Public Opinion Strategies has released a new South Carolina national poll including none other than Stephen Colbert (Chris Cillizza has the details):
Public Opinion Strategies
South CarolinaNational Republican Primary
- Giuliani – 29%
- Romney – 12%
- Thompson – 11%
- McCain – 10%
- Huckabee – 3%
- Paul – 2%
- Tancredo – 2%
- Colbert – less than 1%
- Undecided – 27%
Survey was conducted Oct 18-21 of 500 likely primary voters and has an MoE of 5%.
All the other candidates were included in the poll, but their numbers weren’t reported.
[UPDATE: This is a national poll, as Tommy pointed out, not a SC poll. This poll was quoted in several blogs, most of which mentioned the already known fact that Colbert wouldn't be running anywhere except South Carolina, which is where the confusion came in. My apologies for the confusion. And, oh yeah, this means Romney is running second nationally. 
]
October 22nd, 2007 at 3:41 pm
Thompson will ‘ campaign the way I want’
Defending his campaign work schedule, Republican presidential hopeful Fred Thompson said Monday his strategy is working and “I’m going to do it the way I want to do it.”
His absences in early-voting states have been noticed. Thompson hasn’t been in South Carolina in more than a month, he scrapped a recent trip to New Hampshire and then canceled a news conference Saturday in Florida.
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20071022/ap_po/thompson_ap_interview_2&printer=1;_ylt=Ah5Iy.us5WTJ5Mef5GmsIS9h24cA
October 22nd, 2007 at 3:43 pm
I’m not surprised Giuliani is the in the lead, but 17 points is probably a little to much compared to where the race really stands. I love that Mitt is even with FDT in SC.
I guess people aren’t going to believe that Mitt can do well in SC until it happens, but if he can poll even with FDT now, imagine what will happen after Mitt wins some states and gets some momentum right when about 40% of the voters will be having to choose a new candidate.
October 22nd, 2007 at 3:45 pm
wow! Thompson is borderline out of the race. him and mccain are not sitting good.
very interesting. good news for rudy and very good news for romney.
was isn’t the press picking up on this. the south carolinians are putting a mormon in second place. i am so tired of the made up mormon thing. maybe if he can continue to rise people will finally realize it is not the obstancle the media or his opponents wish it to be.
October 22nd, 2007 at 3:46 pm
Aron,
In Thompsons defense the guy has a lot of campaigning planned this week.
But doesn’t every body campaign the way the want? Does anybody campaign the way they don’t want to? I would think they all want to win, so they all want to campaign the most effective way,and then persue that coarse. Kind of a lame statememnt. Are we t be worried Thompson will campaign someone elses way? Is he trying to show he is a grown up and doesn’t listen to his parents?
October 22nd, 2007 at 3:48 pm
I agree Aron that FDT is running an awful campaign. He is unprepared he doesn’t work hard and he has a very poor strategy. He needs to live in Iowa, SC and FL but instead it takes him a week to do as many events and Mitt and Rudy do in one day.
I have really settled on Mitt first, Rudy second and nobody else even close. I really will have a hard time not being embarrassed by our nominee if it isn’t one of them. I will vote for whoever we nominate, but Mitt and Rudy are the only two that excite me.
October 22nd, 2007 at 3:59 pm
There is no rationale for the Thompson campaign except for feeding a delusion of those who despise what they call Rudy McRomney.
October 22nd, 2007 at 4:02 pm
Hey brainiacs,
This isn’t a South Carolina poll, but a national poll, if you’re going by Cillizza.
Matt, I would think you’d wait until the official poll came out and you could verify it.
October 22nd, 2007 at 4:04 pm
a Republican polling firm, recently completed a national poll of 1,000 likely 2008 voters that included Colbert’s name in both the GOP and Democratic primaries. (He has announced his plans to run in both the Democratic and Republican primaries.) In the field from Oct. 18-21, the survey has a 5 percent margin of error.
I guess anyway you can minimalize your competition is easy way to spin. Nowhere in Cillizza’s article does it say South Carolina poll, and Public Opinion Strategies don’t even have a press release to verify it on their website.
October 22nd, 2007 at 4:15 pm
Matt C,
Do you have a link for this poll?
