Rasmussen Nebraska General Election
- John McCain 50% (52%)
- Barack Obama 32% (36%)
With Leaners
- John McCain 55%
- Barack Obama 36%
Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)
- John McCain 71% / 28% (+43%)
- Barack Obama 45% / 54% (-9%)
Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted July 28. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 23 are in parentheses.
July 30th, 2008 at 5:09 pm
Anyone know how many EV’s Obama will get out of Nebraska?
July 30th, 2008 at 5:14 pm
+43 favorability in Nebraska? That has to be the highest positive favorable rating of this cycle. Anyone have an idea why Nebraska would be so hot for McCain? And how worrying is it that even with +43 favorables, Mac isn’t topping 50% sans leaners?
July 30th, 2008 at 5:28 pm
Matt,
Think it might be a quasi-Bradley effect?
It’s ok to not like Obama, but dare you say you won’t (at least consider a) vote for him.
July 30th, 2008 at 5:35 pm
Look guys, these are good numbers not bad. Stop worrying. Nebraska is safe.
July 30th, 2008 at 6:07 pm
lol Hagel
July 30th, 2008 at 6:08 pm
#4
Yes, the numbers are fabulous, but Nebraska splits its electoral votes by Congressional District, I believe. So my question stands.
How many electoral votes could Obama expect to win in Nebraska if these numbers hold up?
July 30th, 2008 at 6:38 pm
0
July 30th, 2008 at 7:15 pm
Guys! I live in Nebraska, and I believe we have never actually split our electoral votes. Even though the first district which is made up of mostly Omaha, leans center left. We’re a republican stronghold, and Obama is getting zero EV’s from us. By the way, Chuck Hagel’s senate seat is safe for republicans. Mike Johanns the former secretary of agriculture and former governor is dominating that race. Dems don’t usually show up on election day in nebraska, unless Ben Nelson is on the ballet. Not this year.
July 30th, 2008 at 7:35 pm
to 3: it should be the other way round. It’s ok not to vote for Obama as long as you like him.
July 30th, 2008 at 8:33 pm
Ogrepete:
You are correct that Nebraska splits its CD districts, but I suspect the state would have to be in single digits before we worry about losing EC point. Even the 1st CD of Nebraska is about as safe as Mississippi.
July 31st, 2008 at 12:18 am
I think that the whole Bradely affect we can’t count on that. Obama did win the primary over Clinton who through everyting at him and his core supporters for the most part are still excited to vote for him. 100 mil voters vrs 10-12 bradely is a different story. Counting on that affect or hoping for it is one thing but depending on it is another
Now McCain he needs to pick his VP carefuly this Libermen thing concerns me. At any rate, focusing on his own strengths is the way to go I agree with Huckabee on this. The more Obama is demonized and the less McCain focuses on himself is not the way to win…………..Do I hear Balance. His pollices compared to Obamas if he continues to sell them then he should do okay. Its a matter of sealing the deal election day.
July 31st, 2008 at 8:14 am
Thanks for the info, guys. Good to know Obama won’t be getting any help from Nebraskans.