Quinnipiac 2010 Pennsylvania Senate Race
Democratic Primary
- Arlen Specter 50%
- Joe Sestak 21%
Republican Primary
- Pat Toomey 38%
- Jim Gerlach 10%
General Election
- Arlen Specter 46% (53%)
- Pat Toomey 37% (33%)
- Arlen Specter 45%
- Jim Gerlach 36%
- Joe Sestak 37%
- Pat Toomey 35%
- Joe Sestak 36%
- Jim Gerlach 30%
Favorable / Unfavorable [Net]
- Pat Toomey 27% (20%) / 11% (13%) [+16%]
- Joe Sestak 18% / 5% [+13%]
- Jim Gerlach 15% / 5% [+10%]
- Arlen Specter 46% (52%) / 39% (34%) [+7%]
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Arlen Specter is handling his job as United States Senator?
- Approve 51% (56%)
- Disapprove 39% (36%)
Looking ahead to the 2010 election for United States Senator, do you feel that Arlen Specter deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
- Yes/Deserves 42% (49%)
- No/Does not 43% (41%)
At age 79, do you think Arlen Specter is too old to effectively serve another 6-year term as United States Senator, or not?
- Yes 43% (37%)
- No 52% (60%)
Do you think Arlen Specter is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?
- Too liberal 30%
- Too conservative 9%
- About right 45%
Survey of 1,191 Pennsylvania voters was conducted May 20 – 26. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. The survey includes 517 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.3 percentage points and 561 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 47.1% (D), 43.4% (R), 9.5% (I). Results from the poll conducted April 29 – May 3 are in parentheses.
May 28th, 2009 at 10:48 am
From a 20 point to a 9 point gap between Specter and Toomey. That’s good news for Toomey. It’s still really early – so Toomey’s got a lot of time to increase name recognition as it appears many Pennsylvanians do not have an opinion of him yet.
May 28th, 2009 at 10:54 am
Sestak-Toomey would be an even better race. Imagine the Dems backing that liberal and having him lose to a pretty right-wing conservative.
May 28th, 2009 at 11:38 am
Reports in PA papers today indidcate Sestak will challenge Specter. The Sestak-Specter race will be much closer than this poll indicates. He is an excellent candidate for the Democrats and once his steadiness is compared to Specter’s political expediency, I would not be surprised to see Sestak win that primary. He is not yet well known outside of the Philadelphia area, but will surge in the polls once he begins to campaign in other parts of the state. As a consevative, I would not vote for Sestak, but I admire his anti-establishment straight shooter approach.
May 28th, 2009 at 12:26 pm
sestak won’t win because rendell and nutter will turn out blacks in philly for specter, and thats how you win a dem primary, with a majority of the vote coming from philly.
sestak will cause some problems throughout the rest of the state though.
toomey went from 20 to 9, and thats all without any establishment backing. once ridge and co. get on the toomey bandwagon he can knock those numbers down even more.
May 28th, 2009 at 12:30 pm
Toomey is definitely in the ball game and there are plenty of innings left.
May 28th, 2009 at 12:36 pm
Unfortunately with this poll, it appears that Republicans constitute a far greater percentage of the electorate than the percentage that they will likely comprise of the electorate in November 2010. 43% of Republicans? Don’t think so as the dems would have to be pretty depressed for that to happen.
May 28th, 2009 at 1:38 pm
As a PA resident, let me just say this:
Gerlach is a better candidate than Toomey. But no one here will agree.
May 28th, 2009 at 1:51 pm
Are you saying that you think Gerlach would be a better Senator than Toomey or that Gerlach would give Specter a greater challenge than Toomey?
May 28th, 2009 at 2:34 pm
Party ID breakdown: 47.1% (D), 43.4% (R), 9.5% (I).
May 28th, 2009 at 4:35 pm
PA would be a lot more interesting State if Lyn Swann were Governor.
May 28th, 2009 at 4:42 pm
Any politician would love to have Toomey’s numbers right now. Only 39% have heard enough to form an opinion of Toomey, and Toomey is getting 37% of the vote.
May 28th, 2009 at 5:41 pm
Gallup: Majority of Americans Continue to Oppose Gay Marriage
http://www.gallup.com/poll/118378/Majority-Americans-Continue-Oppose-Gay-Marriage.aspx?version=print
McCain takes a side California governor’s race
Sen. John McCain, R-Arizona, will endorse former eBay executive Meg Whitman Friday for governor of California, a Whitman spokesman said.
http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2009/05/28/mccain-takes-a-side-california-governors-race/
Eric Cantor Endorses Meg Whitman
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nDlNYKj343M
May 28th, 2009 at 6:17 pm
I am saying Gerlach would be a better senator
May 28th, 2009 at 6:20 pm
12:
So McCain and Romney are endorsing the same candidate. How interesting. Has Huckabee weighed in?
May 28th, 2009 at 7:14 pm
Romney may be leaving Mass.
Former gov. might move to NH, or CA
http://www.myfoxboston.com/dpp/news/politics/local_politics/Romney_may_be_leaving_Mass_052809
Romney won’t rule out Sotomayor filibuster
http://thehill.com/index.php?option=com_content%26task=view%26id=82832%26Itemid=70