Good news from Florida, where Rasmussen shows McCain with a double-digit lead:
Rasmussen Reports Florida General Election Poll, conducted May 19th, 2008
- McCain – 50% (53)
- Obama – 40% (38)
Poll was done May 19 of 500 likely voters, and has a 4% MoE.
Although the numbers are down a bit from last month’s poll, two months ago McCain led Obama by just 4 points in the Sunshine State.
May 28th, 2008 at 12:43 pm
This poll is good news, i live here in Jacksonville,FL and i do feel very confident that McCain can win Florida, but it just seems like alot of people are saying that it will be a slam dunk and wont be close, but i tend to think that things in Florida will tighten up quite a bit come November and therefore if McCain would pick Charlie Crist, our popular Republican Governor with approval ratings in the upper 60′s, then that would secure Florida for John McCain and would not be a bad idea to have Crist on the ticket. But the same could be said for the western states that Obama is trying to pick up like Colorado,Nevada and New Mexico, if you would put Romney on the ticket with McCain that would help out alot in those states b/c of the Mormon’s. But bottom line i think McCain has a very difficult choice IMO.
May 28th, 2008 at 12:47 pm
Good, good. Outside of the margin of error, too.
He won’t pick Crist; VPs aren’t chosen to secure a swing state.
May 28th, 2008 at 12:49 pm
Bryan:
Two words that should convince every Floridian not to want Crist on the ticket….
Governor Kottkamp
May 28th, 2008 at 1:01 pm
Yes, this poll illustrates that we don’t need Mr. Crist on the ticket.
May 28th, 2008 at 1:02 pm
Jonathan,
Very good point there and Alex you right as well i dont think he will pick Crist either, as i’ve still got my 50 bucks on Tim Pawlenty, i really think he’ll be the one chosen and have for some time now.
May 28th, 2008 at 1:19 pm
Bryan: Don’t be surprised if it’s Meg Whitman.
May 28th, 2008 at 1:21 pm
Alex, what law says that you can’t choose someone to deliver a state? It hasn’t been done recently, but who gave you the power to make the rules on what criteria McCain uses to pick his running mate?
May 28th, 2008 at 1:24 pm
McCain is a candidate of big gestures, not narrow calculations.
The same guy who staked it all on Iraq and told Iowa to screw off with their ethanol is going to pick a running mate to further define his maverick, big-picture image, not to try to win a single state.
May 28th, 2008 at 1:27 pm
Metro,
Who are you hoping that McCain chooses for his VP? And would you not vote for McCain if he chooses someone you dont like?
May 28th, 2008 at 1:31 pm
Bryan,
Rudy is my ideal choice, but I’m not going to get my hopes up or get into arguments defending it.
From an electoral standpoint, I like Meg Whitman. Also David Petreaus.
The only person he could pick that would cause me not to vote is Huckabee.
May 28th, 2008 at 1:32 pm
Is anyone betting at this point that it’s going to be Lieberman? I don’t admit this often, but I really have no prediction; I’m completely with Metro in thinking that it’s going to be a big-gesture pick, which in my mind means it’s not gonna be Pawlenty. Just seems to unconventional for a year and a candidate that demand otherwise. Meg Whitman seems more and more likely to me, though I wouldn’t bet $5 on ANYONE at this point.
May 28th, 2008 at 1:35 pm
I have no prediction. You can’t read McCain’s mind. I think it will be someone fairly conservative though. The mods always fantasize about Colin Powell and people like that and then at the end Jack Kemp and Dick Cheney get picked.
May 28th, 2008 at 1:37 pm
I detest “moderates” per se. Colin Powell would send the signal that McCain’s really a moderate with no conservative principles, and I wouldn’t work for the ticket or probably even comment here any more. I’d pull the lever reluctantly.
May 28th, 2008 at 1:57 pm
Do any states still have levers? haha, I have nothing against Powell, but I find him boring, he doesn’t excite me at all. I don’t get why he’s so popular with the public. I respect his service to this country, but I don’t have any burning desire to see him as President or Veep someday like so many swing voters seem to want.
May 28th, 2008 at 2:59 pm
Clarence, when I voted in Kentucky, they had an old machine I had to use and it had a lever.
May 28th, 2008 at 3:15 pm
Metro,
I like Meg Whitman too, but I would rather McCain not pick her because I think she will run for governor in CA in 2010..
Can you imagine actually having a conservative who could be elected president in charge in CA? That is too much to risk by having McCain pick her for VP. If it weren’t for that chance to win in 2010 I would think she would be a great pick.
May 28th, 2008 at 4:00 pm
The thing about Whitman is, nobody has heard her speak, nobody knows how she’d hold up under the glare of the campaign, and above all, she has zero experience in foreign affairs or defense – which will undercut McCain’s attacks on BHO.
Let’s face it – given McCain’s advanced age, people will scrutinize his VP pick in the context of whether it’s someone who could be president. Whitman hardly fits that bill, for now.
May 28th, 2008 at 4:00 pm
The thing I don’t get about all the love Colin Powell gets as VP is that the man is about the same age as McCain, give or take a year or two. Two really old guys on the ticket…
May 28th, 2008 at 4:35 pm
The main thing I want to see in a VP is managerial excellence. Meg Whitman would be great for that reason. Back when she worked for Romney, he taught her everything he knows about management, and her spectacular rise and success in Corporate America is testimony that she has the right stuff to discern the crux of any matter and make the appropriate response. What I don’t know anything about are her political skills. Maybe we’ll find out whether they’re good or not.
May 28th, 2008 at 4:47 pm
DSkinner, winning the White House during war time is more important. And I say that as a Californian.