’ve heard him say or write on the subject. He’s been in over 40 countries, and seems to have a better grasp on FP than most candidates. However, if its essential, he could bring on a VP with even greater insights….I guess that wouldn’t be DeMint in that case…we’ll see.

  23. Kevin Says:

    The results in 2012:

    Obama 60%
    Romney 36%
    Others 4%

    Every state but Utah goes to Barack.

  24. Kristofer Lorelli Says:

    #23, you sound like Boxer. “Only Mormons will vote for Mitt”

    Get real!

  25. Kristofer Lorelli Says:

    #20 Mike,

    Perception is reality. The perception is/was that Joe Biden is a Fp expert and understands Washington. Certainly I believe Biden is wrong on Fp, especially his failed program of dividing up Iraq into three federations.

    I may be wrong, but I believe running with two outsiders is not a winning formula. Obama chose Biden, Bush chose Cheney, Clinton chose Gore, Reagan chose Bush, etc…

  26. Kevin Says:

    24, Utah had the third largest margin of victory for McCain. Only Wyoming and Oklahoma had higher. It’s not unreasonable that Utah would possibly be the only state won by Mitt.

    http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=phNtm3LmDZENE6fRkMYjlPA

  27. BJWitts Says:

    #26 – Kevin LOL…

  28. Illinoisguy Says:

    Well, Kevin, if you can come on and make idiotic statement like your above, I’ll state the obvious:

    Mitt Romney will stomp your little weasel Socialist Obambi into little pieces.

    Romney will win 40 states against this idiot that hates America.

  29. Kristofer Lorelli Says:

    typical white liberal.

  30. Benjamin Says:

    In response to comment to “As Carter gave us Reagan, Obama is giving us Romney”, I would rephrase that with Carter came Reagan and with Obama will come Huckabee.

  31. Illinoisguy Says:

    Why would anyone want to say something silly like that Benjamin?

  32. Kevin Says:

    #28, it’s possible. If things are bad enough, Romney might just win every state.

  33. OHIO JOE Says:

    “#28, it’s possible. If things are bad enough, Romney might just win every state.” If things are that bad, the chances are pretty slim that Mr. Romney will be our nominee. People look for those with charisma when times are at their worst economically. How many people will be in the mood for a bland politician if the country is truly in a mess as opposed to just partly in a mess.

  34. Liz Says:

    Bland is beautiful. No more drama, PLEASE. Romney is bland, all substance, and is a machine with just one simplistic button – do the work. I don’t care too much who fills the other half of the ticket, a few would send up a red flag. ROMNEY/WHOEVER 2012

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