A new poll from Rasmussen is out today, and the results are great news for Rudy supporters:
Giuliani – 29%
McCain – 19%
Gingrich – 16%
Romney – 8%
Brownback – 3%
Hagel – 1%
Huckabee – 1%
Other – 5%
Undecided – 19%
Giuliani’s number are more or less unchanged over the past three polls, but McCain continues to see his numbers slide. In fact, the general matchup number are cause for concern for McCain as well (numbers in parantheses are from the last poll):
McCain 45% (49)
Clinton 44% (45)Obama 47% (40)
McCain 44% (46)Edwards 46% (41)
McCain 43% (46)McCain 43% (–)
Richardson 39% (–)
Giuliani’s favorability rating has remained consistent at 63%, but McCain’s has dropped from 59% one month ago to 52% now. And Giuliani has increased his lead over Hillary! in a general matchup:
Giuliani 49% (47)
Clinton 43% (42)
January 30th, 2007 at 2:38 pm
For Rudy fans: In case you have not noticed yet, Rudy has updated his site, I think, pretty importantly. You can now sign up for email updates, and when you do, it gives you the option on signing your friends up too (like Mitt’s website).
The website also has (finally) Rudy News, so you can follow his campaign’s developments.
January 30th, 2007 at 3:01 pm
Note how Obama does better nationally (3 pts ahead of McCain) than in Ohio (1 pt behind).
I think I know the reason for that, but I’m not sure it’s polite to say.
January 30th, 2007 at 3:27 pm
Dave,
Maybe I am a little slow today, but I am not tracking your implications.
January 30th, 2007 at 3:32 pm
on a side note, could we expect a cabinet position for Joe Torre?
Would Rudy’s INS deport Big Papi? Would the Red Sox and Mets be detained in Gitmo as enemy combatants?
January 30th, 2007 at 3:33 pm
Tano,
You really want me to say something that will garner 400 comments an hour, don’t you?
No, what I meant was that I think that, while unfortunate, there are still way too many folks who would write off a non-white nominee without looking twice. We’ve had very few black governors and senators in this country, and we’ve consistently seen black candidates for office poll better than they actually do, meaning there are people out there lying to the pollsters about this sort of thing. This is probably why Bobby Jindal didn’t beat Blanco the first time around, though I suspect he will the second.
January 30th, 2007 at 3:54 pm
On a side note – looks like a lot of people are like me and would consider crossing party lines in a McCain-Richardson matchup. It’s the perfect storm – a horrible Republican against a great Democrat.
January 30th, 2007 at 4:02 pm
I don’t know that I’d consider Richardson a great Democrat. His comments on Iraq the other day were positively disastrous. When asked if leaving Iraq could cause a Cambodia like killing fields, he said something like “how worse can it get? It can’t get any worse.” If he actually believes that it shows an astonishing level of incomprehension about Iraq and foreign affairs in general.
January 30th, 2007 at 4:07 pm
Heavy M, the worst thing is that Richardson has minimal name recognition to be in such a tight race with McCain as of now. Basically this poll says McCain loses to everyone but Clinton, in which he is a statistical tie. I have continually become more and more hostile to a McCain nomination as not only are we reminded of his record but the polls show him quite the opposite of a highly electable guy.
On a side note, one of the more popular videos on YouTube seems to be McCain dozing off during the state of the Union Address. He has an elderly moment or two like that on the campaign trail and he can kiss his presidential hopes goodbye.
January 30th, 2007 at 4:29 pm
Matt – whoops, didn’t hear those comments about Iraq. He has been hawkish in the past in regards to the war on terror, etc. so I didn’t expect those kind of comments from him.
John R, I agree completely with your analysis. We bloggers all called it a year ago – McCain’s high favorability ratings would come crashing down around him as he attempted to court the conservative base in the primaries, and now it is happening. The candidate whose biggest check in the plus column is electability is now, all of a sudden, not electable at all.
January 30th, 2007 at 4:31 pm
Richardson is just another tax and spend liberal. He may be moderate in some areas, but don’t be fooled. I would take McCain over Richardson any day. These poll numbers are going to eat away at some people’s sole motivation for backing McCain…his “electability.”
January 30th, 2007 at 4:40 pm
David, I usually don’t make it a habit to defend Democrats, but Richardson is hardly a tax-and-spend liberal. He’s a solid supply sider who cut the state income tax rates in New Mexico by 35% – the largest state income tax cut in America in recent history, which amounted to a total of over $1 billion. Even after that tax cut, he proposed another $100 million in tax cuts across the state.
He also consistently vetoes hundreds of millions of dollars in spending from his state’s budget, presided over balanced budgets, and New Mexico now has the highest budget reserves in that state’s history.
And he also remains one of the most popular politicians in the state’s history for all that – winning re-election by the largest margin ever.
January 30th, 2007 at 4:48 pm
Be very afraid of Richardson, very afraid.
January 30th, 2007 at 4:57 pm
Richardson was also endorsed by the NRA in the race over his GOP opponent.
January 31st, 2007 at 7:54 am
I believe that in ’08 it will be Hillary vs Rudy for the big house race. And here is why:
1. I talk daily to everyday americans at my hot dog cart (yep, I still sell hot dogs on the corner) and the average Joe has a compleley different take on politics then we do (active political nut jobs).
2. As nearly as I can tell, they base their choices on who the like personally, not the most qualified. (standard answer: They’re all croodks)
3. Who ever puts together the best package to be sold to the American public will win. It’s who is the most sellable, not the most qualified.
4. Look a Modonna, she was a sellable package put together by some investors, not a budding teenage singer, she was marketed into fame.
5. So will our next President, he/she will be marketed into the White House, under the guise of an election.
I’m just sayin’
January 31st, 2007 at 7:56 am
typo correction! croodks = crooks, look a Modonna = look at Modonna
January 31st, 2007 at 10:33 am
A Rudy?Alberto Gonzalez ticket blunts Richardson on the Demo ticket.
January 31st, 2007 at 10:52 am
Gonzalez is a loser and so is Rudy.
January 31st, 2007 at 11:48 am
A Rudy/Tim Pawlenty ticket would be best. Pawlenty is a young, very articulate Governor in Minnesota, and would have a good chance of picking up the Midwest States. The national GOP convention is going to be in Minnesota, and Pawlenty will be hosting it. What a great way to build some momentum into the general election!
For more info about Tim Pawlenty, visit:
http://www.timpawlenty.com/
January 31st, 2007 at 12:35 pm
What about a Huckabee/Pawlenty? North and South finally coming together? I have no problem with Rudy, it’s just that I don’t agree with him on anything.
January 31st, 2007 at 12:37 pm
Nice website-what are his positions GOP Activist?
January 31st, 2007 at 2:15 pm
The problem being, of course, that Pawlenty has endorsed and signed up with McCain for this election. There’s still the possibility he could choose to be bottom of the ticket with someone else should McCain lose, but I wouldn’t bet money on it.
February 2nd, 2007 at 12:47 pm
Actually, Pawlenty would then be able to bring in the McCain coalition. This would be a good way to unite the party.