SurveyUSA Indiana General Election
- John McCain 48% (50%)
- Barack Obama 45% (44%)
Survey of 687 likely voters was conducted September 28-29. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 16-18 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
Among men, McCain leads by 9; among women, Obama leads by 2 — an 11-point gender gap.
Among voters younger than Barack Obama, McCain and Obama tie. Among voters older than John McCain, McCain leads by 8. Among those who are in-between the two candidates’ ages, McCain leads by 4.Among white voters, McCain leads by 9 points. Among blacks, Obama leads by 65.
85% of Republicans vote for McCain; 82% of Democrats vote for Obama; Independents are tied.Obama has gained ground over the past six weeks in the Indianapolis and Central Indiana areas; McCain has gained ground in Southern Indiana. In Northern Indiana, where voters see Chicago television from Obama’s home state of Illinois, Obama led by 17 points fourteen weeks ago and by 5 points six weeks ago; today, Obama leads there by 1.
September 30th, 2008 at 10:23 pm
I like that last bit right there.
September 30th, 2008 at 10:37 pm
WOW! That last bit is pretty amazing. Indiana is a very safe red state.
September 30th, 2008 at 10:40 pm
I think Daniels will help out here. They got over the time change bill and are backing him big now.
September 30th, 2008 at 10:42 pm
#2: Don’t worry if it’s a very safe red state. The point is to just win it, not by how much.
September 30th, 2008 at 10:46 pm
McCain has the big mo!
October 1st, 2008 at 12:05 am
It’s not a big mo if his lead narrowed. Get off the pipe Pruce.
October 1st, 2008 at 6:38 am
I am sick of this election. I am sick of playing defense. These past 3 1/2 years have been a disaster. At least if we lose we can regroup and push back.
October 1st, 2008 at 8:40 am
I’ve been thinking about Indiana and why polling is closer there than it should be. It could be that the voter registrations in Indiana aren’t what they used to be. There could be a lot more Democrats registered than in the past. Many independents and Republicans registered as Democrats to vote for Hillary or Obama in the primaries. That’s the only thing I can think of as to why we’re getting similar numbers out of Indiana and Ohio. Indiana should be far more safely red than Ohio.