Rasmussen New Hampshire General Election
- Barack Obama 51% (50%)
- John McCain 44% (46%)
- Undecided 3%
Favorable / Unfavorable [Net]
- Barack Obama 58% (55%) / 41% (43%) [+17%]
- John McCain 52% (56%) / 44% (43%) [+8%]
Survey of 700 likely voters was conducted October 30. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 23 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
Obama has a 14-point lead among unaffiliated voters going into the final days of the campaign. He has a 19-point lead among female voters but trails by three among men.
The Democrat leads by three points among married voters and by 17 among those who are not married.
For 42% the economy is the most important issue in the election, while 22% say national security is number one. Obama has improved his standing in terms of voter trust in both areas since last week.
New Hampshire voters trust Obama more on the economy by five points. Among voters who rank the economy as the most important issue in the campaign, Obama leads McCain 69% to 28%.
McCain is trusted more than Obama on national security by three points. Among those voters who say national security is the most important issue, McCain is trusted more 70% to 29%.
October 31st, 2008 at 4:16 pm
There was a Bradley effect of like 12% here in the Primary – McCain could possibly win this.
October 31st, 2008 at 4:19 pm
Not the movement I was hoping for. I am not counting this as a plausible win for McCain.
October 31st, 2008 at 4:28 pm
NH screw the republican primary and now is going to screw the republican candidate.
October 31st, 2008 at 6:35 pm
No way there was a “Bradley effect” of 12%.
Hillary won for three reasons:
1) Women thought Obama was being mean to her;
2) Democrats didn’t want to end the whole primary right then and there; and
3) Independants voted for McCain as they thought Obama was past the post.
Don’t re-write history please.
October 31st, 2008 at 8:55 pm
Facts are Facts and there was a Bradley Effect of about 12% in NH. Cheer up McCain may just win here.
November 1st, 2008 at 12:42 am
#5
SURE !