Rasmussen has released these state matchups today.
No home state surge for Mitt Romney, but I don’t think anyone was expecting one. Fred Thompson runs slightly better against Clinton in Minnesota and Virginia than Giuliani:
General Election Matchups Massachussetts
- Hillary Clinton 60%
- Mitt Romney 34%
- Hillary Clinton 58%
- Rudy Giuliani 33%
- Hillary Clinton 61%
- Fred Thompson 28%
General Election Minnesota
- Hillary Clinton 51%
- Fred Thompson 40%
- Hillary Clinton 50%
- Rudy Giuliani 37%
- Hillary Clinton 52%
- Mitt Romney 34%
General Election Matchups Virginia
- Hillary Clinton 46%
- Fred Thompson 44%
- Hillary Clinton 44%
- Rudy Giuliani 41%
- Hillary Clinton 44%
- Mitt Romney 40%
September 11th, 2007 at 9:58 am
This is terrible. If we can’t take Virginia by 3 or 4 points (or more) we’re not going to win, no matter what.
September 11th, 2007 at 10:26 am
OK, we’re behind right now. I get it. Also, since the general campaign hasn’t begun yet, it’s meaningless. We could see these exact same numbers a year from now and they would still be meaningless. If we were to see them 2 weeks before the election, they would be significant. Virginia is one of the least red red states, and the others are blue. If we run a first-rate campaign, though, we could win Minnesota next year. But this kind of speculation right now is a distraction from what is really happening.
September 11th, 2007 at 10:34 am
Actually you’re probably right. If you believe this Rasmussen that we are down in VA then Rudy is not up 10 in CO. If Rudy is up ten in CO, then he isn’t down 4 in VA. All this stuff is gonna change.
September 11th, 2007 at 10:38 am
Right now people have the mentality of Bush vs Clinton, that’s who she runs against in her commercials. Once they see in more detail a fresh alternative (and if things improve in iraq) the dymanics will change.
September 11th, 2007 at 10:40 am
Minnesota
Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)
Hillary Clinton 57% / 42% (+15%)
Fred Thompson 49% / 42% (+7%)
Rudy Giuliani 51% / 45% (+6%)
Mitt Romney 37% / 51% (-14%)
Virginia
Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)
Hillary Clinton 49% / 48% (+1%)
Fred Thompson 54% favorable
Rudy Giuliani 53% favorable
Mitt Romney 45% favorable
Massachusetts
Favorable
Hillary Clinton 65%
Barack Obama 62%
John Edwards 62%
Rudy Giuliani 47%
Mitt Romney 43%
Fred Thompson 36%
September 11th, 2007 at 10:48 am
The headline says WEST Virginia. That a mistake?
September 11th, 2007 at 11:04 am
It is obvious folks, that the republican party needs a magic bullit. They MUST figure out what it is. I believe that Rudy will help them to.
September 11th, 2007 at 11:07 am
worrisome numbers. Especially in Virginia.
Interesting to see how close they are all polling, within a few points of each other.
This race needs to pick up. I hope it becomes less fluid here quickly so the republican party can unite to take on Hillary next year.
September 11th, 2007 at 12:14 pm
Isn’t interesting though that Hillary can’t get above 52% in MN of all places, regardless of who she runs against
September 11th, 2007 at 3:57 pm
There is no need to hit the panic button on Virginia–in my opinion it doesn’t represent a national trend on Hillary. Instead, it predicts what anyone with knowledge of Virginia politics and demographics would and that is that Virginia is slowly but surely moving in the Democratic column…however whats noticeable is that it appears to be happening this quickly. Unfortunately the growth explosion of Northern Virginia has not been kind to the Virginia GOP and if the 2006 elections are any indicator, that is carrying over to the national GOP. Virginia Democrats have a string of victories going now and largely this is due to the perception by suburb and exurb voters in NoVA that the Democrats are more responsive to their core issues. This rift may become even bigger if the Virginia Senate Republican Primary race is one between conservative Jim Gilmore and more moderate Northern Virginian Tom Davis.