October 20, 2007

Poll Watch: Zogby Electability Survey

Zogby Electability Survey

Whom would you NEVER vote for for President of the U.S.?

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
  • Dennis Kucinich (D) 49%
  • Mike Gravel (D) 47%
  • Ron Paul (D) 47% (yes, Zogby labels Paul a Democrat)
  • Sam Brownback (R) 47%
  • Tom Tancredo (R) 46%
  • John McCain (R) 45%
  • Duncan Hunter (R) 44%
  • Rudy Giuliani (R) 43%
  • Mitt Romney (R) 42%
  • John Edwards (D) 42%
  • Fred Thompson (R) 41%
  • Chris Dodd (D) 41%
  • Joe Biden (D) 40%
  • Barack Obama (D) 37%
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 35%
  • Bill Richardson (D) 34%
  • Not sure 4%

Older voters are most resistant to Clinton – 59% of those age 65 and older said they would never vote for the New York senator, but she is much more acceptable to younger voters: 42% of those age 18–29 said they would never vote for Clinton for President.

Opposition to Clinton among Democratic and Republican women revealed mirror opposite attitudes, the Zogby Interactive survey showed. While 83% of Republican women said they would never vote for her, just 17% said they could possibly cast a ballot for her. Among Democratic women, just 17% said they would never vote for Hillary, while 83% said they could.

Survey of 9,976 likely voters was conducted October 11-15. The margin of error is +/- 1 percentage point.

by @ 1:42 pm. Filed under Poll Watch
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24 Responses to “Poll Watch: Zogby Electability Survey”

  1. Randy Says:

    Wow! I didn’t think that she would beat EVERYBODY in a poll question like that.

  2. WiseGuy Says:

    Unsurprisingly, Hillary on top. Surprisingly, Huckabee is on the bottom! (not sure if it is due to low name recognition though).

  3. Merkis Says:

    Low name recognition could have something to do with it, but overall Huckabee is just very likable.

  4. Brian Says:

    Huckabee is clearly our most electable Republican, then.

  5. Ben Says:

    So by that logic, Bill Richardson would be the most electable Democrat?

  6. Brian Says:

    #5- indeed.

  7. Adam Says:

    I’d like to believe this but it just doesn’t pass the smell test. I don’t believe that Hillary has higher “never elect” numbers than Kucinich. I know plenty of moderate Democrats that would never vote for him. Plus it’s an “interactive” or web survey. As much as some on our side say “Bring on Hillary” – I think she does give the Democrats the best opportunity to win. Edwards has morphed into too much of an old school high tax liberal and Barak is just not ready for prime time. Hil has faked the centrist act well, much to my consternation.

  8. Poll Watch: Zogby Electability Survey at Conservative Times--Republican GOP news source. Says:

    [...] post by Aron Goldman and software by Elliott [...]

  9. Harry Says:

    Straw poll results announced! Here are the on-site numbers:

    Mike Huckabee – 488 – 51.26%
    Mitt Romney – 99 – 10.40%
    Fred Thompson – 77 – 8.09%
    Tom Tancredo – 65 – 6.83%

  10. Dskinner Says:

    Wow! Too bad none of those people are donating money to Huckabee.

  11. Ben Says:

    Huckabee is a Southern Baptist minister, this is not a big surprise.

  12. jim Says:

    I think it’s clear that Huckabee is the strongest social conservative, with the best credentials, the best record, etc…

    Now, he’s anathema to fiscal conservatives and his defense/foreign policy/nat’l security credentials aren’t exactly burning up the room either.

    In fact, I’d say that Huckabee is more socially conservative than any GOP President has been, definitely more than W or Reagan.

    If Rudy does win, and I’m still skeptical, Huck would be the perfect choice for VP. Rudy needs a pro-life southerner, and there aren’t many who fit the bill. Besides Huck, Fred, Mark Sanford and Haley Barbour are the other options. Ironically, by nominating the first pro-choice candidate in their history, the party could end up with the most pro life candidate that has ever been on a ticket.

    Since Huck is clearly the best speaker on social issues, Rudy could deelegate him as his point man on those issues and Huck could rally the base and give loadss of speeches on those issues throughout the south and the rest of the country. Rudy could focus more on the defense and fiscal issues.

