Zogby adds Fred Thompson to their latest poll, but drops Newt! Take this then for what it’s worth (it is Zogby after all):
Zogby International 2008 GOP Iowa Caucus Poll, conducted March 28th, 2007:
Republicans
- Rudy Giuliani 29%
- John McCain 19%
- Mitt Romney 11%
- Fred Thompson 7%
- Tommy Thompson 5%
- Sam Brownback 3%
- Mike Huckabee 2%
- Tom Tancredo 1%
- Chuck Hagel 1%
- Not sure 22%
About the poll:
“Giuliani has led this race since Zogby started polling Iowa at the beginning of the year. McCain’s support has stalled in the high teens, even as Zogby pulled two other top performers former U.S. House Speaker Newt Gingrich and Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice out of the mix. Rice has never indicated any interest in running, and Gingrich has said he won’t decide until this fall.
Asked to pick a second choice for the presidential nomination, Giuliani and McCain were tied for the lead at 19%, emphasizing the fact that this is, at least for the moment, a two man contest. However, because nearly a third of respondents 31% can’t make up their mind about a second choice, there is clearly some fluidity to the race. Romney a distant third place at 7% and Fred Thompson fourth with 4%.”
And from pollster John Zogby:
-”There are two clear front runners in this Republican race. The fact the race is pretty tight here in Iowa makes New Hampshire even more important as this race develops. There are two big questions surrounding this race who is the alternative to step into the top tier should one of these two falter, and who will be The Great Conservative Candidate?”
-”Romney is holding steady and has shown some growth. He does well with independents and in the central region of the state, but Fred Thompson’s jumping in at seven percent makes this contest very interesting to watch. He could really be a player here. Winning 5% support at least makes me understand now why Tommy Thompson from neighboring Wisconsin is in the race.”
March 30th, 2007 at 3:44 am
I’m just amazed that three conservative candidates from Iowa’s closest neighboring states (KS, WI, and AR) poll a combined 10% in a state that should be giving at least one of these guys a lot more support. And 22% are still undecided? That seems high for a state like Iowa, where the people are inundated daily with any one of the 10 or 12 guys running. Zogby mentions a future Great Conservative Candidate. How much longer do we wait for him to come forward? (Personally I’m happy to see Fred Thompson doing relatively well.)
March 30th, 2007 at 7:05 am
Here is a quote from John McCain in his chat with Wolf Blitzer (who, ofcourse, is a creep) but this shows his (McCain’s) irrational and angry side:
“That’s where you ought to catch up on things, Wolf. General Petraeus goes out there almost every day in an unarmed humvee. I think you oughta catch up. You are giving the old line of three months ago. I understand it. We certainly don’t get it through the filter of some of the media. But I know for a fact that much of the success we’re experiencing, including the ability of Americans in many parts. Not all, we have a long, long way to go. We’ve only got two of the five brigades here to go into some neighborhoods in Baghdad in a secure fashion.”
March 30th, 2007 at 7:21 am
Let’s see now, In January 2007, the Zogby-Iowa tally was Rudy in first at 19%, leading McCain (17%)by two points and Romney (5%) by 14 points. In the slightly more than three months since that time, Romney has really come on strong and now trails Rudy by only 14 points, 25%-11%. At this blistering pace, come January 2008, in the all-important, first-in-the nation IOWA CAUCUSES, Romney will certainly be within striking distance, trailing Hizzoner by a mere 14 points. Such a finish by Romney would give enormous significance to the soon-to-follow New Hampshire Primary, Romney’s “neighboring state”, where in the CNN poll in February, Romney trailed Rudy by a mere 14 points, and in the latest average of four polls by Real Clear Politics Romney trails by 9.3 points. I guess the effect of all those endorsements must be kicking in. I certainly hope Hillary doesn’t learn the secret of Romney’s momentum.
March 30th, 2007 at 8:16 am
Luther,
You must really worry about Romney.
March 30th, 2007 at 8:32 am
I TOLD YOU SO!
Giuliani would be our weakest candidate because the Kerik case would reveal his assistance to Bernie Kerik while Kerik was being bribed by mobsters.
Giuliani now says “I don’t remember” when asked if he recalls the briefing given to him that Kerik was corrupt and accepting bribes from mobsters. Let’s not forget that Giuliani’s company runs BACKGROUND CHECKS!
I told this blog months ago that’s Kerik’s corruption case would make Rudolph unelectable, but nobody here wanted to listen.
I ask you, how do you forget that your best friend was known to be corrupt. No one is going to believe this! Then after he forgot, Rudolph nominated his corrupt friend to head the Dept of Homeland Security!!
HUCKABEE ’08!!
March 30th, 2007 at 8:35 am
Let’s also not forget that despite Kerik having pled guilty to a state charge of false disclosure, he is now resisting the JAIL TIME the prosecutor is offering and is fighting imprisonment!
HUCKABEE ’08!!
March 30th, 2007 at 10:22 am
Hey I Like Mike,
In your haste to attack Rudy on the Kerik matter, you fail to mention that the
City’s chief investigator ultimatly cleard Kerick to become police commissioner.
Also the same article makes clear that there is no evidence that implicates Rudy
in any of the charges against Kerick.
March 30th, 2007 at 10:57 am
Kavon: Typo. Rudy has 25 not 29.
March 30th, 2007 at 1:44 pm
Never said there were charges against Rudolph, but those could come as Giuliani never asked to see the exculpatory checks Kerik claimed he had but never existed!
Then he promoted him.
This is buddy-buddy cronyism in my humble opinion.m There will now be a federal prosecution of Kerik in court as Bernie just rejected a deal for jail time.
This is being covered in the news, by the way:
March 30th, 2007 at 1:55 pm
I Like Mike,
So what is your point. President Bush also made a mistake when he put Kerik’s name
in for Homeland Security. Apparently Kerik’s problems were not known to the City’s
investigator when he cleared Kerik for police commissioner, and therfore Rudy would
not have known about them when he made his recommendation to Bush.
You are going to have to better tnan this to bring down a great leader like Rudy.