October 22nd, 2007 at 4:17 pm
Keven,
There is no link for this poll. It’s bogus.
October 22nd, 2007 at 4:19 pm
Compared to the current (wihout this poll) RCP average of Giuliani 20.5,
Thompson 20.3, Romney 16.5, McCain 14.3, Huckabee 5.3, this is good news
for Giuliani and bad news for all the rest. Where was Huck in the poll?
October 22nd, 2007 at 4:20 pm
Keven,
It is not a South Carolina poll.
October 22nd, 2007 at 4:22 pm
If this is a national poll, that’s great news for Rudy, too.
October 22nd, 2007 at 4:23 pm
#7 – Opinionated – Well said.
October 22nd, 2007 at 4:24 pm
Stop the presses. As Tommy pointed out, this is a national poll.
October 22nd, 2007 at 4:26 pm
MattC.,
WHERE DID YOU GET SOUTH CAROLINA? Were you imagining things? This is actually funny that some of you are A) buying this. B) taking seriously a poll that does not include Huckabee, especially if it was supposed to be polling south carolina C) POLLS STEPHEN FREAKING COLBERT
October 22nd, 2007 at 4:31 pm
I dunno, but Ambinder got it as SC too:
http://marcambinder.theatlantic.com/archives/2007/10/rudy_should_worry_about_colber.php
October 22nd, 2007 at 4:32 pm
And a big joke too, but most of us probably don’t know who Colbert is.
October 22nd, 2007 at 4:38 pm
I’m on the phone with the Public Opinion Strategies offices right now. It was a national poll, and the polling director said it was a Hotline Poll
October 22nd, 2007 at 4:43 pm
By the way,
Why are you posting something if you can’t confirm it? It was conducted through Diego/Hotline and didn’t include half the candidates.
October 22nd, 2007 at 4:46 pm
“All the other candidates were included in the poll, but their numbers weren’t reported.”
wrong
October 22nd, 2007 at 4:48 pm
[...] post by Matt C and software by Elliott [...]
October 22nd, 2007 at 4:51 pm
Cox is still technically running right? Just how many people are running anyway? With so many nut-jobs like Colbert seeking attention, I’ve lost count. How funny it is that Colbert is running in both democrat & Republican primaries.
October 22nd, 2007 at 4:53 pm
Tommy, chill out bro. Cillizza’s column mentions Paul and Tancredo specifically, wouldn’t it be reasonable to assume that if they polled Paul and Tancredo, they would also poll Huckabee?
This poll was mentioned by at least pollster.com, Marc Ambinder, and The Fix.
October 22nd, 2007 at 4:59 pm
Matt,
It’s posting hearsay polls that drives me crazy, because they get picked up and spread all over the place… meaning I, since I am one of the ones responsible for communicating with the bloggers through the campaign, have to clean up the misinformation. None of us have seen it. I just got off the phone with the polling consultant for Public Opinion, and it’s not even their poll. They conducted it through National Hotline
October 22nd, 2007 at 5:06 pm
When you post South Carolina because you haven’t checked with the source link of the poll, it comes up on other websites, then they run with it.. posting it all over the place. It gets people all worked up.
You’re right that it polled everyone, but the statistical margin for error is wrong.
Pollster linked it through the same article. The full results are still not online.
October 22nd, 2007 at 5:15 pm
I’d vote for Colbert over Giuliani. Seriously.
October 22nd, 2007 at 5:37 pm
Swint,
Because Colbert is atleast pro Life-ish, as he would say?
October 22nd, 2007 at 5:59 pm
Settle down Tommy. People make errors.
Have a cookie.
October 22nd, 2007 at 6:00 pm
Congratulations to Romney for polling second. However, if the race is between Mitt and undecided, he could be in trouble.
(My sarcastic way of saying that both Giuliani and Undecided both double Romney’s totals.)
October 22nd, 2007 at 6:30 pm
This poll is totally bogus. Today’s Rasmussen has Thompson at 19%, Romney at 16%, and McCain at 12%. It has Rudy at 24%. This poll has Rudy 5 points higher, Thompson 8 points lower, and Romney 4 points lower. You won’t see these numbers replicated anywhere. Outlier!