    Huck could assure social conservatives that he would resign the vice presidency if Rudy reneged on any of his promises vis a vis maintiaining the Bush policies on abortion and gay marriage, and that he will be their voice on judicial appointments, preventing any Harriet Miers or David Souter scenario. Rudy will be 65 in 2009. He might even let it be known that depending on how things go, he probably wouldn’t run for re-election and the so-cons guy Huck would be perfectly set up to run in 2012.(after Rudy captured/killed Bin Laden and Zawahiri, ended Iran’s nuclear threat, achieved an honorable outcome in Iraq, appointed a 5th conservative to the Supreme Court, and a few other things)

    Electorally, Huck should cement the ticket in Arkansas and Missouri(2 key states) and throughout the south generally, where Hillary will probably be more competitive than Kerry due to Bill and his southern roots.

    It could be a win-win for everyone. The defense and fiscal wings get Rudy. The social wing gets their man in Huckabee. The two of them show how all 3 wings can get along. With him on the ticket I doubt there’d be a 3rd party and all efforts would be focused on winning.

  13. Aron Goldman Says:

    Romney takes ‘Values Voters’ poll, Huckabee close second

    Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney increased his already growing credibility with evangelical Christians on Saturday afternoon with a surprise win in the Family Research Council’s “2008 American Values Straw Poll.”

    Romney edged former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, a former Baptist minister who received the most enthusiastic reception of any of the speakers at the council’s “Values Voter Summit” at a Washington hotel. The results, released with a literal drumroll:

    First – Mitt Romney – 1,595 votes

    Second – Mike Huckabee – 1,565 votes

    Third – Ron Paul – 865 votes

    Fourth – Fred Thompson – 564 votes

    A total of 5,576 votes were cast.

    Former New York Mayor Rudolph Giuliani, who leads in national polls, did not finish in the top four, and no further results were announced to the crowd.

    Announcing the results, Family Research Council President Tony Perkins said the top four issues picked by voters were 1) abortion; 2) marriage; 3) tax cuts; and 4) permanent tax relief for families.

    Here’s something important to remember about the poll: The results reflect not just the 2,000-plus attendees at the three-day conference, but also anyone who went online and contributed as little as $1 to join FRC Action, the legislative action arm of the Family Research Council.

    http://www.politico.com/blogs/jonathanmartin/1007/The_Values_Voter_straw_poll.html

  14. econ grad stud Says:

    The latest IVR Polls, released today, show Huckabee surging up to tie for third with Romney at 14 percent — with Thompson fading:
    http://ivrpolls.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=26&Itemid=1

    Giuliani – 24%
    Thompson – 19%
    Huckabee – 14%
    Romney – 14%
    Tancredo – 7%
    McCain – 6%

  15. econ grad stud Says:

    That’s a poll for Texas.

  16. Ben Says:

    How much longer before Huckabee overtakes McCain in the Power Rankings?

  17. Poll Result that Camp Hill will not be happy with « Morning Coffee Says:

    [...] Others Blogging: Race 42008 [...]

  18. Bruch Says:

    That is too sneaky. I am impressed. Call Ron Paul a democrat with such a question so to get all the antidemocrat numbers. That makes him look like he is not electable, then when correct polls come out the other campaigns are caught off guard. Pow! Zogby seems to be a secret Ron Paul supporter to be caught up in such games.

    I have to admire the sneakiness, though.

  19. SGSFromMobileDevice Says:

    Jim, what you are proposing, I can live with very much – as long as Rudy has a very strong social conservative on his ticket. However, I am not sure I want Huckabee to be the man to mess up the federal government after Rudy has cleaned it up and shrinked it. After all, the VP is one most likely to run after his ticket is over.

  20. Aron Goldman Says:

    Jim,

    Rudy is a rather energetic 63, and could well serve two full terms, leaving office at 72.

    To put that in perspective, Giuliani, in January 2017, would walk away from the White House still a year younger than a newly inaugurated President McCain in 2009.

  21. SJ Reidhead Says:

    As a resident of New Mexico, I must unwillingly (since I am a loyal Republican) point out Bill Richardson’s numbers in this poll. I still think he is the GOP’s worst nightmare. Having lived with him as Governor for 5 years now, I can honestly say, do not underestimate this man. He is probably the most ‘charming’ and affable candidate for either party.

    SJ Reidhead
    The Pink Flamingo

  22. Swint Says:

    Luckily for the GOP Old People vote more than the 18-29 year olds. Hillary is definitely beatable.

  23. sampo Says:

    I think these numbers mean one thing: the country is bitterly divided.

  24. Sammy Sullivan Says:

    Kewl site man…

    keep up the good work man…….

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