August 24, 2006

A Contrasting Opinion On New Hampshire

This article?is from Ross Gittell, the James R. Carter professor at the University of New Hampshire’s Whittemore School of Business and Economics via the New Hampshire Union Leader:

The state need not be first, or even second, in the Presidential primaries to be an important factor in the nomination process. Its economic standing, its political heritage and traditions, its continuing high level of citizen engagement, its voters’ questioning and testing of candidates, and its current standing as one of the few contested states all combine to make it an ideal testing ground for presidential candidates.

For example, suppose Hillary Clinton won the Iowa and Nevada caucuses before the New Hampshire primary in 2008. She’d still have to win in New Hampshire to move toward an early lock on the nomination. What if Clinton lost in Iowa and Nevada? By then winning New Hampshire, she could generate momentum and bring many comparisons to her husband’s 1992 role as the “comeback kid.” If Mark Warner or another dark-horse candidate won or did surprisingly well in New Hampshire he would generate attention and establish himself as a legitimate candidate regardless of his performance in Iowa and Nevada.

On the Republican side, if John McCain lost the New Hampshire primary, there’d be questioning of why he won the state against George W. Bush in 2000 but couldn’t win it in 2008. If Rudy Giuliani won or did better than expected in New Hampshire, he would establish himself as a legitimate candidate, regardless of his performance in the first two caucuses.

So don’t expect Mitt Romney or John Kerry to forget the roadways from Massachusetts to New Hampshire, or Hillary Clinton, Rudy Giuliani or George Pataki not to scuttle back and forth between New York and New Hampshire if the Democratic and Republican national parties change the Presidential nomination schedule. New Hampshire can continue to be a field of dreams for Presidential candidates, and rightfully so.

I am genuinely saddened that the Dems have decided to do this to?New Hampshire. The Iowa Caucus and the New Hampshire Primary are examples of what?is right about the way Americans elect their President.

For problems, let’s look to the roles played by the?527′s and the MSM…?

by @ 7:48 pm. Filed under 2008 Misc., Democrats
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