It was a poorly kept secret that ARG tended to trend in odd directions during the primaries, so I’d take any of these with a huge grain of salt:
American Research Group 17 State Poll Roundup
- McCain 58%
- Obama 36%
- McCain 55%
- Obama 39%
- McCain 56%
- Obama 39%
- McCain 46%
- Obama 44%
- Obama 51%
- McCain 40%
- Obama 82%
- McCain 13%
- Obama 63%
- McCain 32%
- McCain 68%
- Obama 25&
- Obama 51%
- McCain 45%
- McCain 63%
- Obama 31%
- McCain 57%
- Obama 37%
- McCain 50%
- Obama 43%
- Obama 51%
- McCain 41%
- McCain 55%
- Obama 39%
- McCain 50%
- Obama 45%
- McCain 49%
- Obama 47%
- McCain 49%
- Obama 46%
- Obama 51%
- McCain 44%
- Obama 55%
- McCain 38%
- McCain 52%
- Obama 41%
- McCain 50%
- Obama 44%
- Obama 59%
- McCain 33%
- McCain 57%
- Obama 36%
- McCain 65%
- Obama 29%
- McCain 49%
- Obama 45%
- McCain 66%
- Obama 28%
For the total breakdowns on specific states, please click on each state’s name to view it’s link.
September 17th, 2008 at 4:16 pm
Other than MT and IL, those actually look entirely plausible…
September 17th, 2008 at 4:17 pm
States like Ohio and Missouri are consistent with polling averages. But no pollster can do 17 polls and be accurate. One at a time is good!
September 17th, 2008 at 4:29 pm
Actually, the only thing that jumps out to me is West Virginia. We have seen other polls showing a 5-point race.
September 17th, 2008 at 4:52 pm
Other than IL I don’t see a whole of numbers that look out of whack.
September 17th, 2008 at 4:54 pm
Raym this Il numbers do not surprise me. My brother lives down-state, and Obama is not popular outside of Chicago.
September 17th, 2008 at 4:55 pm
As long as McCain hangs onto NV and CO…he’s home free…OH and FL are in the bag…and VA will mostly likely stay red as it usually has.
September 17th, 2008 at 5:07 pm
I am hearing Obama is giving up on southern Virginia.
September 17th, 2008 at 7:46 pm
the states that matter:
OH FL PA NV CO NM VA
thats it.