Mason-Dixon Florida 2010 Senatorial Survey
GOP Senatorial Primary
- Charlie Crist 51% (53%)
- Marco Rubio 23% (18%)
- Undecided 26% (29%)
Among GOP voters who recognize both candidates
- Charlie Crist 33%
- Marco Rubio 31%
- Undecided 36%
Democratic Senatorial Primary
- Kendrick Meek 27%
- Corrine Brown 12%
- Undecided 61%
Senatorial General Election
- Charlie Crist 48% (55%)
- Kendrick Meek 26% (24%)
- Undecided 26% (21%)
- Charlie Crist 55%
- Corrine Brown 24%
- Undecided 21%
Favorable / Unfavorable [Net]
- Charlie Crist 49% (49%) / 21% (15%) [+28%]
- Marco Rubio 18% (13%) / 11% (5%) [+7%]
- Kendrick Meek 11% (11%) / 5% (2%) [+6%]
- Corrine Brown 4% / 15% [-11%]
Among Likely Republican Primary Voters
- Charlie Crist 49% (50%) / 22% (19%) [+27%]
- Marco Rubio 24% (20%) / 5% (2%) [+19%]
Survey of 625 registered voters (including 300 likely Republican primary voters) was conducted June 24-26. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. The margin for error for the GOP primaries is +/- 6 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 44% (D); 38% (R); 18% (I). Results from the poll conducted May 14-18 are in parentheses.
June 29th, 2009 at 4:52 pm
Election 2010: Massachusettes Governor
Christy Mihos (R)
41%
Deval Patrick (D)
40%
Some other candidate
10%
Not sure
9%
Election 2010: Massachusettes Governor
Charlie Baker (R)
36%
Deval Patrick (D)
41%
Some other candidate
12%
Not sure
11%
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/massachusettes/election_2010_massachusetts_governor
June 29th, 2009 at 4:54 pm
Peter Schiff Polling for Potential Senate Run Against Dodd in Connecticut
http://www.w-r-s.com/blog/2009/06/29/peter-schiff-polling-for-potential-senate-run-against-dodd-in-connecticut/
June 29th, 2009 at 4:58 pm
These are fantastic for Rubio. Effectively tied among the most knowledgeable voters in the primary.
June 29th, 2009 at 4:59 pm
If Crist wasn’t available, Rubio would be a great candidate. What’s really cool is that the Democrats don’t have a viable horse to ride. Chalk it up.
June 29th, 2009 at 4:59 pm
One other piece of news today, is that Pawlenty has announced that he’ll sign the election certificate when the MN Supreme Court makes its decision (whenever that is). So MN may soon have 2 Senators, and Coleman will have to reflect on the fact that if he’d graciously conceded in January he’d be the frontrunner for the Governorship…
http://www.politico.com/blogs/politicolive/0609/Pawlenty_wont_delay_if_court_rules_for_Franken.html?showall
June 29th, 2009 at 5:19 pm
Mihos, Papa RINO. NTTAWT since it’s the best we can do in Taxachussetts.
June 29th, 2009 at 5:25 pm
“# Benjamin Hodge Says:
“June 29th, 2009 at 4:58 pm
These are fantastic for Rubio. Effectively tied among the most knowledgeable voters in the primary.”
Unfortunately, so many elections are decided by the uninformed…
June 29th, 2009 at 5:34 pm
PWay to go John Edwards. His former aid has a book deal and;
- He is the babies father
- There is a sex tape
- Edward’s and his former lover were picking out wedding songs for if/when Mrs. Edward’s dies of cancer
June 29th, 2009 at 5:36 pm
#7, “Unfortunately, so many elections are decided by the uninformed…”
Valid point, but that’s much less so in a primary, and less so in a closed primary (is Florida’s closed? I think so). We can expect Rubio’s favorables — right now, at 24-5% among likely Rs — to be in the 40s by the end of the year. That’s when we can really start to compare Crist vs. Rubio.
June 29th, 2009 at 5:37 pm
#8,
That’s sick. Edwards is scummier than Vitter, Sanford, and Craig combined.
June 29th, 2009 at 5:39 pm
These numbers are not fantastic but encuraging for Rubio.
June 29th, 2009 at 5:42 pm
#9… right on.
Theres like a year until the primary, right? I should know when it is, being a FL resident (but I dont). Thats plenty of time for Rubio to make up ground among those who are less informed, as they’ll get to know him over that period of time.
June 29th, 2009 at 5:53 pm
The key for Rubio is to get lots of national cash (Club for Growth could help there) and promote himself as the young conservative taking on the good ol’ Obama supporting moderate.
Crist is popular. For those who think he’s a moderate hated by all the GOP conservatives, look at his favorables. +28 amongst GOP likely primary voters is impressive. Rubio still has a lot of work to do.
June 29th, 2009 at 5:55 pm
Any links on the Edwards story? And lets not compare him to other figures (#10) – they’ve all publicly failed their wives.
June 29th, 2009 at 6:11 pm
Romney you better hurry up and endorse Rubio while you still can.
June 29th, 2009 at 6:14 pm
Jaype,
+27 in terms of favorables among GOP voters is impressive for an incumbent? Less than half of the likely primary voters from your own party approving of your performance thus far is impressive? I beg to differ and would argue that his Republican favorables are pedestrian, if not very unimpressive.
What’s impressive about Crist’s are his favorables/unfavorables among Democrats, 85% of whom will likely vote for his opponent in the general election should he defeat Rubio.
June 29th, 2009 at 6:28 pm
Tommy Boy,
I’d say +27 is impressive. I haven’t got Rasmussen premium, so the only comparison I can make is with Perry.. In Texas Perry is rated +17 by likely primary voters – so Crist is comfortably ahead of a noted conservative Governor (albeit less popular, but thats the point)
June 29th, 2009 at 6:42 pm
[...] RAce42012: [...]
June 29th, 2009 at 6:43 pm
Jay,
Perry is a net +46 in terms of approval/disapproval among likely Republican primary voters according to Rasmussen.
Crist is a net +36/37 in terms of approval among likely Republican voters according to Rasmussen.
Perry is not considered an overwhelmingly popular governor among Republicans…thus, the close race with Hutchinson despite his state’s economic performance under his tenure as governor.
June 29th, 2009 at 7:00 pm
If Rubio wins he will immediately be catapulted to “top tier” status for 2012 and 2016 as he would likely win the Hispanic vote whilst articulating a conservative message. He may be the “Hispanic Reagan” we have been waiting for.
June 29th, 2009 at 7:13 pm
Governor Crist signs bill to support troops.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=32vTnoAYRDk
June 29th, 2009 at 7:55 pm
Pruce,
If getting elected Senator was all it took to be “top tier,” then Brownback would have been “top tier” in ’08, Smith and Hatch would have been “top tier” in ’00, and Specter would have been “top tier” in ’96.
June 29th, 2009 at 10:59 pm
Crist has 99% chance of winning. He has a floor support of about 55%. Rubio would need him down to about 40% and it simply won’t happen. Lleyton Hewitt has more chance of winning Wimbledon again.
June 30th, 2009 at 7:49 am
Interesting that they, once again, neglect to include Rubio in the general election questions, but mention both Dems. There’s a long way to go, and a lot of name recognition gap for Rubio. This thing could change pretty rapily when he starts becoming known to primary voters.