PPP (D) Florida General Election
- Barack Obama 49% (45%)
- John McCain 46% (50%)
Did Barack Obama’s selection of Joe Biden as his running mate make you more or less likely to vote for him?
- More likely 31% (36%)
- Less likely 31% (30%)
- No difference 37% (34%)
Did McCain’s selection of Sarah Palin as his running mate make you more or less likely to vote for him?
- More likely 40% (45%)
- Less likely 41% (34%)
- No difference 19% (20%)
Survey of 941 likely voters was conducted September 27-28. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 44% (41%) (D); 38% (43%) (R); 18% (16%) (I). Results from the poll conducted September 6-7 are in parentheses.
September 30th, 2008 at 12:05 pm
Let’s see, a Dem pollster doing a weekend poll. While I think it’s wise to act like this is the case, I don’t buy it.
September 30th, 2008 at 12:07 pm
I’m starting to. I didn’t buy the southern trio going Obama for a long time (VA, NC, FL), but it’s hard to ignore poll after poll after poll showing the movement.
Something clearly is afoot.
September 30th, 2008 at 12:12 pm
Im really starting to think that this is going to be a 1932 style wipeout for Republicans at every level. What they did on the bailout yesterday is going to cost them huge and they probably wont recover for many years.
September 30th, 2008 at 12:12 pm
Palin’s numbers are dropping significantly.
September 30th, 2008 at 12:15 pm
5. Meanwhile, what was it 94-95 Dems who voted against the bill?
More liberal propaganda while Obama has repeatedly campaigned for change as to receipt of lobbying money and meanwhile he received a ton of money from Fannie(?).
September 30th, 2008 at 12:16 pm
Gallup tightened a tad today, to 49-43. Anything with 5-6 points up until that last week, and this is still winnable.
Tons of pressure on Palin to perform this Thursday. She must be Biden soundly. I don’t know if she can.
September 30th, 2008 at 12:16 pm
“must be”= must beat Biden
September 30th, 2008 at 12:17 pm
yea, just like those 340 electoral votes the day before the election the MSM pollsters had going to john kerry.
obama and cult have a case of ‘kerry exit poll’ syndrome.
we are supposed to believe that all the old folks in florida all of a sudden trust a black guy with their money?
September 30th, 2008 at 12:20 pm
the media pushed this thing on republicans so relentlessly. it is clear there is no free press in america anymore. and with no truth reaching the people, any hope for a rational election is impossible.
since the population is being lied to, action must be taken. petraeus should return to fort brag, seize command of the 101st airborne, and take the captial, overthrow congress, and declare himself president.
then have obama, pelosi, reid arrested.
September 30th, 2008 at 12:20 pm
There’s something funny going on with these polls. I think they may be oversampling the youth vote.
September 30th, 2008 at 12:20 pm
10. It has nothing to do with “black”. It has to do with the fact that he has no experience and has repeatedly changed his position on issues! If McCain were “black” and if Obama were “white” then you tell me that the folks in Florida wouldn’t vote for McCain??
September 30th, 2008 at 12:21 pm
Anyway, I firmly believe Palin will trounce Biden in Thursday’s debate and that will be the beginning of a Mac comeback. True, the interviews have not been great, but if you go back and watch her debate performances in Alaska you’ll see she is a force to be reckoned with.
September 30th, 2008 at 12:24 pm
andrew, but she was well informed about alaska issues, she is not well informed about national issues and she is clearly overcoached.
hopefully biden will goof, and she will nail him on something.
September 30th, 2008 at 12:24 pm
This poll is off. It has Democrats with a six point edge in Party ID in Florida. In 2004, Republicans had a 4 point edge. Even in 2006, Republicans had a 3 point edge. That’s a swing of 9-10 points in the Democrats direction in 2 years. I don’t buy it. If you adjust those party ID numbers to normal, it gives a 3-4 point lead for McCain in Florida, which is about where the race really stands.
September 30th, 2008 at 12:28 pm
the polls have been weighted for dem registration. all the polls weighted to historical trends have mccain up or tied.
September 30th, 2008 at 3:17 pm
#13, I think you will be surprised. What Palin will do on Thursday is deliver a message directly to small town America, both about the dangers of liberalism and Obama as a person. Biden will not attack her because he will be too scared of making a mistake.