Survey of 1,241 registered voters was conducted July 23-27. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 18-29 are in parentheses.
That seems to be Obama’s big push of the week. McCain’s being mean.
But really, it makes sense. As long as McCain can make Obama the main story he’s going to keep Obama’s favorabilities going down while McCain treads water. He can then make his “I’m a big freakin’ hero” push in the last 6 weeks of the campaign (instead of playing it from the top of the deck like Kerry stupidly did).
I think the Dems probably have almost a 15 pt advantage over the GOP among REGISTERED voters… probably 12/13 pts, but of course, among LIKELY voters, it’s probably D +8/9.
July 31st, 2008 at 6:17 pm
What’s up with all these registered voters polls? We’re 3 months away now. It’s time to spend a little extra and get an accurate poll guys.
July 31st, 2008 at 6:20 pm
I’m betting McCain’s favorability numbers tank after his shenanigans of this week…
http://www.myoovooday.com/political/
July 31st, 2008 at 6:24 pm
That seems to be Obama’s big push of the week. McCain’s being mean.
But really, it makes sense. As long as McCain can make Obama the main story he’s going to keep Obama’s favorabilities going down while McCain treads water. He can then make his “I’m a big freakin’ hero” push in the last 6 weeks of the campaign (instead of playing it from the top of the deck like Kerry stupidly did).
July 31st, 2008 at 6:40 pm
1. It’s July
2. Neither candidate can break 50%
We are in a holding pattern until Sept 5th basically.
July 31st, 2008 at 6:44 pm
It appears Pew oversampled Democrats in this poll by approximately five percentage points, the precise differential between Obama and McCain.
Here’s the breakdown by party identification:
Democrat/Lean Democrat 51%
Republican/Lean Republican 36%
July 31st, 2008 at 7:04 pm
Wow! D +15 and B.O. leads by only 5?
July 31st, 2008 at 7:28 pm
I think the Dems probably have almost a 15 pt advantage over the GOP among REGISTERED voters… probably 12/13 pts, but of course, among LIKELY voters, it’s probably D +8/9.
July 31st, 2008 at 7:47 pm
Macis: I seriously doubt it’s anything more than +9 in Registered and +5 in likely.
July 31st, 2008 at 9:16 pm
Rasmussen Reports: Partisan Trends
Democrat 41.0%
Republican 31.5%
Unaffiliated 27.5%